Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
241 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 1996

ACTIVITY ONGOING ABOUT AS EXPECTED. GRADIENT TOO STRONG FOR C-BRZ...
BUT INITIAL CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OVER LAKE OKEE HAS LAUNCHED THE
OUTFLOW-O-RAMA OVER SRN CWA. MID LEVEL DRYING PROGGED OVER NRN CWA...
WITH PWATS CONTINUING AOA 1.8 TOMORROW. ALTHOUGH STRONG UPR DIFL ...
MID LEVEL TEMPS MARGINAL WITH WIND FIELDS AT ALL LEVELS WEAKENING ...
THUS PRIMARY THREAT SHOULD SHIFT TO SLOW MOVING HEAVY "RAIN BOMB"
TYPE TRW. WITH WEAKER SFC PGRAD...AREAS BOTH COASTS SHOULD C-BREEZE
WITH SLIGHT WESTERLY COMP LEADING TO HIGHER EAST COAST POPS. PREFER
WETTER LOOKING FAN NOS FOR POPS. LTL DIFF IN MACHINE TEMPS...BOTH
L@OOK A COUPLE OF TICKS LOW.

CRISTALDI

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-091630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1015 AM EDT SUN JUN 9 1996

...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE...

MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR CONTINUES OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. AS
DAYTIME HEATING OCCURS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...SEABREEZES WILL
DEVELOP ALONG BOTH COASTS. THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE SHOULD PROGRESS
RAPIDLY TOWARD THE EAST COAST...AS THE SEA BREEZE ALONG THE EAST
COAST GETS HELD UP FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE COAST.

A FEW STORMS WILL START TO DEVELOP MIDDAY ALONG THE SEABREEZE
BOUNDARIES...THEN AS THE SEABREEZE INTERACTS WITH OUTFLOWS FROM
STORMS TO THE NORTH AND THE WEST COAST SEABREEZE...STORM COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST COAST.

IN ADDITION...STORMS FIRING ALONG A LOW LEVEL PRESSURE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE BIG BEND INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL
LIKELY AFFECT AREAS FROM CAPE CANAVERAL AND ORLANDO NORTH THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE FAIRLY RAPID...TO THE NORTH-
NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH.

A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL. ADDITIONALLY...ANY OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING...AND
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS...PAY
CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE WEATHER AND GO INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF A
THUNDERSTORM.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.
SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MELBOURNE.

MARINE OUTLOOK...SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS
ABOVE 35 KNOTS AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS. A FEW WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

CRISTALDI