Tornadoes · United States · Ohio · 2023

EF1 tornado, Jacksonburgh to Astoria, Ohio, February 27, 2023

From Jacksonburgh to Astoria, this EF1 tornado ran 4.2 miles across Butler County on February 27, 2023, touching down at 2:37 PM EST and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 27, 2023
Touchdown
2:37 PM EST (19:37 UTC)
Lifted
2:43 PM EST (19:43 UTC)
On the ground
6 minutes
Path length
4.2 miles (6.7 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
County
Butler County
Touchdown point
39.538, -84.504
Lift-off point
39.563, -84.433
Record number
2302271337-01

The damage survey

26 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • Large trailer flipped over into vehicle.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Showers and thunderstorms developed ahead of a low pressure system moving through the Ohio Valley.

The tornado first touched down near the intersection of Jacksonburg Road and Oxford Middletown Road, where some minor roof and tree damage was observed. Damage was more pronounced at properties along Middletown Eaton Road. Several homes had fascia and shingles removed. One house even lost some plywood underneath the shingles.||The strongest winds occurred at a property on Elk Creek Road, just north of the bridge over Elk Creek. A home on the east side of the road had the roof removed from the second story, with the back wall also failing in the process. This is where the tornado is likely to have been at its maximum intensity, with the degree of damage and structural damage to the home supporting an estimated wind speed of 110 mph. A barn at this property was leveled, with some debris moved slightly west from its original location and other debris strewn downwind to the northeast across a field.||Roof and tree damage was observed at several properties on both sides of West Alexandria Road, with varying degrees of shingle removal, and a few patches of trees with a significant percentage of the trees snapped off. Damage continued east-northeast to Dickey Road, with debris from these properties found as much as a third of a mile away, in a field on the east side of the road.||At one property on Hetzler Road, some minor roof and tree damage was observed. This is believed to be the last damage from the tornado.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

25 minutes of warning. NWS ILN issued a tornado warning for this county at 19:12 UTC, 25 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 19:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:29 UTC and running to 20:37 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC01:45 UTCWind AdvisoryILN
18:29 UTC20:37 UTCTornado WatchILN
19:12 UTC19:45 UTCTornado WarningILN
19:31 UTC19:54 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILN
19:36 UTC19:58 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILN
19:43 UTC19:54 UTCTornado WarningILN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:26 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 12:00Z

7.6 hours before the tornado, 59 km from the path. February 27, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-02-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -102072, lifted condensation level 993 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-02-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 269 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 58 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-102072 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
993 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
269 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
367 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 00:00Z

4.4 hours after it, 59 km from the path. February 28, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2023-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -93402, lifted condensation level 1405 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2023-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 284 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 69 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-93402 J/kg
Surface CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1405 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
284 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
361 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
7.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 57 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:34 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:11 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 51Kluk Lunken AirportHamilton, OH
19:16 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nne New CarlisleClark, OHWIRES DOWN. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
19:17 UTCHAIL 1.255 Sw OxfordButler, OHPHOTO VERIFIED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
19:17 UTCHAIL 25 Ssw OxfordButler, OHVIA SOCIAL MEDIA. PHOTO VERIFIED.
19:37 UTCTORNADO 15 Nnw TrentonButler, OHEF1 TORNADO CONFIRMED NORTHWEST OF MIDDLETOWN IN BUTLER COUNTY OHIO. NUMEROUS HOMES WITH ROOF DAMAGE, SEVERAL BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS HEAVILY DAMAGED, AND TREES SNAPPED IN SOME LOCATIONS.
19:48 UTCTSTM WND DMGGermantownMontgomery, OHPOSSIBLE TORNADO FROM MULTIPLE SPOTTERS
20:00 UTCHAIL 0.75KetteringMontgomery, OH
20:04 UTCHAIL 0.75OakwoodMontgomery, OH
20:06 UTCHAIL 1.51 Nw BeavercreekGreene, OHDAYTON XENIA ROAD
20:06 UTCHAIL 1.51 Wnw BeavercreekGreene, OHDAYTON/XENIA ROAD.
20:11 UTCHAIL 24 Ese FairbornGreene, OHPHOTO VERIFIED. VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME ESTIMATED.
20:15 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 49Ki69 Clermont Co AptClermont, OH
20:20 UTCHAIL 1Yellow SpringsGreene, OH
20:35 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 48Koxd Oxford Miami AptButler, OH
20:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sw BrookvilleMontgomery, OHUTILITY POLES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
20:40 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 47Kday Dayton Cox AptMontgomery, OH
20:50 UTCHAIL 1.52 E Tipp CityMiami, OHTIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
20:50 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 624 Nw Downtown DaytonMontgomery, OHMEASURED FROM PERSONAL WEATHER STATION
20:55 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 47ArcanumDarke, OHFROM PERSONAL WEATHER STATION
20:59 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 48Kday Dayton Cox AptMontgomery, OH
21:02 UTCTSTM WND GST 47Kmgy Wright Bros AptMontgomery, OH
21:03 UTCTSTM WND DMGN New CarlisleClark, OHHOLES IN ROOF OF HOUSE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
21:06 UTCTSTM WND GST 47Kffo Wright-Patt AfbGreene, OH
21:15 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 51Kmwo Middletown AptButler, OH
21:24 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 45New LebanonMontgomery, OHPERSONAL WEATHER STATION
21:27 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 61Kday Dayton Cox AptMontgomery, OH
21:31 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 55Kmgy Wright Bros AptMontgomery, OH
21:57 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 55Kiln Wilmington AptClinton, OH
21:57 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMG4 Ese WilmingtonClinton, OHA TREE WAS DOWNED ON STATE ROUTE 73 NEAR MCCOY ROAD.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in OhioEvery tornado in Ohio since 1950Warnings in force in Ohio nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 27, 2023

15 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 271:02 AM CSTEF1Newton, MO0.8200$550,000
February 271:25 AM CSTEF0Dade, MO0.4200$50,000
February 271:47 AM CSTEF0Dade, MO1.3100
February 278:43 AM CSTEF0Champaign, IL1.130
February 278:55 AM CSTUnratedChampaign, IL1.525
February 279:15 AM CSTUnratedFord, IL1.650
February 279:41 AM CSTEF0Kendall, IL2.2100
February 279:52 AM CSTEF0DuPage, IL1.430
February 271:28 PM ESTEF1Hancock, IN5.250$200,000
February 271:37 PM ESTEF1Hancock, IN0.350$50,000
February 273:00 PM ESTEF0Van Wert, OH0.675$30,000
February 273:19 PM ESTEF1Clark, OH2.3300$250,000
February 2712:24 PM PSTUnratedMendocino, CA0.110
February 274:03 PM ESTEF0Pickaway, OH1.4100$150,000
February 274:41 PM ESTEF0Licking, OH0.390$10,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.