Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2019

EF0 tornado, Baldridge to Bakersfield, Texas, May 17, 2019

From Baldridge to Bakersfield, this EF0 tornado ran 2.4 miles across Pecos County on May 17, 2019, touching down at 4:43 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 17, 2019
Touchdown
4:43 PM CDT (21:43 UTC)
Lifted
4:55 PM CDT (21:55 UTC)
On the ground
12 minutes
Path length
2.4 miles (3.9 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Pecos County
Touchdown point
30.829, -102.559
Lift-off point
30.839, -102.520
Record number
1905171543-01

What the Weather Service recorded

An upper trough was over the western part of the country with a dryline across parts of West Texas. Very good instability and moisture were present east of the dryline. There was also good rotation in the atmosphere. These conditions resulted in thunderstorms with large hail and a tornado in Pecos County.

A thunderstorm produced a tornado between Fort Stockton and Bakersfield in Pecos County. The thunderstorm tracked eastward along the Interstate 10 corridor. Trained spotters and emergency management witnessed the development of a tornado approximately two miles south of mile marker 279. The tornado traveled approximately two miles east northeast before spotters lost visual of the tornado as it became rain-wrapped. No damage was reported from this tornado and the path width is unknown. The estimated peak wind was 80 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:30 UTC and running to 04:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:30 UTC04:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchMAF
20:52 UTC21:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
21:39 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
21:49 UTC22:30 UTCTornado WarningMAF
22:25 UTC01:30 UTCFlood AdvisoryMAF
22:27 UTC23:15 UTCTornado WarningMAF
22:43 UTC23:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
23:15 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WarningMAF
23:19 UTC02:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryMAF
23:44 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
23:57 UTC00:45 UTCTornado WarningMAF
00:40 UTC00:58 UTCTornado WarningMAF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:56 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 12:00Z

9.7 hours before the tornado, 128 km from the path. May 17, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 746 joules per kilogram, CIN -394, lifted condensation level 1491 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 200 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 31 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
746 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-394 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1499 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1491 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 00:00Z

2.3 hours after it, 128 km from the path. May 18, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 706 joules per kilogram, CIN -7, lifted condensation level 2606 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 55 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
706 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1495 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2606 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
2 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6
0-3 km lapse rate
9.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Fort Stockton (FST), 37 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:45 UTC70° 9 kt
19:50 UTC60° 9 kt1007.8
19:53 UTC895190° 11 kt1007.5
19:55 UTC80° 10 kt
20:00 UTC60° 7 kt1007.5
20:05 UTC60° 5 kt
20:10 UTC 1007.1
20:15 UTC60° 8 kt
20:20 UTC90° 10 kt
20:25 UTC100° 10 kt
20:30 UTC60° 8 kt1006.4
20:35 UTC350° 8 kt
20:40 UTC350° 7 kt
20:41 UTC8956360° 7 kt1006.4VCTS
20:45 UTC360° 8 kt
20:50 UTC 1006.1
20:53 UTC9057 1006.1VCTS
20:55 UTC10° 5 kt
21:00 UTC
21:05 UTC 16 kt
21:10 UTC90° 14 kt1006.1
21:15 UTC 14 kt
21:20 UTC 14 kt
21:25 UTC 13 kt
21:30 UTC 15 kt
21:34 UTC876390° 15 kt1005.8TS
21:35 UTC100° 16 kt1005.8
21:40 UTC 16 kt
21:45 UTC 19 kt
21:46 UTC8566100° 18 kt231005.8
21:50 UTC90° 16 kt1005.8
21:53 UTC8466100° 15 kt231005.8
21:55 UTC80° 16 kt
22:00 UTC 15 kt
22:05 UTC 15 kt
22:10 UTC90° 15 kt1005.8
22:15 UTC90° 14 kt1005.4
22:20 UTC100° 15 kt
22:25 UTC70° 13 kt18
22:30 UTC 15 kt20
22:35 UTC90° 16 kt1005.8
22:40 UTC80° 15 kt
22:45 UTC80° 15 kt1005.4
22:50 UTC80° 13 kt1005.4
22:53 UTC846370° 14 kt1005.4
22:55 UTC90° 13 kt1005.4
23:00 UTC90° 11 kt1005.4
23:05 UTC90° 11 kt1005.4
23:10 UTC90° 13 kt1005.1
23:15 UTC90° 13 kt
23:20 UTC90° 11 kt
23:25 UTC90° 11 kt
23:30 UTC80° 13 kt
23:35 UTC90° 11 kt1005.1
23:40 UTC90° 13 kt

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 128 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:43 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:48 UTCHAIL 1.257 E Fort StocktonPecos, TX
20:54 UTCHAIL 18 E Fort StocktonPecos, TXHAIL REPORTED ON I-10 AT MILE MARKER 267 BY LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
21:05 UTCHAIL 1.758 E Fort StocktonPecos, TXHAIL WAS REPORTED ON I-10 AT MILE MARKER 267 BY LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
21:22 UTCHAIL 114 E Fort StocktonPecos, TXHAIL WAS REPORTED AT THE INTERSECTION OF I-10 AND HWY 67.
21:30 UTCHAIL 2.515 E Fort StocktonPecos, TXHAIL WAS REPORTED ON I-10 BETWEEN MILE MARKER 274 AND 276.
21:48 UTCTORNADO10 W BakersfieldPecos, TXPUBLIC REPORTED TORNADO JUST SOUTH OF I-10 AT APPROXIMATELY MILE MARKER 285.
23:26 UTCHAIL 1.512 W IraanPecos, TX
23:59 UTCHAIL 1.75IraanPecos, TX
00:05 UTCHAIL 2.5IraanPecos, TX

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 17, 2019

21 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 175:40 PM CDTUnratedHitchcock, NE0.375
May 175:55 PM CDTEF2Red Willow, NE6.0350
May 176:10 PM CDTEF0Red Willow, NE3.0100
May 176:32 PM CDTEF0Frontier, NE0.120
May 176:45 PM CDTEF0Frontier, NE0.150
May 176:55 PM CDTEF0Frontier, NE0.5315$1,000
May 176:58 PM CDTEF2Frontier, NE0.6178$12,000
May 177:05 PM CDTEF3Frontier, NE2.1400$100,000
May 177:12 PM CDTEF0Frontier, NE0.340
May 177:15 PM CDTEF1Frontier, NE4.7400$250,000
May 177:32 PM CDTUnratedBeaver, OK to KS6.750
May 177:54 PM CDTEF1Dawson, NE9.8600$900,000
May 178:15 PM CDTEF0Dawson, NE1.6150
May 178:30 PM CDTEF1Custer, NE0.192$15,000
May 178:36 PM CDTEF0Meade, KS1.550
May 178:37 PM CDTEF3Meade, KS29.6600$500,000
May 178:46 PM CDTEF0Clark, KS0.425
May 179:30 PM CDTEF2Ford, KS14.9875
May 1710:19 PM CDTEF2Edwards, KS10.9565
May 1711:28 PM CDTUnratedPawnee, KS0.850
May 1711:30 PM CDTUnratedBarton, KS0.250

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.