Tornado Warning 3, NWS Fort Worth, TX

NORTH TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FT WORTH TX
1100 AM CST TUE MAR 1 1988

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN
SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND LATE TONIGHT.

THE COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED THROUGH AREA ON MONDAY WAS WORKING ITS WAY
BACK AS A WARM FRONT LATE THIS MORNING.  AS OF 11 AM IT WAS LOCATED
IN THE VCINITY OF ABILENE TO SHERMAN BEFORE DISSIPATING OR WASHING OUT
TO THE EAST.  THIS WARM FRONT IS MOVING TO THE NORTH BUT COULD PROVIDE
ENOUGH CONVERGENCE WHICH COMBINED WITH AFTERNOON HEATING COULD SET OFF
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS.

THE MORNING SOUDINGS SHOW THE AIRMASS OVER NORTH TEXAS TO BE UNSTABLE
AND WITH LITTLE CAPPING AT THE LOWER LEVELS.  THE WINDS AT THE LOWER
LEVELS ALSO SHOW SOME TURNING WITH HEIGHTH BUT VELOCITIES ARE
RELATIVELY WEAK UP THROUGH 500 MILLIBARS.

SO THE LIKELYHOOD OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS GONE UP OVER THE WESTERN HALF
OF NORTH TEXAS SINCE THE 4 AM FORECAST.  HOWEVER WITH WEAK WINDS
ALOFT TORNADIC STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.  AT THE SAME TIME WITH THE
STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT HAIL COULD BE A POSSIBILITY.

SPOTTERS IN THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS SHOULD BE MONITORING
THE LOCAL RADIOS OR CONTACTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.  SIGNIFICANT
THUNDERSTORM OUTBREAK IS NOT EXPECTED HOWEVER UNTIL AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES GET INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S.  GENERAL MOVEMENT OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST IF AND WHEN THEY FORM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.

AS THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTH TONIGHT AND GENERALLY
OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA...A DRY LINE WILL BE FORMING OVER WEST TEXAS.
A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVING OUT THE THE UPPER TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD BE REACTING WITH THIS
DRY LINE SOMETIME TONIGHT.  THESE STORMS COULD AND SHOULD BE AFFECTING
THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS BEFORE SUNRISE OR AT THE LEAST
SOMETIME AROUND SUNRISE.  THE SEVERITY OF THESE STORMS REMAINS TO BE
SEEN BUT ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH THE ADVENT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND CONINUED
COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT.  THEREFORE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS.