Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2007

EF2 tornado, Seguin, Texas, July 21, 2007

This EF2 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Guadalupe County on July 21, 2007, touching down at 5:25 AM CDT and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
July 21, 2007
Touchdown
5:25 AM CDT (10:25 UTC)
Lifted
5:29 AM CDT (10:29 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
2.0 miles (3.2 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$50,000
County
Guadalupe County
Touchdown point
29.440, -97.970
Lift-off point
29.469, -97.970
Record number
0707210425-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Thunderstorms associated with a persistent upper level low produced heavy rain and flash flooding through the morning on July 21.

At approximately 4:25 am CST a tornado estimated to be an EF-2 touched down about 9 miles south of Seguin and 1/4 mile southeast of CR411. The tornado moved northward along SH123 for nearly 1 mile before turning slightly to the north northwest and crossing CR410. It damaged three outbuildings, a residence and a store, but no one was injured. The tornado ranged in width from 50 yards up to 150 yards. The total track length was approximately 2 miles.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the tornado touched down, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the tornado touched down at Jul 21, 3:18 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 3:18 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
318 AM CDT SAT JUL 21 2007

...WET AND DANGEROUS WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...
PERIODS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF THE
REGION TODAY BEFORE DECREASING AFTER SUNSET. GROUNDS ARE ALREADY
THOROUGHLY SATURATED FROM RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS (RECORDED
OVER 8 INCHES YESTERDAY HERE AT THE OFFICE) SO ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN
WILL BE QUICK TO RUNOFF. GIVEN THIS SCENARIO...THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED LATER THIS MORNING. WILL LIKELY SEE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS REACHING 3 TO 4 INCHES BY SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE
BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

THE RAIN THREAT WILL SHIFT TO THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA DURING
THE EVENING...WITH ONLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY EXPECTED ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF AFTER MIDNIGHT. SUNDAY LOOKS A LITTLE DRIER AS
RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS INTO THE REGION. WILL STILL SEE SOME SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY...BUT WILL BE VERY DEPENDENT UPON
DIURNAL HEATING. DRIER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE BEGINNING
OF THE WEEK...BUT THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA WILL STILL CARRY AT
LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS. THE POSSIBILITY OF SCATTERED SHOWERS
DEVELOPING MAINLY DURING THE DAYTIME WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
TIME FRAME DUE TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AT THE SURFACE...NORTH WINDS
ALOFT...AND MOIST UNSTABLE AIR THROUGH THE MID LEVELS.

THE RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AGAIN BY MID-WEEK AS THE
UPPER RIDGES INFLUENCES WEAKEN ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS
WILL LEAD TO A RENEWED POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING LATE IN THE
WEEK.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
DUE TO THE RAINY AND OVERCAST CONDITIONS. A SLIGHT WARMING TREND
IS EXPECTED LATE THIS WEEKEND...BUT DAYTIME HIGHS STILL LOOK TO BE
3 TO 5 DEGREES BELOW MID JULY NORMALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              82  71  92  73  93 /  70  20  40  20  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  82  70  92  70  91 /  70  20  40  20  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           83  73  93  75  93 / 100  60  20  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       82  72  91  73  93 /  70  20  30  20  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...
GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...
KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...
UVALDE...VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON...ZAVALA.

&&

25/08

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), 00:00Z

10.4 hours before the tornado, 201 km from the path. July 21, 2007.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 3073 joules per kilogram, CIN 0, lifted condensation level 657 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 14 knots.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3073 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3787 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
657 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5
0-3 km lapse rate
6.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

New Braunfels Municipal Apt (Was 3r5) (BAZ), 29 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:00 UTC

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 28 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 10:25 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2007 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 21, 2007

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 2111:45 AM EDTEF0Lee, FL0.230
July 213:20 PM EDTEF0Miami-Dade, FL0.540

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.