Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
330 PM CST SUN MAR 24 1996

SQUALL LINE CONTG TO SWEEP EWRD ACRS FA THIS AFTN WITH DRY PUNCH
MOVG IN.  LAST HR OR SO HV ALSO SEEN STMS FIRE ALNG CDFNT IN N-CNTL
OK.  WITH SYSTM CONTG TO EJECT ACRS PLNS...DRYLN SHLD CONT TO MOV
EWRD WITH CDFNT CLOSE BHND DROPPING ACRS AREA.  STMS SHLD CLR THE
AREA THIS EVNG AS CDNFT/DRYLN MOV ON TO THE EAST.  MESONET DATA
SHOWG VRY STG W/NW WNDS BHND CDFNT/DRYLN WITH BLOWING DUST VSBL
ON SATL.  WL KEEP WND ADVSY INTO THE EARLY EVNG HRS OVR MUCH OF
FA THAT FNT/DRYLN WL CLR BY SUNSET.  WNDS THEN XPCTD TO DMNSH SOME
ARND SUNSET.  WITH TRW ALNG CDFNT WL KEEP MENTION OF SVR TSTMS
ALNG AND EAST OF DRYLN EARLY THISEVNG.  WL WAIT TILL LAST MINUTE
TO DECIDE WRODING FOR WRNMOST ZNS.  WITH PASSAGE OF CDFNT...DRIER
AIR AND CLRG SKIES XPCTD TO DROP TEMPS INTO THE 30S BY MRNG.
THRU THE REMAINING PDS WL KEEP FCST DRY AND TEMPS BELOW NORM.

PRELIM NUMBERS:  TUL 34/42/25/44 2001  BVO 30/42/22/44 2001
                 FSM 40/48/28/48 4001  FYV 33/40/21/42 3001
...04...         MLC 38/48/27/46 2001  IDB 40/54/30/50 4001
                                       BYV 30/40/20/42 4000
.TUL...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-029-OKZ054>077-260200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1200 PM CST SUN MAR 24 1996

...A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
UNTIL 6 PM...

NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.

A POWERFUL EARLY-SPRING STORM WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER THE PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND BRING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
ALONG A STRONG DRYLINE WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE
BARTLESVILLE...TULSA AND MCALESTER AREAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE MID AND LATE
AFTERNOON...AND ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING.  HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH WILL BE LIKELY
FROM THE LINE.

AHEAD OF THE LINE...CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED SUPERCELL STORMS.  THE WIND PROFILE IS FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADO DEVELOPMENT...AND CONDITIONS ALSO FAVOR HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL
SIZE AND WINDS UP TO 70 MPH WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT FORM.  THE
SUPERCELL STORMS AND ASSOCIATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MAINLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40...THOUGH AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL IS POSSIBLE
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL DIMINISH AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND THE DRYLINE.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS ACROSS
EASTE2RN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AND THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

OKZ054>077-250000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
412 PM CST SUN MAR 24 1996

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 114 HAS BEEN CANCELED IN THE FOLLOWING
OKLAHOMA COUNTIES...

OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE  MUSKOGEE MCINTOSH PITTSBURG HASKELL LATIMER

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 114 REMAIN IN EFFECT TO UNTIL 6PM FOR THE
FOLLOWING OKLAHOMA COUNTIES...

ADAIR           CHEROKEE        CRAIG           CREEK
DELAWARE        MAYES
NOWATA          OSAGE
OTTAWA          PAWNEE          ROGERS          SEQUOYAH
TULSA           WAGONER         WASHINGTON
LEFLORE

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN EXTREME EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE
TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AS IT MOVES INTO ARKANSAS
AND ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST FROM
THE TULSA METRO AREA.

SEE SHORT TERM FORECAST FROM THIS OFFICE FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION.