Severe Thunderstorm Warning 90, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
940 AM EDT SUN JUN 11 1995

RECOMMENDATIONS...

RDU...POPS LOW FOR TODAY.  NEED HIGH CHC PIEDMONT AND LIKELY IN
MTNS. TEMPS LOOK O.K.

WBC...FEEL VERY STRONGLY THAT WE NEED AN FFA FOR OUR CWA TODAY. HAVE
CONFIRMED REPORTS OF FLOODING IN FRANKLIN/HENRY/PITT CNTYS FM LAST
NIGHT...AND MAY POINTS IN NRV CLOSE TO YOUR COUNTIES.  BUMP UP POPS
ACRS SRN PIEDMONT.

JUST READ YOUR SFD...AS YOU CAN TELL I AGREE W/ THOT OF FFA!

CRW...NOT TO SURE NRV WL GET TO MID/UPR 80S.  HOW ABT LOW TO MID?
OTRW O.K.  FFA IS A GOOD MOVE.

DISCUSSION...

TODAY WL BE ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY HERE.  QUICK ANALYSIS SHOWS FNT
XTNDING FM CNTRL OH TO WRN TN.  COUPLE OF TSTMS OVR ERN KY ATTM.
MODIFIED GSO SOUNDING TO 87/70 AND THIS GIVE LI OF MINUS 8 AND CAPE
OVR 3000.  HTS ALSO UNSTABLE...THO NOT QUITE AS MUCH.  IN ADDITION
...MESOS SHOW MOISTURE ALREADY BEGINNING TO INCREASE ACRS N CNTRL NC
AND S CNTRL VA. MOISTURE PROGGED TO CONTINUE TO POOL AHD OF CD FNT.

XPCT STMS TO DEVELOP ACRS WRN HALF OF CWA AND ADVECT EWD TODAY...
SIMILAR TO YEST AND THINK SM HEAVY DOWNPOURS LIKELY AS H85 DWPTS ARE
12 TO 14 DEGS AND PW REMAINS HIGH.  SML CREEKS/CULVERTS OVR SRN
PIEDMONT OF VA HAVE PROB RECOVERED SOMEWHAT FM LAST NITES
ACTIVITY...BUT IT WL NOT TAKE MUCH TO PUSH THEM OVR THE EDGE AGAIN.

DESROSIERS

VAZ007-009-111805-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
101 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 1995

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
UNTIL 600 PM FOR FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA INCLUDING THE COUNTIES OF
TAZEWELL AND SMYTH.

AT 1258 PM...WEATHER RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED THUDNERSTORMS BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP OVER BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON COUNTIES.  THESE STORMS WERE
DRIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 25 MILES AN HOUR.  MORE STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OVER SMYTH AND
TAZEWELL COUNTIES AND SOME OF THEM COULD BECOME SEVERE.  THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

ALSO...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.  LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS FROM SOME OF THE STORMS COULD CAUSE FLOODING OF
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS THIS AFTERNOON...CHECK THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION AND KEEP A WEATHER EYE ON THE SKY.  BE PREPARED
TO TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

STAY TUNED TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADIO OR YOU LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

DESROSIERS

VAZ010>017-111810-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
107 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 1995

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP...

AT 106 PM...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NEW RIVER VALLEY.  THE STORMS WERE
MAINLY OVER GRAYSON AND WYTHE COUNTIES AND WERE MOVING TO THE
NORTHEAST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR.

THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS AS THEY MOVE
THROUGH PULASKI AND CARROLL COUNTIES BY 145 PM.

IN ADDITION...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS TO PUSH
OVER THEIR BANKS.  MOTORISTS SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS.

AT SIGNS OF AN IMPENDING STORM...TOWERING THUNDERHEADS...DARKENING
SKIES...LIGHTNING AND INCREASING WINDS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

TUNE IN NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

DESROSIERS

VAZ010>017-111810-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
107 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 1995

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP...

AT 106 PM...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NEW RIVER VALLEY.  THE STORMS WERE
MAINLY OVER GRAYSON AND WYTHE COUNTIES AND WERE MOVING TO THE
NORTHEAST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR.

THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS AS THEY MOVE
THROUGH PULASKI AND CARROLL COUNTIES BY 145 PM.

IN ADDITION...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS TO PUSH
OVER THEIR BANKS.  MOTORISTS SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS.

AT SIGNS OF AN IMPENDING STORM...TOWERING THUNDERHEADS...DARKENING
SKIES...LIGHTNING AND INCREASING WINDS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

TUNE IN NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

DESROSIERS

WVZ045-111835-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
128 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 1995

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM FOR
   GREENBRIER COUNTY...

AT 128 PM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM NICHOLAS COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA SOUTHWEST TO
BUCHANAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA MOVNING EAST AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
NO SEVERE WEATHER WAS OCCURING AT 128 PM...BUT SOME OF THE STORMS
WERE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEFLY VERY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.  AFTER THE NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OF THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS HAVE SATURATED THE
SOIL... SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE ENOUGH RAIN TO CAUSE
FLASH FLOODING.

REMEMBER THAT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

NOGUEIRA

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-
059-WVZ042>045-120105-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
301 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 1995

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TAZEWELL AND SMYTH
COUNTIES UNTIL 6 PM EDT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MERCER...SUMMERS...MONROE
AND GREENBREENBRIER COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA UNTIL 8 PM EDT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR NEW RIVER VALLEY...
ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS...SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY...THE VIRGINIA
PIEDMONT...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL 9 PM EDT..

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...AND THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

AT 300 PM...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM ELKINS...WEST VIRGINIA TO ROANOKE...VIRGINIA TO
BRISTOL...TENNESSEE. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST
VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

REMEMBER THAT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AFTER THE NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OF THE LAST SEVEREL DAYS HAVE SATURATED THE
SOIL...SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCED ENOUGH RAIN TO
CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE
LATEST UPDATES CONCERNI(NG THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

KK

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-
059-WVZ042>045-120105-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
301 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 1995

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TAZEWELL AND SMYTH
COUNTIES UNTIL 6 PM EDT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MERCER...SUMMERS...MONROE
AND GREENBREENBRIER COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA UNTIL 8 PM EDT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR NEW RIVER VALLEY...
ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS...SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY...THE VIRGINIA
PIEDMONT...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL 9 PM EDT..

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...AND THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

AT 300 PM...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM ELKINS...WEST VIRGINIA TO ROANOKE...VIRGINIA TO
BRISTOL...TENNESSEE. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST
VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

REMEMBER THAT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AFTER THE NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OF THE LAST SEVEREL DAYS HAVE SATURATED THE
SOIL...SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCED ENOUGH RAIN TO
CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE
LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

KK