Tornadoes · United States · New Mexico · 2019

EF2 tornado, Dora to Rogers, New Mexico, May 26, 2019

From Dora to Rogers, this EF2 tornado ran 9.5 miles across Roosevelt County on May 26, 2019, touching down at 7:20 PM MDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $2.0 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
May 26, 2019
Touchdown
7:20 PM MDT (01:20 UTC)
Lifted
7:47 PM MDT (01:47 UTC)
On the ground
27 minutes
Path length
9.5 miles (15.3 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$2.0 million
County
Roosevelt County
Touchdown point
33.888, -103.300
Lift-off point
33.996, -103.198
Record number
1905261920-01

The damage survey

1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LUB, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry.

  • Photo on Twitter from James G Rodriguez

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A potent upper level storm system approaching New Mexico from the west interacted with deep moisture and very unstable conditions along a sharp dryline over eastern New Mexico on May 26, 2019. Dry showers and thunderstorms with strong downburst winds first developed along the Continental Divide by late morning before marching east into the Rio Grande Valley through the afternoon. Several locations within the Rio Grande Valley reported wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, including Los Lunas, Albuquerque, Santa Fe, and Taos. Wind damage was also reported as this activity moved across the central mountain chain into the Estancia Valley. Meanwhile, showers and thunderstorms fired up along the dryline in eastern New Mexico then quickly became severe with large hail, high winds, and several tornados. A violent supercell thunderstorm that moved through Union County during the late afternoon produced at least two tornadoes and three inch hail. Severe thunderstorms then evolved into a quasi-linear convective system over the Caprock region and resulted in a large area of high winds and large hail. Several more tornadoes developed along the southern edge of this line, including a spectacular wedge tornado near Dora. In addition to all the severe thunderstorms that impacted the region, many areas outside of thunderstorm activity in central and western New Mexico also reported strong southwest winds with gusts of 50 to 60 mph.

The NWS surveyed damage from a strong tornado that impacted parts of southern Roosevelt County during the early evening of Sunday, May 26, 2019. The tornado lasted nearly 30 minutes and tracked about 10 miles over predominately rural ranch/farmland in southern Roosevelt County. No injuries were reported. Two known properties were impacted: one 4 miles southeast of Dora and another approximately 5 �� miles east-northeast of Dora. Additionally, considerable damage to electrical infrastructure was noted including ten consecutive power poles snapped several feet above the ground 1-2 miles east of Rogers on the north side of NM 237. Farther southwest, several high voltage power poles/structures were partially collapsed and associated lines downed 2-3 miles south-southeast of Dora. A well-built hay barn that was originally an early 20th century church was completely destroyed. A power pole was snapped 12 feet above the ground, lofted at least 10 feet and driven into the ground 100 yards away. Partial ground scouring was noted along State Road 114 where the tornado crossed near Roosevelt County Rd. M. Based on assessed damage, wind speeds were estimated to be in the 120-130 mph range. Damage estimates are estimated for residential and infrastructure.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

2 minutes of warning. NWS ABQ issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:18 UTC, 2 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 02:00 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:42 UTC and running to 02:18 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:42 UTC02:18 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchABQ
23:46 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
00:12 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
00:28 UTC01:15 UTCTornado WarningABQ
00:49 UTC01:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
01:18 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WarningABQ
01:59 UTC02:15 UTCTornado WarningABQ
18:00 UTC02:00 UTCWind AdvisoryABQ

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:37 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 00:00Z

1.3 hours before the tornado, 202 km from the path. May 27, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1501 joules per kilogram, CIN -44, lifted condensation level 659 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 103 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 52 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1501 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2465 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
659 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
103 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
219 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
4.6
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 12:00Z

10.7 hours after it, 202 km from the path. May 27, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -76627, lifted condensation level 2056 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76627 J/kg
Surface CAPE
221 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2056 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Cannon Afb/Clovis (CVS), 49 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
23:58 UTC75.461.3150° 28 kt351008.5
00:27 UTC73.462.6180° 9 kt311011.9-TSRA
00:47 UTC5953.6260° 20 kt371012.5+TSRA
00:58 UTC58.553.2200° 12 kt271013.2-TSRA
01:10 UTC60.855.4200° 10 kt291011.5TS
01:30 UTC62.657.2160° 10 kt1012.9+TSRA
01:39 UTC62.657.2170° 7 kt1013.2-TSRA
01:45 UTC62.657.2150° 8 kt1012.9TS
01:58 UTC6257.6140° 6 kt1012.5
02:58 UTC62.459.4120° 8 kt1012.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:22 UTCHAIL 2.512 S DoraRoosevelt, NM
23:23 UTCHAIL 311 Se DoraRoosevelt, NM
00:04 UTCTORNADO20 E ElkinsChaves, NMPHOTO VIA TWITTER.
00:25 UTCTORNADO1 Sw PepRoosevelt, NM
01:36 UTCTORNADO5 E DoraRoosevelt, NMREPORTED VIA TWITTER.
01:40 UTCTORNADO5 E DoraRoosevelt, NM
01:49 UTCTORNADO4 Ese RogersRoosevelt, NM
01:55 UTCTORNADO8 Nne CauseyRoosevelt, NM

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in New MexicoEvery tornado in New Mexico since 1950Warnings in force in New Mexico nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 26, 2019

37 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 261:15 AM CDTEF0McIntosh, OK0.275
May 261:23 AM CDTEF1Champaign, IL0.9250
May 261:27 AM CDTEF1Champaign, IL0.8250
May 261:35 AM CDTEF1Champaign, IL1.0250
May 261:44 AM CDTEF0Mayes, OK3.2300
May 262:30 AM CDTEF0Washington, AR1.5100
May 261:57 PM MDTEF0Bingham, ID1.8100$1,000
May 262:38 PM MDTUnratedProwers, CO0.320
May 262:54 PM MDTUnratedBent, CO0.320
May 264:36 PM CDTEF0Thomas, KS1.0100$42,000
May 264:10 PM MDTUnratedKiowa, CO0.320
May 264:38 PM MDTEF0Weld, CO0.025
May 264:53 PM MDTEF0Weld, CO0.025
May 264:55 PM MDTEF0Union, NM21.775
May 265:27 PM MDTEF0Weld, CO0.025
May 265:37 PM MDTEF0Adams, CO0.025
May 265:50 PM MDTEF0Union, NM2.650
May 265:58 PM MDTEF0Lincoln, CO0.050
May 266:04 PM MDTEF0Chaves, NM2.450
May 267:21 PM CDTEF1Franklin, NE1.9500$125,000
May 266:25 PM MDTEF0Roosevelt, NM0.850
May 267:25 PM CDTEF0Oldham, TX0.350
May 268:02 PM CDTEF0Hartley, TX2.050
May 268:14 PM CDTEF0Hartley, TX5.275
May 267:57 PM MDTEF0Roosevelt, NM2.150
May 269:11 PM CDTEF0Bailey, TX5.050$50,000
May 269:22 PM CDTEF0Washington, KS0.150
May 269:56 PM CDTEF2Lamb, TX8.0100$150,000
May 2610:26 PM CDTEF0Castro, TX12.8100$100,000
May 2610:49 PM CDTEF1Gray, KS0.725$60,000
May 2610:51 PM CDTEF1Ford, KS1.925
May 2610:52 PM CDTEF1Ford, KS1.825
May 2611:07 PM CDTEF1Ford, KS3.150
May 2611:14 PM CDTEF0Hodgeman, KS1.725
May 2611:28 PM CDTEF1Hodgeman, KS1.325$60,000
May 2612:00 AM CDTEF1Pratt, KS8.9100
May 2612:25 AM CDTEF0Oldham, TX1.550

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.