Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2019

Unrated tornado, Forgan to Meade State Park, Oklahoma, May 17, 2019

From Forgan to Meade State Park, this Unrated tornado ran 6.7 miles across Beaver and Meade counties on May 17, 2019, touching down at 7:32 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
May 17, 2019
Touchdown
7:32 PM CDT (00:32 UTC)
Lifted
7:45 PM CDT (00:45 UTC)
On the ground
13 minutes
Path length
6.7 miles (10.8 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
Beaver and Meade counties
Touchdown point
36.962, -100.564
Lift-off point
37.052, -100.515
Record number
1905171832-01

The damage survey

2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DDC, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0.

  • Based on chaser video the tornado crossed from Oklahoma at approximate this point. There was only rangeland grass a this location but based on video the tornado may have had winds greater than 100 MPH.
  • Likely end point based on chaser video as the tornado roped out.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A dryline moved through parts of the eastern Panhandles the afternoon of the 17th. Moisture (dewpoint temperatures) where much greater ahead of the boundary and instability was high enough for a few storms to form. There was sufficient wind shear (good clockwise turning of wind with height in this case) to allow a supercell thunderstorm to rapidly developed as it moved from southern to northern Beaver County, Oklahoma. A few miles south of the Oklahoma / Kansas, a tornado was reported with this supercell as the storm then quickly exited the Oklahoma Panhandle into southern Kansas as the tornado remained over rural, open country.

Severe thunderstorms developed in the panhandle of Oklahoma and up into southwest Kansas during the early evening along a dryline. Storms struggled to develop all afternoon due to warm air aloft but once they did form explosive growth was realized. Several long tracked and strong tornadoes occurred with the strongest storms.

Based on radar, pictures, reports, and videos, the best estimate was a touchdown around 733 PM CDT and crossed over the OK/KS state line around 735 pm. It then continued for at least another 5 minutes into rural southern KS. No damage was reported as the tornado remained in rough, open country.

This tornado moved out of Oklahoma but damage was not apparent as it passed through native grasses with no structures to hit.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:56 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Dodge City, (KDDC), 00:00Z

0.5 hours before the tornado, 102 km from the path. May 18, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2019-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2358 joules per kilogram, CIN -51, lifted condensation level 1267 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2019-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 314 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2358 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3094 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1267 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.4
Supercell composite
22.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Dodge City, (KDDC), 12:00Z

11.5 hours after it, 102 km from the path. May 18, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2019-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -71180, lifted condensation level 2065 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2019-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -51 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 65 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71180 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2065 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 98 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:32 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:33 UTCTORNADO5 Nnw ForganBeaver, OKBASED ON RADAR, PICTURES, REPORTS, AND VIDEOS, THE BEST ESTIMATE WAS A TOUCHDOWN AROUND 733PM AND CROSSED OVER THE OK/KS STATE LINE AROUND 735 PM. IT THEN CONTINUED FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 5 MINUTES INTO RURAL SOUTHERN KS.
00:35 UTCTORNADO5 Nnw ForganBeaver, OKBASED ON RADAR, PICTURES, REPORTS, AND VIDEOS, THE BEST ESTIMATE WAS A TOUCHDOWN AROUND 735PM AND CROSSED OVER THE OK/KS STATE LINE AROUND 741 PM.
00:35 UTCTORNADO14 Ssw Meade State ParkMeade, KSTHE TORNADO SPUN UP VERY QUICKLY NEAR THE STATE LINE AND MOVED NORTHEAST.
00:52 UTCHAIL 24 W Meade State ParkMeade, KSTHE HAIL WAS REPORTED TO BE 2.25 INCHES IN DIAMETER.
01:05 UTCHAIL 1MeadeMeade, KSQUARTER-SIZED HAIL IN PROGRESS.
01:37 UTCTORNADO3 Nw FowlerMeade, KSTHE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN BRIEFLY AND PRODUCED A DEBRIS CLOUD.
01:47 UTCTORNADO2 W MinneolaClark, KS

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 17, 2019

21 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 174:43 PM CDTEF0Pecos, TX2.4100
May 175:40 PM CDTUnratedHitchcock, NE0.375
May 175:55 PM CDTEF2Red Willow, NE6.0350
May 176:10 PM CDTEF0Red Willow, NE3.0100
May 176:32 PM CDTEF0Frontier, NE0.120
May 176:45 PM CDTEF0Frontier, NE0.150
May 176:55 PM CDTEF0Frontier, NE0.5315$1,000
May 176:58 PM CDTEF2Frontier, NE0.6178$12,000
May 177:05 PM CDTEF3Frontier, NE2.1400$100,000
May 177:12 PM CDTEF0Frontier, NE0.340
May 177:15 PM CDTEF1Frontier, NE4.7400$250,000
May 177:54 PM CDTEF1Dawson, NE9.8600$900,000
May 178:15 PM CDTEF0Dawson, NE1.6150
May 178:30 PM CDTEF1Custer, NE0.192$15,000
May 178:36 PM CDTEF0Meade, KS1.550
May 178:37 PM CDTEF3Meade, KS29.6600$500,000
May 178:46 PM CDTEF0Clark, KS0.425
May 179:30 PM CDTEF2Ford, KS14.9875
May 1710:19 PM CDTEF2Edwards, KS10.9565
May 1711:28 PM CDTUnratedPawnee, KS0.850
May 1711:30 PM CDTUnratedBarton, KS0.250

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.