Severe Thunderstorm Warning 148, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED WORDING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
417 PM CDT TUE JUL 4 1995

MAIN PROBLEM WILL BE WHERE THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT. LTST SFC
ANALYSIS SHOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTERSECTING CENTRAL PART OF THE
STATE. BOTH MODELS  BOTH HAVE A GOOD FEEL ON THE SITUATION WITH THE LOW
SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY EASTWARD. FEEL LIKE MOST OF STRONGEST ACTIVITY
WILL BE EAST OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH LESS SVR ACTIVITY WEST OF THE
BOUNDARY. BEST INSABILITY APPEARS TO BE IN THE SE WITH LI-11...BUT THE
LESSER CAP...MOISTURE CONV...AND GOOD SPEED SHEAR IN THE UPPER LEVELS
APPEARS TO BE OVER CENTRAL KANSAS WHICH IS CLOSEST TO THE BETTER
DYNAMICS. THIS AREA WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR THE INITIAL DEVELOPMENT THIS
EVENING. THEN THIS AREA WILL GRADUALLY HEAD EAST TOWARDS THE SE LATER
TNGT. WILL SPLIT GUIDANCE ON TEMPS.

RSL 54/85 32    SLN 54/84 42
ICT 63/87 43    HUT 63/88 32
CNU 65/85 64
COX

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>073-082-083-091>101-041900-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KANSAS
1200 AM CST TUE JUL 4 1995

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL KANSAS:

BARTON      COWLEY      HARVEY      MARION      RENO        SEDGWICK
BUTLER      ELLSWORTH   KINGMAN     MC PHERSON  RUSSELL     SUMNER
CHASE       HARPER      LINCOLN     RICE        SALINE

AND IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS:

ALLEN       CHEROKEE    GREENWOOD    NEOSHO
BOURBON     CRAWFORD    LABETTE      WILSON
CHAUTAUQUA  ELK         MONTGOMERY   WOODSON

SYNOPSIS:

A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW MOVING THROUGH NEBRASKA AND IOWA
WILL BE STRETCHED ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.  THE AIRMASS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE MOIST AND EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT BEGINNING
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ALONG
AND EAST OF A MARION TO WICHITA LINE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS TONIGHT.  AREAS WEST OF THE ABOVE LINE WILL SEE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
JUST A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY THAT THEY WILL 2BE SEVERE.

STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS
TONIGHT.

STRAHAN

KSZ032-068-083-092-042300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
502 PM CDT TUE JUL 4 1995

...TORNADO WATCH #703 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR HARVEY...SEDGWICK...AND
SUMNER COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #704 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR RUSSELL COUNTY
IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER NO LONGER EXIST IN THESE COUNTIES.
THEREFORE...TORNADO WATCH #703 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
HARVEY...SEDGWICK...AND SUMNER COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
ALSO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #704 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR RUSSELL
COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS.

COX

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KSZ032-068-083-092-042300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
502 PM CDT TUE JUL 4 1995

...TORNADO WATCH #703 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR HARVEY...SEDGWICK...AND
SUMNER COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #704 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR RUSSELL COUNTY
IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER NO LONGER EXIST IN THESE COUNTIES.
THEREFORE...TORNADO WATCH #703 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
HARVE Y...SEDGWICK...AND SUMNER COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
ALSO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #704 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR RUSSELL
COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS.

COX