Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2019

Unrated tornado, Dawson, Nebraska, May 21, 2019

This Unrated tornado ran 0.0 miles across Richardson County on May 21, 2019, touching down at 7:31 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
May 21, 2019
Touchdown
7:31 PM CDT (00:31 UTC)
Lifted
7:32 PM CDT (00:32 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.0 miles (0.0 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Richardson County
Touchdown point
40.059, -95.829
Lift-off point
40.059, -95.828
Record number
1905211831-01

The damage survey

17 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX and NWS TOP, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF3. The highest wind the damage implies is 142 mph.

  • Emergency manager reported the electrical pole was snapped. Can also see the track in the field.
  • Brick porch collapsed, not reenforced with rebar but filled with concrete.
  • Northeast portion of the home. Sitting room off the main portion of the home.
  • tops of trees broken 1/2 mile north of 720 road.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A warm front moving northward through the region triggered a cluster of severe thunderstorms across southeast Nebraska and southwest IA during the evening of May 21 and early in the morning on May 22. Two brief EF0 tornado touchdowns were reported in southeast Nebraska.

A storm chaser videoed a brief touched down near NE Highway 8 south of Dawson.

Storm chasers and a sheriff deputy collected video of a small tornado that moved north-northeast in open fields south of Dawson, NE. No discernible damage was noted from this tornado.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the tornado touched down, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the tornado touched down at May 21, 7:23 PM CDT, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 7:23 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
723 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

WV imagery this afternoon showing a longwave trough with embedded
circulations...one currently lifting into SW KS and the other
centered over the Pacific NW. Surface reflection of the former was
centered over SW KS.

Meanwhile 88D mosaic was showing a large area of precip over WRN
SD/NE panhandle/NW KS with another area over MO streaming northward
into IA.

For tonight, precip will be gradually diminishing from south to
north overnight as the upper low lifts out of western KS this
evening and into the Dakotas by early Wednesday morning. CAMs do
suggest a few cells lifting out of KS into the southern CWA this
evening, but given excessive cloud cover/nil diurnal heating,
chances are very low any will turn severe.

On Wednesday, dry and warmer in part to southwest winds and
increased mixing by afternoon.

Wednesday night models prog low level baroclinic zone setting up
from northern MO into central KS with precip developing along the
boundary. The boundary/precip activity is progged to slowly lift
northward and expand across the CWA on Thursday. Both the NAM and
GFS suggest environmental moisture content will be high with PW
approaching 2 inches by Thursday night. Given strong differential
divergence coupled with stout 315K isentropic upglide and favorable
precip efficiency/deep warm cloud layer, conditions will be quite
favorable for an excessive rainfall event. Dry then the majority
of the CWA on Friday. Portions of southwest IA and southwest NE
though may see some lingering activity mainly in the morning
hours.

A gradual warming trend on tap the next few days. Expect highs in
the mid/upper 60s on Wednesday with mid 60s/low 70s Thursday. On
Friday, highs will top out in the mid/upper 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

GFS and ECM in agreement precip chances continue through the weekend
into early next week. Flow aloft turns near zonal keeping a surface
boundary meandering through and close to the CWA and the focus for
additional rainfall accumulation.

Warm conditions continue with highs on Thursday in the mid/upper 80s
and mid 80s on Friday. Cooling trend takes place over the weekend
with mid/upper 70s on Saturday and mid 60s/low 70s Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 716 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

Strong TSRA beginning to lift out of NE KS into ERN NE. Expect
convective activity to continue over the next couple hours and
move across all TAF sites. Storms should be weakening then toward
midnight with generally VCSH over the area. Likely that IFR
conditions will prevail at KOFK at least through early Wednesday
morning. KOMA/KLNK though should be improving to VFR shortly
after midnight.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...DEE

The surface observations

Falls City/Brenn (FNB), 20 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:00 UTC

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 123 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 21, 2019

30 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 213:45 AM CDTEF1McClain, OK3.8250$31,000
May 213:57 AM CDTEF1Cleveland, OK4.150$6,000
May 214:13 AM CDTEF0Cleveland, OK0.320$3,000
May 214:22 AM CDTEF1Cleveland, OK1.430
May 214:33 AM CDTEF2Pottawatomie, OK2.6150
May 214:50 AM CDTEF0Lincoln, OK2.330$7,000
May 216:08 AM CDTEF1Creek, OK1.675
May 216:25 AM CDTUnratedMarshall, OK0.520
May 216:29 AM CDTEF0Tulsa, OK0.475
May 216:31 AM CDTEF1Tulsa, OK2.35501$125,000
May 216:37 AM CDTEF1Tulsa, OK0.775
May 216:48 AM CDTEF0Tulsa, OK0.6100
May 217:03 AM CDTEF1Atoka, OK1.6100$7,000
May 211:06 PM CDTEF0Greene, MO1.2100$41,000
May 212:48 PM CDTEF1Webster, MO7.1100$35,000
May 213:17 PM CDTEF1Wright, MO23.8200$5.0 million
May 214:18 PM CDTEF1Phelps, MO5.9800
May 214:32 PM CDTEF1Dickinson, KS7.5100
May 214:50 PM CDTEF0Rooks, KS0.250
May 214:52 PM CDTUnratedDickinson, KS17.7150
May 215:05 PM CDTEF1Callaway, MO0.6250
May 215:58 PM CDTEF1Franklin, MO5.9250
May 216:10 PM CDTEF0Shawnee, KS12.650
May 216:38 PM CDTEF2Jackson, KS17.175
May 217:01 PM CDTEF0Monroe, IL0.350
May 217:06 PM CDTEF0Nemaha, KS3.050
May 217:08 PM CDTEF1Atchison, KS5.430
May 217:20 PM CDTEF3Nemaha, KS5.9300
May 217:43 PM CDTUnratedRichardson, NE1.750
May 217:55 PM CDTEF0Nemaha, NE0.850

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.