Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Amarillo, TX

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
250 PM CDT SUN JUN 2 1996

OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LIES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND THE
WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE.  SURFACE TROUGH IS SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY
SOUTH AND IS NOW ALONG THE OKLAHOMA STATE LINE NEAR KENTON.  BEST
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK TO BE ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES TONIGHT.
STRONGEST NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS ALSO FOUND ACROSS THE NORTH.  WE
WILL UP POPS ACROSS THE NORTH TO AT LEAST 30 PERCENT AND KEEP THE
SOUTH IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY.

MONDAY IS LOOKING BETTER FOR THUNDERSTORMS AS AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST
FLOW ON THE SURFACE DEVELOPS ALONG WITH EVEN WARMER SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT.  SHORT WAVE IS ALSO
PROGGED BY THE ETA AND AVN TO MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLES MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  THUNDERSTORMS MAY LAST
INTO THE NIGHT AS LLJ SHOULD DEVELOP AHEAD OF LEE-SIDE TROUGH ALONG
THE EAST SLOPES OF THE ROCKIES.

WE WILL INSERT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EAST AS
IT LOOKS LIKE A DRYLINE GETS ACTIVE.

ETA AND AVN MODLES WERE CLOSE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER SYSTEMS
AND WERE GENERALLY FOLLOWED FOR THIS FORECAST.  AVN NUMBERS LOOK A
LITTLE COOL FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS...BUT HIGHS LOOK CLOSE.

THE EXTENDED LOOKS DRY AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE FOUR
CORNERS AND NORTHWEST FLOW MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

THANK YOU FOR THE COORDINATION LBB...DDC...ABQ.

A LOOK AT SOME EARLY NUMBERS:

DHT 55/83 56/87 60 333
BVR 56/82 60/86 61 523
AMA 59/83 62/87 62 433

.AMA...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

GOEHRING/COCKRELL/BEAMS

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-030500-

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 2 1996

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA
AND TEXAS PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE PANHANDLES REMAINS RICH WITH LOW-LEVEL
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE.  AS DAYTIME HEATING CONTINUES...THIS WILL LEAD
TO FURTHER DESTABILIZATION OF AN ALREADY UNSTABLE AIRMASS.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.  AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ADVANCING TOWARD THE
CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH
THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST EARLY THIS EVENING...AND WILL ENHANCE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.  THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  THE
VERTICAL WIND PROFILE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTERS ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND
BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

COCKRELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
300 AM CDT SUN JUN 02 1996

TIME(CdT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0250 PM    4.5 W GOODWELL            OK   3/4 TO 1 INCH SIZED HAIL
06/02/96   TEXAS                          REPORTED BY GUYMON OHP.

0305 PM    GOODWELL                  OK   1 INCH SIZED HAIL REPORTED
06/02/96   TEXAS                          BY GUYMON OHP.

GOEHRING/BEAMS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
320 PM CDT SUN JUN 02 1996

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0250 PM    4.5 W GOODWELL            OK   3/4 TO 1 INCH SIZED HAIL
06/02/96   TEXAS                          REPORTED BY GUYMON OHP.

0305 PM    GOODWELL                  OK   1 INCH SIZED HAIL REPORTED
06/02/96   TEXAS                          BY GUYMON OHP.

GOEHRING/BEAMS

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