Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1027 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 1996

OBVIOUS THAT CHANGES ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING WITH HIGH DEW POINTS
AND LOW CLOUDS.  STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW CONTINUES TO PUMP IN
MOISTURE...WOULD EXPECT AFTERNOON SURFACE DEW POINTS TO STAY IN MID
60S AT MAF FOR FIRST TIME THIS SEASON.  IMPRESSIVE PARAMETERS BOTH
DYNAMICALLY AND THERMODYNAMICALLY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CAPPING INVERSION SLIGHTLY STRENGTHENED IN PAST 24 HOURS AND WITHOUT
DYNAMIC SUPPORT WOULD BE DIFFICULT TO BREAK WITH EXPECTED HIGH
TEMPS.  COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPS AT ELP...BUT LITTLE ADVECTION OR
MOVEMENT OF THAT COOLER AIR THIS DIRECTION.  CUU BALLOON TOOK A
SIESTA...SO HARD TO TELL WHAT KIND OF 700 MB TEMPS WILL BE ADVECTING
INTO REGION.  SPEED MAX COMING INTO AREA ACROSS MEXICO SHOULD AID IN
LIFT AND MAYBE SLIGHT COOLING ALOFT.  THINKING THAT CAP WILL ONLY
DELAY THE ONSET OF STORMS AND WILL NOT PREVENT THEM ALL TtOGETHER.

MOISTURE PRESENTLY AS FAR WEST AS MRF...THINK THAT IT WILL STAY
PRETTY CLOSE TO MOUNTAINS...BUT WILL MIX OUT AT MRF.

CNM 93 10
MAF 89 20
MRF 90 10
P07 90 20

MATHEWS

TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-NMZ027>029-260500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1130 AM CDT (1030 AM MDT) SAT MAY 25 1996

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

SYNOPSIS:  A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST TODAY TOWARD
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS THIS
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE INTERACTS WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN
PLACE OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA.  AREAS EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS OF TEXAS
AND NEW MEXICO WILL MOST LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY THIS THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TODAY.

DUE TO THE HIGHLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS PRESENT AND THE WIND PROFILE
IN THE ATMOSPHERE...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP HAVE A GOOD
CHANCE OF BECOMING SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM
WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO SHOULD KEEP
ABREAST OF THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.  LISTEN TO
RADIO...TV...OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS...WATCHES OR
WARNINGS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

MEAD