Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2024

Unrated tornado, Axtell, Nebraska, July 1, 2024

This Unrated tornado ran 0.0 miles across Kearney County on July 1, 2024, touching down at 7:07 PM CDT and reaching 10 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
July 1, 2024
Touchdown
7:07 PM CDT (00:07 UTC)
Path length
0.0 miles (0.0 km)
Path width
10 yards (9 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Kearney County
Touchdown point
40.435, -99.082
Lift-off point
40.435, -99.082
Record number
2407011807-01

The damage survey

8 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GID, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EFU. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

  • No damage could be found near where video confirmed tornado. Tornado lasted just under 1 minute.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An upper level trough was moving over Nebraska from the west. A warm front was present near the Kansas/Nebraska border. Warm, moist air was on the east side of the warm front with hot, drier conditions on the west side of the front. CAPE, wind shear, and instability were high along and to the south of the front. A surface trough was also across the area which enhanced atmospheric lift. ||Storms developed across northwest Kansas into southern Nebraska during the early to mid afternoon hours. These storms moved eastward into south central Nebraska during the early evening hours and one storm began impacting the local area by producing a 58 mph wind gust in Furnas County. This same storm ended up producing a tornado about 15 minutes later in Furnas County. This storm moved northeastward and produced another tornado in Kearney County over an hour later. Both tornadoes were rated an EFU due to lack of quality damage indicators in the area. The storms in the area produced severe wind gusts and ended with the strongest wind gust of the day of 78 mph in Fillmore County after 10 PM CDT.

This tornado was a brief touchdown reported by storm chasers and an off-duty NWS employee. No rating nor wind speed was assigned due to the lack of quality damage indicators in the area. The location was based off of video and photos.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

9 minutes of warning. NWS GID issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:58 UTC, 9 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 21:01 UTC and running to 02:16 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
21:01 UTC02:16 UTCTornado WatchGID
23:37 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WarningGID
23:50 UTC00:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
23:58 UTC00:30 UTCTornado WarningGID
00:23 UTC01:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
01:31 UTC07:30 UTCFlood AdvisoryGID
01:54 UTC07:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryGID

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:56 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), 00:00Z

0.1 hours before the tornado, 149 km from the path. July 2, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2024-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 720 joules per kilogram, CIN -172, lifted condensation level 1699 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2024-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -69 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
720 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-172 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2450 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1699 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-69 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4
0-3 km lapse rate
6.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), 12:00Z

11.9 hours after it, 149 km from the path. July 2, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2024-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 804 joules per kilogram, CIN -109, lifted condensation level 1060 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2024-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -83 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 51 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
804 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Surface CAPE
638 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1060 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.2
Supercell composite
-1.3
0-3 km lapse rate
5.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Holdrege/Brewstr (HDE), 22 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:15 UTC77.773.490° 9 kt1008.5
22:35 UTC7773.470° 8 kt1007.8
22:55 UTC76.57360° 8 kt1007.1
23:15 UTC75.773.460° 9 kt1006.4
23:35 UTC7573.2360° 9 kt1007.1TSRA
23:55 UTC71.469.350° 25 kt521008.5+TSRA
00:15 UTC71.270330° 19 kt251010.5+TSRA
00:35 UTC71.270.720° 12 kt1009.1+TSRA
00:55 UTC70.770350° 12 kt1009.8
01:15 UTC7069.310° 12 kt1009.5-TSRA
01:35 UTC70.369.470° 3 kt1009.1RA
01:55 UTC70.769.8190° 4 kt1009.8TSRA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 56 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:09 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:09 UTCTORNADO2 Se OxfordHarlan, NEA tornado was on the ground temporarily, dropping in and out with lots of rotation.
23:29 UTCTORNADO1 Ne AtlantaPhelps, NEEstimated location of trained spotter reporting a brief touchdown of a tornado.
23:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 616 Wnw AtlantaPhelps, NE
23:38 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se HoldregePhelps, NESocial media report of 1-2 inch in diameter branches down south of the fairgrounds. Time estimated based on radar.
23:39 UTCTSTM WND GST 663 Ssw HoldregePhelps, NEFrom WL-HOLDREGE3.44SSW.
23:55 UTCTSTM WND GST 603 Ene HoldregePhelps, NEAWOS station KHDE Holdrege Airport.
23:57 UTCTSTM WND GST 662 Sw AxtellKearney, NE
23:58 UTCTSTM WND DMGAxtellKearney, NEPublic report via social media of a fence down in Axtell and damage to a home. Time estimated based on radar.
00:03 UTCTSTM WND DMGAxtellKearney, NETree branches down on the highway in Axtell via storm chaser.
00:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGAxtellKearney, NESeveral branches down across the yard (3-6 inch diameter) Social media image.
00:08 UTCTORNADO3 Sse AxtellKearney, NEA brief Tornado.
00:12 UTCTSTM WND DMGMindenKearney, NE6 inch tree limbs reported broken in the city of Minden. Time estimated from radar.
00:23 UTCTSTM WND DMGAxtellKearney, NEA tree was split in half & tree fell on neighbors garage in East Axtell.
00:24 UTCTORNADO4 Ene MindenKearney, NEEstimated location of rope tornado.
00:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGMindenKearney, NEDelayed report. Via MPING Shingles blown off and one inch tree limbs broken.
01:31 UTCTSTM WND GST 532 Wnw HastingsAdams, NEASOS station KHSI Hastings Airport.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2024 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 1, 2024

3 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 15:51 PM CDTUnratedFurnas, NE0.010
July 110:46 PM CDTEF0Saline, NE0.380
July 111:50 PM CDTEF1Lancaster, NE2.3300

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.