Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
925 AM CDT SUN APR 28 1996

FCST PROB WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR SVR TRW REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFT/EVE.

FIRST LINE OF SVR TRW HAS PUSHED OUT OF AREA AND WEAKENED WITH SCT TRW
BEHIND MAIN LINE. SGF SOUNDING WAS ZAPPED IN TRW THIS MORNING. 50KT LLJ
NOSING INTO S MO AHEAD OF LOW LOCATED OVER OK.  850 10-15 DWPNTS POOLED
OVER CNTRL OK AND SW MO.  WARM FRONT LOCATED ALONG MO/AR BORDER WITH
DWPNTS IN THE 60S JUST TO THE S OF THE FRONT.

INSTABILITIES WILL CLIMB AS THE DAY PROGRESSES AND AS DWPTNS BEGIN TO
INCREASE.  CAPES PROGGED AT 1000+ WITH LI'S EXPECTED IN THE -3 TO -5
RANGE BY AFTERNOON WILL MOST LIKELY CAUSE ANOTHER RD OF SVR WX TO
DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CWA.

FCST TEMPS LOOK A BIT ON THE HIGH SIDE AND WOULD GO MORE IN LINE WITH
THE FAN GUID.  WITH RAIN/CLDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON WILL NOT SEE MUCH SUN TO HEAT THE ATMOSPHERE.

.TOP...ZONE$S LOOK GOOD.
.STL...LOWER TEMPS INTO THE 60S.

LINDENBERG

MOZ088-090-091-093>095-101-102-281845-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1055 AM CDT SUN APR 28 1996

...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI HAS
EXPIRED...
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE MISSOURI...

AT 1040 AM CDT...SPRINGFIELD RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS GENERALLY NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM JOPLIN TO BRANSON.
MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 35 MPH.

THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED TEMPORARILY OVER SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI.  HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
AGAIN PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

AT 1000 AM CDT...JOPLIN POLICE REPORTED THAT SHOAL CREEK JUST SOUTH OF
JOPLIN HAS RISEN FOUR FEET SINCE 700 AM.  ALTHOUGH CURRENT INDICATIONS
ARE THAT THE CREEK WILL REMAIN BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 14
FEET...PERSONS IN LOW LYING AREAS SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIVESTOCK AND PROPERTY.

ANYONE DRIVING THROUGH SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI SHOULD AVOID AREAS
NEAR CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS AS FLASH FLOODING IS
AGAIN POSSIBLE LATER TODAY.

GAEDE/MOORE