Tornadoes · United States · Pennsylvania · 2021

EF2 tornado, Oxford to Cochranville, Pennsylvania, September 1, 2021

From Oxford to Cochranville, this EF2 tornado ran 5.9 miles across Chester County on September 1, 2021, touching down at 4:15 PM EDT and reaching 350 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
September 1, 2021
Touchdown
4:15 PM EDT (20:15 UTC)
Lifted
4:22 PM EDT (20:22 UTC)
On the ground
7 minutes
Path length
5.9 miles (9.5 km)
Path width
350 yards (320 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
County
Chester County
Touchdown point
39.770, -75.970
Lift-off point
39.850, -75.930
Record number
2109011415-01

The damage survey

15 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PHI, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 115 mph.

  • Damage to a corn field shows a narrow path of convergent damage. Likely starting point
  • Multiple trees uprooted and large limbs snapped.
  • Significant loss of siding. Part of the roof blown off.
  • Damage to a roof at a outbuilding at a business.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

The remnants of Hurricane Ida impacted the mid-Atlantic on September 1, 2021. As it moved northward, Ida began transitioning to a strong mid-latitude cyclone with pronounced frontal features, but with continued tropical moisture. On a regional level, the remnants of Ida became one of the most severe natural disasters in US history, due to a combination of several tornadoes, some of them strong, as well as catastrophic flooding over a large and densely populated area. The severe weather threat unfolded as the system's developing warm front lifted northward from the Delmarva region into Pennsylvania and New Jersey. South of the warm front, partial clearing and moderate to strong instability developed. Meanwhile, very strong shear and forcing, along with tropical moisture, were present within the warm sector. The result was widespread convection in the form of both supercell and quasi-linear thunderstorms. A number of storms became severe across the region, producing several tornadoes and other instances of wind damage. This continued an exceptionally active stretch of high end severe weather in the region, coming barely a month after the tornado outbreak of July 29.

An embedded supercell in a quasi-linear feature produced a |tornado near Oxford, PA. A path of damage began in crop land near |the intersection of 5th Street and Waterway Road. Tree damage |continued northeast of here. ||Significant damage occurred in the Wiltshire Development. On Slate|Hill Drive, one house lost a southeast facing exterior wall. |Another house lost a significant amount of siding and a portion |of the roof. Tree damage continued in a northeast path. At Hickory|Hill Road, there was damage to the roof of a commercial |outbuilding and a recreational trailer was flipped on its side.||Sporadic tree and crop damage was noted from drone footage (this |portion of the path was inaccessible by vehicle) continuing to the|northeast. A metal storage building at a business along Reedville|Road had wall and roof damage. Further northeast there was damage|to turkey pens near the intersection of Baltimore Pike and West |Branch Road. Just a little further northeast, there was also heavy damage to a couple of barns, outbuildings, and porch structures on Conner Rd.||Additional tree and power pole damage continued in a northeast |path. The last damage noted along this continuous path was |exterior wall damage to a farm outbuilding and crop damage along |Street Road near Route 10. Sporadic tree damage was observed near |Route 10 and Ewing Road, but this does not appear to be in a |continuous path from the other damage, so this may have been |caused by straight line winds.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

2 minutes of warning. NWS PHI issued a tornado warning for this county at 20:13 UTC, 2 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 20:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 16:41 UTC and running to 01:54 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
10:19 UTC12:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryPHI
10:49 UTC12:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningPHI
12:00 UTC07:03 UTCFlash Flood WatchPHI
16:41 UTC01:54 UTCTornado WatchPHI
18:53 UTC03:38 UTCFlash Flood WarningPHI
20:13 UTC20:45 UTCTornado WarningPHI
20:42 UTC02:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningPHI
21:13 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI
21:55 UTC14:19 UTCFlood WarningPHI
23:19 UTC15:17 UTCFlood WarningPHI
01:58 UTC01:03 UTCFlood WarningPHI
03:38 UTC14:00 UTCFlood WarningPHI

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:46 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 12:00Z

8.3 hours before the tornado, 157 km from the path. September 1, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 558 joules per kilogram, CIN -21, lifted condensation level 575 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 48 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
558 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Surface CAPE
259 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
575 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.6
0-3 km lapse rate
5.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 00:00Z

3.7 hours after it, 157 km from the path. September 2, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2021-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN 0, lifted condensation level 569 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2021-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 32 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Surface CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
569 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:16 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:14 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Wnw LancasterLancaster, PAWATER RESCUE NEAR F&M COLLEGE. PER LANCASTER CO 911.
19:15 UTCFLASH FLOOD2 Sw LititzLancaster, PAWATER RESCUE.
19:30 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 W East Caln TwpChester, PAFLOODING ON US 30 WESTBOUND BETWEEN US 30 BUSINESS AND NORWOOD ROAD.
19:32 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Ese East Caln TwpChester, PASEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES IN DOWNINGTOWN, INCLUDING ON U.S. HIGHWAY 30. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
19:50 UTCFLASH FLOOD2 Ese Honey Brook TwpChester, PAFLOODING ON US-322 NEAR ROCKVILLE.
20:00 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 N MalvernChester, PAFLASH FLOODING WITH THE ROAD NEAR IMPASSABLE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF CHURCH RD AND W SWEDESFORD RD.
20:00 UTCFLASH FLOODPottstownMontgomery, PAMULTIPLE WATER RESCUES IN PROGRESS IN POTTSTOWN.
20:15 UTCTORNADO1 Sse OxfordChester, PAAN EMBEDDED SUPERCELL IN A QUASI-LINEAR FEATURE PRODUCED A TORNADO NEAR OXFORD, PA. A PATH OF DAMAGE BEGAN IN CROP LAND NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF 5TH STREET AND WATERWAY ROAD. TREE DAMAGE CONTINUED NORTHEAST OF HERE. SIGN
20:17 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se OxfordChester, PATREES AND POWER POLES SNAPPED AND ROOF DAMAGE ALONG SLATE HILL DRIVE IN EAST NOTTINGHAM TOWNSHIP. PROBABLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
20:20 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Ese South PottstownChester, PAFLOODED ROADWAY AT KEIM STREET.
20:21 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S Upper Oxford TwpChester, PAMULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG US 1 SOUTH NEAR NEW LONDON. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
20:26 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 E East Bradford TwpChester, PADOWNINGTOWN PIKE AND HANNUM AVENUE CLOSED FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
20:30 UTCFLASH FLOODGraterfordMontgomery, PASMALL CREEK IN THE VICINITY OF PERKIOMEN CREEK NEAR GRATERFORD IS OUT OF ITS BANKS.
20:39 UTCFLASH FLOOD2 Ese Honey Brook TwpChester, PAU.S. HIGHWAY 322 CLOSED IN THE ROCKVILLE AREA FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
20:54 UTCFLASH FLOOD2 Ne West Marlborough TChester, PAWATER ENTERING A GARAGE OF A RESIDENCE 4 MILES SSE OF COATESVILLE.
21:15 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Nne MarshalltonChester, PATHE GAUGE ON EAST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK BELOW DOWNINGTOWN (DWNP1) REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT 515 PM 9/1, CRESTING AT AT 19.11 FEET (RECORD FLOODING) AT 1115 PM 9/1.
21:15 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Ssw SchwenksvilleMontgomery, PATOWNSHIP LINE ROAD AND MAIN STREET CLOSED FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
21:15 UTCFLASH FLOODChesterbrookChester, PATHE GAUGE ON VALLEY CREEK AT VALLEY FORGE REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT 515 PM 9/1, CRESTING AT 16.44 FEET (MAJOR FLOOD) AT 630 PM 9/1.
21:16 UTCFLASH FLOODValley ForgeMontgomery, PAVALLEY FORGE GAUGE AT VALLEY CREEK EXCEEDED FLOOD STAGE.
21:30 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 S DevaultChester, PAMULTIPLE CARS STUCK IN OVER ONE FOOT OF WATER AT THE INTERSECTION OF PA 29 AND GREAT VALLEY PARKWAY. TIME ESTIMATED.
21:30 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 Ese Lower PottsgroveMontgomery, PANEIFFER ROAD AND GAME FARM ROAD CLOSED FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
21:34 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 S Muhlenberg TwpBerks, PAROUTE 12 CLOSED FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
21:34 UTCFLASH FLOOD2 W King of PrussiaMontgomery, PAGULPH ROAD CLOSED FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
21:34 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 Wnw Uwchlan TwpChester, PAROUTE 100 CLOSED NEAR I-76 FROM FLASH FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
21:40 UTCFLASH FLOODEast Whiteland TwpChester, PAU.S. HIGHWAY 202 CLOSED NEAR ROUTE 401 FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
21:42 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 N Exeter TwpBerks, PASPIES CHURCH ROAD AND MONOCACY CREEK ROAD CLOSED FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
21:45 UTCFLASH FLOODLower Providence TownshMontgomery, PAMANY WATER RESCUES ONGOING AROUND MONTGOMERY COUNTY.
21:46 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Se NewmanstownLebanon, PAVEHICLE IN FLOOD WATERS WITH POSSIBLE RESCUE AT SOUTH ZELLERS ROAD AND SOUTH SHERIDAN ROAD IN MILLCREEK TOWNSHIP.
21:49 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Nw MalvernChester, PAROUTE 29 CLOSED BETWEEN U.S. HIGHWAY 30 AND INTERSTATE 76. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
22:00 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 S Penn WynneDelaware, PATHE GAUGE ON COBBS CREEK IN PHILADELPHIA (COBP1) REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT 600 PM 9/1, CRESTING AT 8.24 FEET (MODERATE FLOODING) AT 615 PM 9/1.
22:00 UTCFLASH FLOODCoatesvilleChester, PATHE GAUGE ON WEST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK AT COATESVILLE (COTP1) REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT 600 PM 9/1, CRESTING AT 9.62 FEET (MODERATE FLOODING) AT 700 PM 9/1.
22:00 UTCFLASH FLOODModenaChester, PATHE GAUGE ON WEST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK AT MODERNA (MODP1) REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT 600 PM 9/1, CRESTING AT 13.38 FEET (RECORD FLOODING) AT 800 PM 9/1.
22:07 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Ssw King of PrussiaMontgomery, PACLOSURES ON INTERSTATE 76 FROM FLOODING. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORTS.
22:15 UTCFLASH FLOOD2 Wsw Newtown TwpDelaware, PATHE GAUGE ON CRUM CREEK AT NEWTOWN SQUARE (NTSP1) REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT 615 PM 9/1, CRESTING AT 12.25 FEET (MAJOR FLOODING) AT 815 PM 9/1.
22:15 UTCFLASH FLOODGraterfordMontgomery, PATHE GAUGE AT PERKIOMEN CREEK AT GRATERFORD (GRAP1) REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT 615 PM.
22:24 UTCFLASH FLOOD2 Sw South Heidelberg TBerks, PAFLOODING CLOSED FRITZTOWN ROAD NEAR THE LANCASTER COUNTY BORDER. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
22:32 UTCFLASH FLOODCollegevilleMontgomery, PAFLOODING CLOSED STATE ROUTE 29 NEAR THE MAIN STREET INTERSECTION. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
22:32 UTCFLASH FLOODSouth PottstownChester, PAFLASH FLOODING CLOSED PORTIONS OF U.S. HIGHWAY 422 NEAR STATE ROUTE 100 IN SOUTH POTTSTOWN. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
22:38 UTCFLASH FLOODBridgeportMontgomery, PAFLOODING ON STATE ROUTE 23 IN THE BRIDGEPORT AND SWEDESBURG AREAS. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.
22:43 UTCFLOOD1 Nnw TrainerDelaware, PAFLOODING FORCED LANE CLOSURES ON INTERSTATE 95 NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 322 INTERCHANGE. TIME BASED ON DISPATCH REPORT.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in PennsylvaniaEvery tornado in Pennsylvania since 1950Warnings in force in Pennsylvania nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 1, 2021

10 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 12:01 PM EDTEF2Anne Arundel, MD11.4200
September 12:48 PM EDTEF0Baltimore, MD6.775$40,000
September 14:45 PM EDTEF0Dorchester, MD3.850$30,000
September 15:35 PM EDTEF2Montgomery, PA8.340012$5.0 million
September 15:59 PM EDTEF1Bucks, PA4.3300
September 16:10 PM EDTEF3Mullica Hill tornado, NJ12.44002$5.0 million
September 16:30 PM EDTEF1Bucks, PA1.6250
September 15:59 PM CDTEF1Burlington, NJ to PA3.0200
September 17:32 PM EDTEF0Mercer, NJ2.6100
September 11:30 AM EDTEF0Barnstable, MA0.115$15,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.