Severe Thunderstorm Warning 271, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
235 PM CST SUN DEC 17 1995

EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES ALONG AND INLAND OF THE E-W OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY.  LAST COUPLE OF HOURS OF SATELITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS BOUNDARY
LIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD.  IF THIS TREND CONTINUES SUSPECT HEAVY RAIN
FOCUS COULD SHIFT FURTHER INLAND.  RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 10
INCHES LIKELY ALREADY IN PORTIONS OF BRAZORIA AND MATAGORDAY COUNDIES
WITH LARGE AREA IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES.  ANOTHER AREA OF 3 TO 5 INCH
RAINS OCCURRED OVERNIGHT FROM BURLESON COUNTY EAST THROUGH
LIVINGSTON. WSR-88D ESTIMATES WERE 30% TO 50% BELOW RAINGAGE TOTALS.

AGREE WITH SWODY1 AND QPFERD THAT ALL FEATURES NECESSARY FOR
EXCESSIVE RAIN AND/OR SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
TONIGHT.  A WELL DEFINED SPEED MAX DROPPING INTO BASE OF SW LOW THIS
AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO ENTER SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT. THE COUPLING OF
THAT FEATURE WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET AND THETAE RIDGE OVER OR JUST
WEST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND THE LARGE ENTRANCE REGION OF THE MAIN JET
OVER MID/UPPER MS VALLEY SHOULD RESULT IN MAJOR CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EASTWARD.  NEEDLESS TO
SAY...WILL NEED FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND MENTION OF SEVERE THROUGH
TONIGHT.  FRONT SHOULD COME THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY FOLLOWED BY WINDY
AND COLDER.

IAH...59/63/39/57  +71

30

TXZ177>179-197>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-511-513-180500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON TX
456 PM CST SUN DEC 17 1995
...TORNADO WATCH FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH 11 PM...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT...

AN ABUNDANCE OF GULF MOISTURE WILL INTERACT WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
LOW THAT WILL MOVE INTO TEXAS TONIGHT.  THIS COMBINATION WILL PRODUCE
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT.  SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MILES AN
HOUR...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADOES.  IN ADDITION TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS TONIGHT EXPECTED ARE 3 TO 5 INCHES.

THE CITIES OF HOUSTON...GALVESTON...BRENHAM...EL CAMPO...CONROE...
AND LIVINGSTON ARE INCLUDED IN THE TORNADO WATCH AREA.  THE BRYAN/
COLLEGE STATION AREA IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE FLASH FLOOD AREA.

ALL INTERESTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THIS WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...STATEMENTS...
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

  THE WARMEST WAS AT KEOKUK...WITH A
R
 AT 400 PM.  WINERE NORTHEAST STIDE THIS
AFTER.  SPEEDS WERE IE 10 TO 15 MPH R.

MS DEC 95r*HWUUS6
<ES. HIGHS
30 T.
.MONDAY NIGHCLOUDY WITH AREAu7WWUS
`NKLES OR
FLURRK3WWUS
T6WWUS$
o6WWUSR
lF6WWUS
_[WWUS


.WEDNESDAYMy{WWUS,
thDf6WWUSp
xD{WWUS
	p. HIGHS 30 TO 35.

TXZ177>179-197>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-511-513-180500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON TX
456 PM CST SUN DEC 17 1995
...TORNADO WATCH FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH 11 PM...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT...

AN ABUNDANCE OF GULF MOISTURE WILL INTERACT WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
LOW THAT WILL MOVE INTO TEXAS TONIGHT.  THIS COMBINATION WILL PRODUCE
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT.  SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MILES AN
HOUR...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADOES.  IN ADDITION TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS TONIGHT EXPECTED ARE 3 TO 5 INCHES.

THE CITIES OF HOUSTON...GALVESTON...BRENHAM...EL CAMPO...CONROE...
AND LIVINGSTON ARE INCLUDED IN THE TORNADO WATCH AREA.  THE BRYAN/
COLLEGE STATION AREA IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE FLASH FLOOD AREA.

ALL INTERESTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THIS WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES...STATEMENTS...
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

  THE WARMEST WAS AT KEOKUK...WITH A
R
 AT 400 PM.  WINERE NORTHEAST STIDE THIS
AFTER.  SPEEDS WERE IE 10 TO 15 MPH R.

MS DEC 95r*HWUUS6
<ES. HIGHS
30 T.
.MONDAY NIGHCLOUDY WITH AREAu7WWUS
`NKLES OR
FLURRK3WWUS
T6WWUS$
o6WWUSR
lF6WWUS
_[WWUS


.WEDNESDAYMy{WWUS,
thDf6WWUSp
xD{WWUS
	p. HIGHS 30 TO 35.

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