Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2015

EF0 tornado, Stamford to Oxford, Nebraska, May 9, 2015

From Stamford to Oxford, this EF0 tornado ran 0.0 miles across Harlan County on May 9, 2015, touching down at 8:36 PM CDT and reaching 15 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 9, 2015
Touchdown
8:36 PM CDT (01:36 UTC)
Path length
0.0 miles (0.0 km)
Path width
15 yards (14 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Harlan County
Touchdown point
40.240, -99.540
Lift-off point
40.240, -99.540
Record number
1505091936-01

The damage survey

2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GID, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 70 mph.

  • Spotter reported brief touchdown.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Two brief tornadoes occurred in Harlan County on this Saturday evening, with a couple reports of severe hail as well nearby. Scattered thunderstorms developed over north central Kansas between 530 and 600 p.m. CST. Several small thunderstorms lifted north, into and through Harlan County, over the following two hours. The last storm to move through produced a couple brief, weak tornadoes around 730 p.m. CST. This storm also produced one inch hail in a couple locations over Phelps County, just after 8 p.m. CST. Other small thunderstorms continued across south central Nebraska, and just before 11 p.m., a storm briefly became strong enough to produce a few one inch hailstones in Kearney. However, most of the hail was the size of nickels or smaller.||A continental polar air mass was over the region, but lee cyclogenesis was underway. By midnight, low pressure had migrated from northwestern Kansas and into south central Nebraska. The associated warm front had also lifted north along with it. At upper-levels, a deep trough was over the Rockies with a closed low over Colorado, and a coupled jet streak configuration. A ridge was downstream over the eastern United States. South central Nebraska had been shrouded in low stratus and fog all day, with temperatures struggling to rise through the 50s. Dewpoints depressions were very low. MUCAPE was only 500 J/kg, but deep layer shear was around 45 knots. Strengthening and significantly veering low-level wind fields resulted in 0-1 km SRH of 200-300 m2/s2.

This was a brief tornado that crossed Highway 89 between Stamford and Orleans. No damage was reported with this tornado.

This was a brief touchdown north-northeast of Stamford. No damage was reported with this tornado.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

3 minutes of warning. NWS GID issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:33 UTC, 3 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 02:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
01:33 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WarningGID
01:50 UTC02:05 UTCTornado WarningGID

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 03:26 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), 00:00Z

1.6 hours before the tornado, 133 km from the path. May 10, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2015-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -104479, lifted condensation level 547 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2015-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 514 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 63 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104479 J/kg
Surface CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
547 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
514 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
731 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), 12:00Z

10.4 hours after it, 133 km from the path. May 10, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -104592, lifted condensation level 493 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 208 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 58 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104592 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
493 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
247 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Holdrege/Brewstr (HDE), 29 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
23:35 UTC55.454.1480° 17 kt221010.5BR
23:55 UTC55.5854.570° 19 kt1010.2BR
00:15 UTC56.35570° 18 kt1009.5BR
00:35 UTC56.6655.480° 19 kt231009.1VCTS BR
00:55 UTC57.255.480° 16 kt1008.8BR
01:15 UTC57.255.480° 16 kt221008.5BR
01:35 UTC585680° 16 kt241008.8BR
01:55 UTC58.2856.380° 16 kt221008.5-RA
02:15 UTC58.4656.66100° 25 kt321008.1TS BR
02:35 UTC59.3657.74120° 17 kt1008.5VCTS BR
02:55 UTC60.4458.46120° 17 kt201008.5
03:15 UTC61.1658.64120° 16 kt1008.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 94 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:35 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:25 UTCTORNADO5 W OrleansHarlan, NEBRIEF TORNADO LASTED LESS THAN 2 MIN WITH 1/4 MILE TRACK OR LESS. CROSSED HIGHWAY 89.
01:36 UTCTORNADO8 Nne StamfordHarlan, NESPOTTER CONFIRMED BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN
02:10 UTCHAIL 16 Ne HoldregePhelps, NE
02:10 UTCHAIL 16 Nw HoldregePhelps, NE

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 9, 2015

28 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 94:32 PM CDTEF3Eastland, TX3.81,40012$300,000
May 93:40 PM MDTEF0Lincoln, CO0.050
May 93:41 PM MDTEF0El Paso, CO3.3100
May 94:55 PM CDTEF0Cooke, TX0.740
May 95:15 PM CDTEF0Eastland, TX0.120$90,000
May 94:27 PM MDTEF0Kiowa, CO1.150
May 94:30 PM MDTEF0Elbert, CO0.150
May 95:30 PM CDTEF0Love, OK0.330
May 94:40 PM MDTEF0Elbert, CO0.150
May 95:50 PM CDTEF0Love, OK0.330
May 94:50 PM MDTEF0Kiowa, CO11.1150$3,000
May 95:57 PM CDTEF0Wichita, TX3.350
May 96:09 PM CDTEF0Cotton, OK1.0100
May 95:20 PM MDTEF0Cheyenne, CO2.110
May 96:24 PM CDTEF0Marshall, OK3.0200
May 95:35 PM MDTEF0Cheyenne, CO1.025
May 96:58 PM CDTEF0Erath, TX0.380
May 97:25 PM CDTEF1Bryan, OK5.3200
May 97:28 PM CDTEF0Trego, KS4.0100
May 97:55 PM CDTEF0Graham, KS2.850
May 98:00 PM CDTEF0Gove, KS5.7100
May 98:24 PM CDTEF0Roger Mills, OK2.0100
May 98:25 PM CDTEF0Harlan, NE0.315
May 98:38 PM CDTEF1Gove, KS6.150$50,000
May 99:12 PM CDTEF0Sheridan, KS13.9150
May 99:50 PM CDTEF2Sheridan, KS18.8150$75,000
May 910:43 PM CDTEF1Decatur, KS11.750$6,000
May 911:20 PM CDTEF0Red Willow, NE4.225

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.