Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 1997

Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS State College, PA

July 15, 1997Elk County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 1997, 5:13 PM EDT for Elk County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 1997, 5:13 PM EDT (21:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 1997, 6:15 PM EDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Whole counties

County Elk County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 1997-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 802 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 1997-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -16 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
802 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
987 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KCTP 152113
FFWCTP
PAC047-152215-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
513 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 1997

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
EFFECTIVE UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR PEOPLE
IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...

IN NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA

   ...ELK COUNTY
 
AT 510 PM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WILCOX AND JOHNSONBURG
SOUTHWEST TO HALLTON AND BELLTOWN. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE
PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND WERE DRIFTING SLOWLY EAST.

THE STORMS WILL AFFECT THE RIDGWAY AREA BY 530 PM...AND EXTEND
FROM ST MARY'S TO CHALLENGE BY 545 PM.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS ESTIMATED THAT MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
FALLEN IN THE LAST HOUR NEAR THE HALLTON AREA. THIS CAN BE EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS.
 
WHEN THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING...PEOPLE SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A
STRONG BUILDING.  STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.  DO NOT USE TELEPHONES
OR ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
DO NOT DRIVE INTO LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED2...ACT QUICKLY.  MOVE TO ESCAPE FLOOD
WATERS.  DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS
RISING.


LA CORTE/NICOSIA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 15, 2:30 PM EDT, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 2:30 PM EDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
230 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 1997

...ZONE SUGGESTIONS...
PHL...RECOMMEND 30 POP FOR SUSQ VAL FOR EVE.  WITH A 95 OVER 68 WED
SHD NOT VERIFY HEAT WARNING IN LWR SUSQ SO OK TO DROP FOR TOM.

PIT...THINK TEMPS WED TOO LOW E OF MTNS.  NEED UP 80S E OF MTS LOM
ON MTS.  THINK LWR SUSQ VAL NEEDS M90S WED.

...DISCUSSION...
CU FRMG RPDLY AS OF NOON LDT.  PIT SOUNDING IS QUITE UNSTABLE WITH
-4 LI 33 K INDEX.  MODIFIED SOUNDING GOES TO -6 LI AND 34 K INDEX.
MODIFIED CAPE VALUE IS 1933 J/KG.  MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW CAPE VALUES
UP TO 2300J/KG OVR SUSQ VAL AT 0Z WED.  THERE ARE 2 FOCAL POINTS
FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION AND THEY ARE THE USUAL LAKE BREEZE
CONVERGENCE AREA AND THE RIDGES FRM E WV INTO LAURELS AND S CENTRAL
MTNS OF PA.  CU LOOKS MUCH DIFFERENT THAN YDY.  YDY CU LOOKED
RAGGED WHILE TODAY CU HAS VERY WELL DEFINED TURRETS INDICATING LO
LVL CAP IS ALREADY BREAKING.  QUESTION MARK IS THE HIGHER LEVEL
INVERSION AROUND 500MB.  INITIAL SOUNDING SHOWS AN ISOTHERMAL LAYER
FROM 500MB UP TO ABOUT 475MB.  THERE APPRS TO BE ENUF ENERGY BELOW
THAT LEVEL TO POP PAST THIS BUT AS TIME GOES BY LOW LEVEL WINDS
BECOME DIVERGENT AND AFTER 0Z IT IS OVR FOR THE MTNS.

OVR THE SUSQ VAL THE WINDS ARE FEEBLE AT BEST IN LOW LEVELS BUT AT
LEAST THERE IS A PROPER PROFILE FOR CONVECTION THRU 6Z WED.  GIVEN
CAPE VALUES OVR 2000...LEE SIDE/THERMAL TROF OVR THE REGION UNTIL
6Z WED...AND CFROPA (FOR WHAT ITS WORTH) AROUND THE SAME TIME THERE
IS A DECENT SHOT AT CONVECTION OVER THE SUSQ VAL E THRU LANCASTER
AND SCHUYKILL COUNTIES AS WELL.  THE LIMITING FACTOR HERE IS HOW
MUCH HOT AIR WILL ADVECT E FROM THE ELEVATED HEATING SURFACES TO
THE WEST.  THIS CAN CAP CONVECTION AND KEEP CU TO JUST 1 TO 2
THOUSAND FEET THICK.  MY EXPERIENCE IN NEW MEXICO WAS THAT THIS IS
A VERY IMPORTANT FACTOR AND CAN EITHER DELAY OR STIFLE CONVECTION
ENTIRELY.

TRAJ SHOW AIRMASS FOR WED IS OVR OH AND IN TDY.  DEWPTS ARE 66 TO
69 DEGREES OVR THAT AREA.  FWC SHOWS NUMBERS STILL IN 90S FOR WED
SO PITZFP NEEDS TO BE BUMPED UP E OF MTNS.  WUD SUGGEST M 90S FOR
LWR SUSQ WED.  AGREE WITH PHL THAT COOLING AND DRYING WILL BE
SLOWER COMING IN.

WE HAVE TO WAIT FOR FRI NITE OR SAT FOR NEXT MEANINGFUL CFROPA.  SO
HEAT WAVE CONTINUES UNTIL THEN IN SUSQ VAL AND HOT SPOTS LIKE SO
VALS E OF MTNS.

PHL...THX FOR COORD.

HEAD
HEAD

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:15 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
415 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 1997

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0235 PM    NORTH WARREN              PA   WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97   WARREN                         NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES
                                          DOWN NEAR RTE 62

0300 PM    YOUNGSVILLE               PA   1 INCH HAIL
07/15/97   WARREN

0300 PM    NORTH WARREN              PA   WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97   WARREN                         TREE DAMAGE

0345 PM    BRADFORD                  PA   WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97   MCKEAN                         TREE DOWN ON CAR, STRONG
                                          WINDS
Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:16 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
415 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 1997

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0235 PM    NORTH WARREN              PA   WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97   WARREN                         NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES
                                          DOWN NEAR RTE 62

0300 PM    YOUNGSVILLE               PA   1 INCH HAIL
07/15/97   WARREN

0300 PM    NORTH WARREN              PA   WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97   WARREN                         TREE DAMAGE

0345 PM    BRADFORD                  PA   WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97   MCKEAN                         TREE DOWN ON CAR, STRONG
                                          WINDS

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 2:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean, Warren60 min
Jul 15, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPElk, Warren60 min
Jul 15, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean62 min
Jul 15, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPElk64 min
Jul 15, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPElk62 min
Jul 15, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron65 min
Jul 15, 6:20 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPElk, McKean3 hr
Jul 15, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClearfield66 min
Jul 15, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre63 min
Jul 15, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton63 min
Jul 15, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClearfield66 min
Jul 15, 7:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPHuntingdon64 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 1997Every flash flood warning in 1997

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.