Severe Thunderstorm Warning 113, NWS Kansas City, MO

NORTHWEST MISSOURI FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL/KANSAS CITY MO
248 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 1995

WE HAVE A REAL PROBLEM.  LOOKS LIKE SVRL DAYS OF HVY RAIN AHEAD...ON
TOP OF WATER-LOGGED GROUND AND FLOODED RIVERS.  FF WATCH DEFINATELY
WARRANTED.  GOOD FLD STMT FM STL REGARDING SITN.  JUCIY AIR WITH 70+
DWPTS ALREADY AND PW'S QUITE HIGH AS WELL.  TROP CONX IN PLACE AHEAD
OF EJECTING CUT-OFF.  COUPLED JET LOOKS LIKE IT WILL SET UP TO ENHANCE
ALREADY GOOD DYNAMICS...AND FOCUS ALNG STNRY FNT ACRS SRN KS/CTRL MO
THRU THURS.  WHAT A MESS!  SVR POTENTIAL THERE AS WELL AS ZOUNDIES ARE
VRY UNSTABLE.  ACTION ALREADY GETTING STARTED ACRS KS AND SHOULD BE INTO
WEST MO BY 5-6PM.  ADAP SUGGESTS AS THESE REACH ERN KS THEY MAY GET MUCH
BIGGER IN AREA OF -12 LI...MONSTER MCONVG AND BEST MIXR AIR.  ALSO SOME
RW POPPING IN METRO NOW.  THEN MORE EXPECTED AGAIN LATER...AND LATER...
AND LATER.   WITH ALL THE CLDS AND PCPN LOW DIURNAL SLWINGS LIKELY PER
FWC GUID.   WILL FOLLOW THAT WITH SOME ADJUSTMENT.
 MCI    61/69   ++

.EAX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF FCST AREA.

WELVAERT

LOCAL STORM REPORT SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL/KANSAS CITY MO
1255 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 1995

...STORM REPORTS FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF MAY 16...

TIME/DATE   LOCATION/COUNTY         STATE      EVENT/REMARKS

0150 CDT   BASEHORE                  KS   TREES DOWN REPORTED BY
05/16/95   LEAVENWORTH                    SHERIFF

0155 CDT   KANSAS CITY               MO   WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH
05/16/95   JACKSON

0200 CDT   KANSAS CITY               MO   ROOF BLOWN OFF OF LINCOLN
05/16/95   JACKSON                        ACADAMY SCHOOL AT 22ND &
                                          WOODLAND.  (TIME APPROX)

0215 CDT   KANSAS CITY               MO   ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
05/16/95   JACKSON                        WATER...25TH & SW TRAFFICWAY

0254 CDT   3 S BATES CITY            MO   TREES DOWN NEAR Z & TT HWYS
05/13/95   LAFAYETTE                      REPORTED BY SHERIFF

0300 CDT   KANSAS CITY               KS   SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER
05/16/95   WYANDOTTE                      IN SOUTHERN PART OF THE
                                           COUNTY.

0500 CDT   1 S PLEASANT HILL         MO   WATER OVER HWY 7 JUST
05/16/95   CASS                 n          SOUTH OF THE BRIDGE
                                          OVER BIG CREEK.

WELVAERT

MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-067-
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-171100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL/KANSAS CITY MO
100 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 1995

THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE EASTERN KANSAS COUNTIES OF

ATCHISON  DONIPHAN  JOHNSON  LEAVENWORTH  LINN  MIAMI  WYANDOTTE

AND THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSOURI COUNTIES OF

ADAIR      CASS       GENTRY     JOHNSON     PETTIS    SCHUYLER
ANDREW     CHARITON   GRUNDY     LAFAYETTE   PLATTE    SULLIVAN
ATCHISON   CLAY       HARRISON   LINN        PUTNAM    WORTH
BATES      CLINTON    HENRY      LIVINGSTON  RANDOLPH
BUCHANAN   COOPER     HOLT       MACON       RAY
CALDWELL   DAVIESS    HOWARD     MERCER      ST CLAIR
CARROLL    DEKALB     JACKSON    NODAWAY     SALINE

...SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY TONIGHT...

THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE REGION IS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE.  A COLD
FRONT ACROSS NEBRASKA WILL SAG INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING...SETTING
OFF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSOURI
AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.  ALSO...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
ACROSS KANSAS IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG WIND SHEAR IN THE LOWER
LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.  THIS WILL SET OFF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
KANSAS WHICH WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING AND
LAST THROUGH THE NIGHT.

THUS...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...
WITH THE BEST CHANCE CLOSER TO THE KANSAS BORDER.  THE PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAINS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PAOLA KANSAS
TO MOBERLY MISSOURI TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINS.
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...THIS FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXPANDED
TO COVER MOST OF THE REGION.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND SPOTTER GROUPS MAY BE NEEDED FOR
ACTIVATION TONIGHT.  ALSO...PERSONS ARE URGED TO BE ALERT FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF HIGH WATER LATER TONIGHT.  BE SURE TO STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR TELEVISION STATION
AND STAY ABREAST OF THE LATEST WEATHER DEVELOPMENTS.

IF HIGH WATER IS ENCOUNTERED...DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH
IT.  THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE MUCH GREATER THAN IT LOOKS.  DON'T BE A
STATISTIC...TAKE THE EXTRA TIME TO GO AROUND.

WELVAERT