Severe Thunderstorm Warning 175, NWS Dodge City, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
350 PM CDT MON JUL 3 1995

TSTMS STRTG TO FIRE OVER NWRN KS AND SERN CO.  ADAP COMPOSITE SHOWING
SFC BASE LI`S TO -11 OVER SWRN KS.  MOCON AXIS IS ALONG KS/CO BORDER AND
STGST LOW LVL THTA ADVN BULLSEYE OVER OK PHNDL SOUTH OF EHA.  TSTMS SHULD
CONT TO DVLP IN THIS AREA.  PROFILERS SHOWING SRLY WINDS INCRG IN DEPTH
AT HVL.  PROF HODOGRAPH INDCTNG HELICITY VALUES HAVE SETTLED DWN TO
AOB 50 M2S2 WITH BETTER VALUES FURTHER EAST.  CNSDRG INSTAB WILL NEED TO
MENTN POSS SVR STRMS IN EVE.  CLD FNT TO MOVE INTO AREA LATER TNGT AND
THRU AREA ON TUE.  COOLER AIRMSS BEHIND FNT COMBD WITH WRAPAROUND CLDS
AND PRECIP SHOULD KEEP TMPS DOWN INTO THE UPPER 70S OVER WRN PTNS AREA.

GERARD

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-040000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1105 AM CDT SUN JUL 2 1995

SYNOPSIS: A MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS IN PLACE OVER SOUTHWEST
KANSAS.  A SURFACE TROF OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED BETWEEN GARDEN CITY AND
DODGE CITY WILL ACT AS A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
THIS AFTERNOON.  THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAINS.  THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF
TORNADOES.

OTHER THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THESE WILL BE MOVING EAST INTO THE SOUTHWEST
CORNER OF KANSAS THIS EV,ENING.  THESE STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO BE
STRONG TO SEVERE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

GERARD

KSZ074-032145-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
414 PM CDT MON JUL 3 1995

AT 412 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR
BIG BOW HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL
REPORTED HAIL UP 1 INCH WITH THIS STORM AT 358 PM NEAR BIG BOW.  THE
WARNING FOR EASTERN STANTON WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHERN STANTON UNTIL 500 PM CDT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA.  REMEMBER
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES
WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

&

KSZ074-032145-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
414 PM CDT MON JUL 3 1995

AT 412 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR
BIG BOW HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL
REPORTED HAIL UP 1 INCH WITH THIS STORM AT 358 PM NEAR BIG BOW.  THE
WARNING FOR EASTERN STANTON WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHERN STANTON UNTIL 500 PM CDT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA.  REMEMBER
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES
WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

&

KSZ074-032200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
430 PM CDT MON JUL 3 1995

AT 430 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN
NORTHERN STANTON WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF JOHNSON NEAR HIGHWAY 27.
THE STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
OPEN FARMLAND AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE HIGH WINDS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA.  REMEMBER
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES
WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

KSZ074-032200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
430 PM CDT MON JUL 3 1995

AT 430 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN
NORTHERN STANTON WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF JOHNSON NEAR HIGHWAY 27.
THE STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
OPEN FARMLAND AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE HIGH WINDS.
 4

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA.  REMEMBER
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES
WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.