Severe Thunderstorm Warning 136, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1024 PM CDT MON JUL 3 1995

...MAIN WX PROBLEM IS WHEN CONVECTION WILL FIRE THIS EVENING...
SFC MAP SHOWS LOW PRES OVER OK PHNDL...WITH APRNT WMFNT ALONG SRN
KS. DWPTS HAVE CREPT UP TO THE LOWER 70S SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. LTST
PROFILES SHOWING GOOD SPEED SHEAR AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AT THE LOWER
LEVELS BUT LITTLE IF ANY SPIN AT THE UPPER LEVELS. DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
AT THE UPPER LEVELS DOES NOT SEEM TO BE AS APPARENT AS LAST NIGHT.
THIS FACTOR ALONG WITH RUC DATA SHOWING 12 DEG C TEMPS AT 700 IS
PUTTING A CAP ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRW AT THIS TIME. ALTHOUGH 88-D
IS SHOWING A BOUNDARY SITTING BETWEEN HUT TO ICT. THIS BOUNDARY ALONG
WITH THE LLJ...DRY PUNCH IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA...AND 500 MB
TROF DIGGING INTO THE PLAINS TONIGHT. THESE FACTORS STILL MAY GIVE US
A GOOD SHOT OF SVR WX. ONCE THESE STORMS GO THEN WE WILL HAVE NOT
PROBLEM KEEPING THEM GOING DUE TO A VERY UNSTABL@E AIR MASS.
RSL 62/83 44    SLN 62/83 44
ICT 65/83 44    HUT 65/83 44
CNU 68/81 46

COX