Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 1995

Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Detroit, MI

July 15, 1995Lenawee County, Monroe County, Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 1995, 6:51 PM EDT for Lenawee County, Monroe County, Michigan. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 1995, 6:51 PM EDT (22:51 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 1995, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI
Area
Whole counties

Counties Lenawee County, MI, Monroe County, MI

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 1995-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2755 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 1995-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -170 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2755 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-146 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
798 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-170 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-10.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KDTX 152255
FFWDTX
MIC091-115-160100-
 
BULLETIN - EBS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT PONTIAC MI
651 PM EDT SAT JUL 15 1995
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL  900 PM EDT
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
 
IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
 
   ...LENAWEE COUNTY...MONROE COUNTY
 
AT 700 PM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL
ESTIMATES OF NEARLY 3.00 INCHES OF RAIN ALONG M-52 SOUTH OF ADRIAN
BETWEEN 600 PM AND 700 PM EDT AND OVER 5.00 INCHES SINCE THE
THUNDERSTORMS BEGAN.
 
FLOODING HAS ALSO BEEN REPORTED IN MONROE COUNTY AT THE INTERSECTION OF
US-23 AND M-50.
 
HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH 800 PM AS THE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE SLOWLY
TO THE EAST THROUGH THESE COUNTIES.
 
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS
IMMINENT.  MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.  DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS
THE ROADWAY.  NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL
ONE...ON FOOT.  TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
 
 
KEYES
&

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 1:49 PM EDT, 5 hours 2 minutes before
MIZ016>083-161200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
150 PM EDT SAT JUL 15 1995

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR MICHIGAN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE LOWER PENINSULA. THIS AREA IS
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM OSCODA TO NEAR MANISTEE.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP SOUTHERN LOWER PENINSULA. SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS 60 MPH AND HAIL
TO 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHERN
LOWER... HOWEVER THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. WIND GUSTS TO 35 MILES AN HOUR AN D SMALL HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS CONCERNING
THIS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL

KEYES
Special weather statement, Jul 15, 1:50 PM EDT, 5 hours 1 minute before
MIZ016>083-161200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
150 PM EDT SAT JUL 15 1995

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR MICHIGAN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE LOWER PENINSULA. THIS AREA IS
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM OSCODA TO NEAR MANISTEE.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP SOUTHERN LOWER PENINSULA. SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS 60 MPH AND HAIL
TO 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHERN
LOWER... HOWEVER THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. WIND GUSTS TO 35 MILES AN HOUR AND SMALL HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS CONCERNING
THIS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL

KEYES
Special weather statement, Jul 15, 2:45 PM EDT, 4 hours 6 minutes before
MIZ031>083-152000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
245 PM EDT SAT JUL 15 1995

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO-
   THIRDS OF LOWER MICHIGAN...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF
LOWER MICHIGAN UNTIL 700 PM THIS EVENING. THE WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM OSCODA...IN IOSCO COUNTY...TO ARCADIA...IN
MANISTEE COUNTY AND EXTENDS SOUTHWARD TO THE INDIANA AND OHIO BORDERS.

SOME OF THE CITIES INCLUDED IN THIS WATCH ARE MANISTEE...TAWAS
CITY...MOUNT PLEASANT...FLINT...GRAND RAPIDS...BENTON HARBOR...LANSING
AND THE DETROIT METRO AREA.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORRENTIAL RAINS...
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AS THEY
MOVE EAST AROUND 20 MPH.

PERSONS IN THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA SHOULD STAY ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER IF
THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

BT
Special weather statement, Jul 15, 2:45 PM EDT, 4 hours 6 minutes before
MIZ031>083-152000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
245 PM EDT SAT JUL 15 1995

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO-
   THIRDS OF LOWER MICHIGAN...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF
LOWER MICHIGAN UNTIL 700 PM THIS EVENING. THE WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM OSCODA...IN IOSCO COUNTY...TO ARCADIA...IN
MANISTEE COUNTY AND EXTENDS SOUTHWARD TO THE INDIANA AND OHIO BORDERS.

SOME OF THE CITIES INCLUDED IN THIS WATCH ARE MANISTEE...TAWAS
CITY...MOUNT PLEASANT...FLINT...GRAND RAPIDS...BENTON HARBOR...LANSING
AND THE DETROIT METRO AREA.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORRENTIAL RAINS...
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AS THEY
MOVE EAST AROUND 20 MPH.

PERSONS IN THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA SHOULD STAY ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER IF
THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

...CORRECTION TO WATCH EXPIRATION TIME...

BT
/
Special weather statement, Jul 15, 2:51 PM EDT, 4 hours before
MIZ031>083-152000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
245 PM EDT SAT JUL 15 1995

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO-
   THIRDS OF LOWER MICHIGAN...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF
LOWER MICHIGAN UNTIL 700 PM THIS EVENING. THE WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM OSCODA...IN IOSCO COUNTY...TO ARCADIA...IN
MANISTEE COUNTY AND EXTENDS SOUTHWARD TO THE INDIANA AND OHIO BORDERS.

SOME OF THE CITIES INCLUDED IN THIS WATCH ARE MANISTEE...TAWAS
CITY...MOUNT PLEASANT...FLINT...GRAND RAPIDS...BENTON HARBOR...LANSING
AND THE DETROIT METRO AREA.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORRENTIAL RAINS...
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AS THEY
MOVE EAST AROUND 20 MPH.

PERSONS IN THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA SHOULD STAY ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER IF
THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

...CORRECTION TO WATCH EXPIRATION TIME...

BT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland55 min
Jul 15, 3:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXShiawassee68 min
Jul 15, 3:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXGenesee30 min
Jul 15, 3:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland55 min
Jul 15, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXGenesee54 min
Jul 15, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXWayne55 min
Jul 15, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee58 min
Jul 15, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXRoscommon52 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 1995Every flash flood warning in 1995

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.