Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1009 AM EDT SUN APR 30 1995

WBC DELTAS...
POPS...TODAY AND TONIGHT...REMOVE MENTION OF /POSSIBLE/.

RDU DELTAS...
POPS...TODAY AND TONIGHT...REMOVE MENTION OF /CHANCE/.

DISCO:
ERLY AM DATA ANALYS DEPICTNG DBL BARRL LO CNTRS OVR ERN KY...W/WRM
FRNT XTNDNG INTO CNTRL VA. 850/700 WAA GENERATNG SHOWERS AND TRWS
OVR NE SECTIONS OF CWA. OHP ABOUT ONE INCH PER HOUR...STP SINCE 07Z
OF 1.9 IN NARROW BAND FM SW OF RIC TO SBY. MOVEMENT TO NE AT 30-40
KTS.

UA DATA FAVORS LO TOP...ELEVATED CONVECT NORTH OF BNDRY. WK 500 S/W
MAY BRING ENUF COOLING TO DESTABILIZE AMS AND PRODUCE ISOLTD EMBEDD
CONVECT THRU 18Z EAST OF RIC-AKQ LINE. AT PRESS TIME...SUN DIMLY VIS
AT AKQ.

NOWCAST...
MAIN AREA OF PRECIP CONT TO AFFECT NE CWA. ECHO TRAINNG OVR
CHESTERFIELD...HENRICO...AND NEW KENT WILL BEAR WATCHNG. UA DATA
DOES NOT FAVOR SVR TRW WITH LIMITED SHR PROFILE AND MID LEVL CAPS.

EVENING...
WRM SECTOR MOVS ACROS SRN CWA WITH -4 LIS OVR NE NC. UPSTREAM DRY
PUNCH AT 700 OVR-RIDNG JUICY LOLVLS WILL PRODUCE VIVID PUP DISPLAYS.
ELSEWHERE...LI BELO 0 OVR MOST OF CWA BUT W/OUT STRNG DYNAMICS...
ONLY ISOLD CONVCTN AT THIS TIME.

FFS MAYN BE REQ OVR AREAS RECEIVNG TRWS WHERE HVIEST RNFL HAS FALLN
THIS MORNING.

JK

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1028 AM EDT SUN APR 30 1995

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER NORTHEAST VIRGINIA AND
THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...

AT 1025 AM...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHEREAST VIRGINIA AND THE.
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. HEAVIEST RAIN WAS FALLING OVER NEW KENT COUNTY...
AND PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE PENINSULA...NORTHERN NECK...AND THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA. ALL AREAS OF PRECIPITATION WERE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30
TO 40 MPH.

RADAR DERIVED PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT
BETWEEN ONE-HALF /0.50/ TO ONE /1.00/ INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER
PORTIONS OF KING WILLIAM ...KING AND QUEEN...AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES
DURING THE PAST HOUR.  SINCE 3 AM...THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS FALLEN ALONG A
LINE FROM CHESTERFIELD COUNTY TO NORTHUMBERLAND COUNTY IN VIRGINIA...
WHERE SOME AREAS HAVE RECEIVED CLOSE TO TWO /2.00/ INCHES.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION IF DRIVING THIS MORNING. BE
ON THE LOOKOUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

FOR THE LATEST IN WEATHER INFORMATION...STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER TES.
RADIO....OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION STATIONS.

KELLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1120 AM EDT SUN APR 30 1995

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO FALL OVER NORTHEAST VIRGINIA AND
THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...

AT 1120 AM...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OCCURING OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE
PENINSULA...NORTHERN NECK...AND THE DELMARVA PENINSULA.

EAST OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE HEAVIEST RAIN WAS FALLING OVER THE
TOWN OF KING WILLIAM IN KING WILLIAM COUNTY...AND OVER SOUTHERN ESSEX
AND NORTHERN MIDDLESEX COUNTIES.

ON THE DELMARVA...THE RAIN WAS HEAVIEST OVER THE TOWNS OF PRINCESS ANN
AND CRISFIELD IN SOMERSET COUNTY. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WAS MOVING
INTO NORTHAMPTON COUNTY VIRGINIA NEAR THE TOWN OF CAPE CHARLES.

ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 40 MPH.

RADAR DERIVED PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT BETWEEN ONE-HALF
/0.50/ TO ONE /1.00/ INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF MIDDLESEX
AND LANCASTER COUNTIES DURING THE PAST HOUR. SINCE 3 AM...THE HEAVIEST
RAIN HAS FALLEN ALONG A LINE FROM CHESTERFIELD COUNTY TO NORTHUMBERLAND
COUNTY IN VIRGINIA... WHERE CENTRAL SECTIONS KING WILLIAM...KING AND
QUEEN...AND ESSEX COUNTIES HAVE RECEIVED ALMOST /2.00/ INCHES.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION IF DRIVING THIS MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON. BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS
...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS..

FOR THE LATEST IN WEATHER INFORMATION...STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO....AND YOUR LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION STATIONS.

KELLER