Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
250 PM CDT WED MAY 17 1995

SATL PICS INDCT CLRG OVR A LRG PART OF SWRN OK.  XPCT TSTMS TO
DVLP AND INTNSFY RPDLY AS THERMAL GRAD TIGHTENS AND UPR SYS CONTS
TO APRCH.  SVR WX THREAT WELL DISCD IN SELS OTLK AND WL NOT
ELABORATE.  HVY RAINFALL THREAT ACRS XTRM NRN PTNS OF FA WHERE A
SFC BNDRY IS XPCTD TO LINGER TNGT.  CONSDRD AN FFA...BUT BLV RPDLY
MOVG TSTMS WL DCRS CHCS FOR FL FLDG OVRNGT.

MDLS SIMILAR IN DPCTG ACTVTY TO DMNSH FM THE WEST WITH TSTMS PRBLY
MOVG EAST OF EOK SHRTLY AFT MIDN.  MAY SEE SOME PARTIAL CLRG...BUT
CLDS SHUD WRAP BACK ARND INTO EOK BY MRNG.  WRAPARND CLDS AND COOL
AIR ADVCTN THURS SHUD KEEP TEMPS BLO NGM MOS MAXES...SPCLY IN NWRN
AR.  LT IN THE DAY SOME CLRG XPCTD FM THE WEST OR SW.  CLRG SKIES
AND DRIER AIR SHUD ALLOW MINS TO FALL INTO THE 40S OVR MUCH OF NERN
OK AND NWRN AR THURS NGT.  MSTLY SUNNY SKIES XPCTD TO RTRN FRIt.

PRELIMS
TUL 57/65/49/75 8100
FSM 60/68/51/75 7200
MLC 61/71/51/76 7100
BVO 54/63/48/74 8100
FYV 59/65/47/73 9200
IDB 62/74/52/77 6200
BYV 58/64/46/72 9200

..11..

.TUL...NONE.

STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA, OK
1248 PM CDT WED MAY 17 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1153 AM    7 W OF OKMULGEE           OK   1.75 INCH HAIL.
05/17/95   OKMULGEE

1200 PM    3 N OF OKMULGEE           OK   0.88 INCH HAIL
05/17/95   OKMULGEE

1220 PM    HASKELL                   OK   1.00 INCH HAIL
           MUSKOGEE

1230 PM    PORTER                    HOK   0.88 INCH HAIL
           WAGONER

1245 PM    WAGONER                   OK   0.88 INCH HAIL
           WAGONER

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-029-OKZ054>077-181200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT WED MAY 17 1995

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.

A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
A FEW STRONG AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM IN NEW
MEXICO MOVES EAST...SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF NUMEROUS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. A SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AS A
DRYLINE MOVES INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS ARE
LIKELY OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AFTER 300 PM AS THE NEW MEXICO WEATHER
SYSTEM APPROACHES. SEVERE STORMS WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
AFTER 400 PM.

THE WIND PROFILE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW
TORNADOES...MAINLY ACROSS VEASTERN OKLAHOMA BETWEEN 300 PM AND 900 PM.

MANY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS WILL NEED
TO BE ACTIVATED BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA, OK
430 PM CDT WED MAY 17 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1145 AM    5 SW OF OKFUSKEE          OK   0.88 INCH HAIL.
05/17/95   OKFUSKEE

 130 PM    5 NW OF COLCORD           OK   0.75 INCH HAIL
05/17/95   DELAWARE

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-029-OKZ054>077-181200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
515 PM CDT WED MAY 17 1995

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA UNTIL 10PM THIS EVENING. THE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 40 AND INCLUDES THE CITIES OF
TULSA...BARTLESVILLE...MIAMI...MUSKOGEE AND TAHLEQUAH.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ELSEWHERE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL BUT EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
UNTIL 10PM THIS EVENING.

THE INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF NUMEROUS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AS
A DRYLINE MOVES INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WERE
ALREADY OCCURRING LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ARE
LIKELY OVER THE REST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
TONIGHT AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST.

THE WIND PROFILE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW
TORNADOES...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY IN MANY OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS.

MANY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL NEED TO BE ACTIVATED8.

STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
532 PM CDT WED MAY 17 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0527 PM    WYNONA              X      OK   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/17/95   OSAGE

0513 PM    JUST SOUTH OF WYNONA      OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/17/95   OSAGE                          CAR BLOWN OFF HWY INTO DITCH
                                          ESTIMATED 80-100 MPH WIND

STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA, OK
608 PM CDT WED MAY 17 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0445 PM    PAWNEE                    OK   0.75 INCH HAIL
05/17/95   PAWNEE

0445 PM    PAWNEE                    OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/17/95   PAWNEE                         LARGE TREE UPROOTED

0552 PM    BIXBY                     OK   0.88 INCH HAIL
05/17/95   TULSA

0600 PM    2 SW OF ONETA             OK   0.88 INCH HAIL
05/17/95   WAGONER