Tornadoes · United States · Tennessee · 2016

EF2 tornado, Poplar Hill to Manila, Tennessee, November 30, 2016

From Poplar Hill to Manila, this EF2 tornado ran 11.3 miles across McMinn County on November 30, 2016, touching down at 1:20 AM EST and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 20.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
November 30, 2016
Touchdown
1:20 AM EST (06:20 UTC)
Lifted
1:30 AM EST (06:30 UTC)
On the ground
10 minutes
Path length
11.3 miles (18.2 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
20
County
McMinn County
Touchdown point
35.405, -84.637
Lift-off point
35.509, -84.482
Record number
1611300020-01

The damage survey

1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MRX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 135 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong upper level system moved through the Eastern United States late Tuesday into early Wednesday. The associated surface low pressure system pressed north northeast from the Lower Mississippi across the Mid South on its way across the Lower Ohio Valley. While there were reports of damaging straight line wind with some of the thunderstorms generated ahead of the system cold front, the main and concentrated areas of damage were associated with tornadic supercell thunderstorms. The supercell storms developed in an area of strong shear and sufficient; albeit weak instability. Tornadoes formed in a zone favorable to rotating thunderstorm updrafts just north of a warm frontal boundary across the Tennessee Valley of Alabama northeast through Southeast Tennessee. Three tornadoes developed during the early morning hours on Wednesday, November 30th; impacting McMinn, Polk, Marion, and Sequatchie counties.

The tornado developed near the intersection of county road 700 and 705 where some minor tree damage was observed. The tornado maintained its intensity as it paralleled Cedar Springs Road and damaged a covered walkway just to the south of Athens along South Jackson Street. It continued to the northeast with the most catastrophic damage along its path occurring along Old Athens Madisonville Road where a few mobile homes were destroyed. The tornado weakened as it moved to the northeast with mostly tree damage; eventually lifting around the intersection of TN-307 and County Road 350. Two people were killed and twenty were injured as the tornado moved across the county.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

26 minutes of warning. NWS MRX issued a tornado warning for this county at 05:54 UTC, 26 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 06:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 06:00 UTC and running to 08:55 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
05:54 UTC06:30 UTCTornado WarningMRX
06:00 UTC08:55 UTCTornado WatchMRX
06:20 UTC06:45 UTCTornado WarningMRX
06:36 UTC07:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
07:07 UTC07:20 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
07:29 UTC08:00 UTCTornado WarningMRX
08:55 UTC14:40 UTCTornado WatchMRX
09:12 UTC09:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
09:42 UTC10:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
09:53 UTC10:11 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
10:14 UTC10:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
10:30 UTC11:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
10:46 UTC11:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
10:51 UTC13:45 UTCFlood AdvisoryMRX
11:25 UTC12:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRX
13:26 UTC16:30 UTCFlash Flood WarningMRX
13:39 UTC16:45 UTCFlash Flood WarningMRX
16:26 UTC19:30 UTCFlood AdvisoryMRX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:23 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

6.3 hours before the tornado, 199 km from the path. November 30, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -65572, lifted condensation level 1648 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 321 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 90 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-65572 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1648 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
90 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
321 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
354 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

5.7 hours after it, 199 km from the path. November 30, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -56226, lifted condensation level 930 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 47 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 66 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-56226 J/kg
Surface CAPE
10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
930 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Athens (MMI), 7 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
04:55 UTC69.860.8 6 kt1007.5
05:15 UTC69.860.8200° 7 kt1007.8
05:35 UTC69.862.6200° 10 kt1008.1
05:55 UTC69.862.6200° 10 kt191007.8
06:15 UTC71.660.8180° 14 kt1006.8

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 131 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:21 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
04:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGPikevilleBledsoe, TNA FEW TREES AND LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.
05:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Se PikevilleBledsoe, TN2 SEMI TRUCK TRAILERS OVERTURNED. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL STRUCTURES, AND TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY
05:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Se Shady GroveHamilton, TNTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.
05:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Se Shady GroveHamilton, TNTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.
06:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 N ClevelandBradley, TNDOORS BLOWN OFF CHURCH BUILDING AND POWER LINES DOWN.
06:20 UTCTORNADO4 Ssw AthensMcminn, TN*** 20 INJ *** THE TORNADO DEVELOPED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 700 AND 705 WHERE THERE WAS SOME MINOR TREE DAMAGE OBSERVED. THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OCCURRING ALO
06:20 UTCTORNADO4 Ssw AthensMcminn, TN*** 20 INJ *** THE TORNADO DEVELOPED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTYROAD 700 AND 705 WHERE THERE WAS SOME MINOR TREE DAMAGE OBSERVED. THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OCCURRING ALON
06:21 UTCTSTM WND DMGAthensMcminn, TNAT STATE ROAD 30 AND 39 INTERSECTION IN ATHENS ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING. TREES DOWN, STRUCTURES DAMAGED AND ROADS BLOCKED SOUTH OF ATHENS.
06:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 N AthensMcminn, TNREPORT RELAYED FROM AMATEUR RADIO AND DISPATCH. THERE IS DAMAGE EXTENDING ALONG A LINE FROM COUNTY ROAD 700, ACROSS ATHENS, AND CONTINUING UP HWY 307. MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AND DAMAGE TO HOUSES.
06:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ne AthensMcminn, TNDAMAGE AND INJURIES REPORTED IN DEERFIELD ESTATES. NO FURTHER DETAILS AVAILABLE AT THIS POINT.
06:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ne AthensMcminn, TNSEVERAL HOMES DESTROYED IN DEERFIELD ESTATES. INJURIES REPORTED...BUT NO FURTHER DETAILS AT THIS POINT.
06:30 UTCTORNADO2 N AthensMcminn, TNREPORT RELAYED FROM AMATEUR RADIO AND DISPATCH. THERE IS DAMAGE EXTENDING ALONG A LINE FROM COUNTY ROAD 700, ACROSS ATHENS, AND CONTINUING UP HWY 307. MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AND DAMAGE TO HOUSES.
06:42 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 S NiotaMcminn, TNTREES UPROOTED AND HOLE IN ROOF OF RESIDENCE.
07:00 UTCHAIL 0.884 S AlcoaBlount, TNNICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT MARYVILLE MIDDLE SCHOOL.
07:08 UTCTSTM WND DMGGreenbackLoudon, TNPOWER LINES DOWN.
07:25 UTCTSTM WND GST 603 Ssw ClevelandBradley, TN
07:28 UTCTORNADO4 Wnw ParksvillePolk, TNTHE TORNADO FORMED SOUTH OF OCOEE WITH SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED. IT STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY TO AN EF-2 AND MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AND COLLAPSED A CELL PHONE TOWER. IT THEN INCREASED AGAIN TO AN EF-3 AND HEAVILY DAMAGED A
07:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG10 E ClevelandPolk, TNSTRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS ALONG HWY 411 AND STUMP STREET.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in TennesseeEvery tornado in Tennessee since 1950Warnings in force in Tennessee nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of November 30, 2016

16 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
November 3012:01 AM CSTEF1Marion, AL16.9900
November 3012:02 AM CSTEF3Jackson, AL13.520649
November 301:56 AM ESTEF0Catoosa, GA1.3225$50,000
November 302:28 AM ESTEF3Polk, TN4.61552
November 302:11 AM CSTEF0Jackson, AL3.430
November 305:10 AM CSTEF1Marengo, AL12.9250
November 308:45 AM CSTEF0Jefferson Parish, LA0.830
November 3010:38 AM CSTEF0Okaloosa, FL0.8175$50,000
November 3012:53 PM ESTEF0Carroll, GA4.0100$8,000
November 3012:35 PM CSTEF1Lee, AL3.2300
November 301:39 PM ESTEF1Cobb, GA0.5100$50,000
November 301:50 PM ESTEF1Fulton, GA1.9100$25,000
November 302:07 PM ESTEF0Forsyth, GA2.9100$16,000
November 303:04 PM ESTEF1Jackson, GA2.8100$65,000
November 304:41 PM ESTEF1Greenville, SC16.4150$500,000
November 306:26 PM ESTEF1Mecklenburg, NC2.4150$100,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.