Tornadoes · United States · Mississippi · 2016

EF1 tornado, Hinze, Mississippi, February 15, 2016

This EF1 tornado ran 2.5 miles across Winston County on February 15, 2016, touching down at 12:45 PM CST and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $45,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 15, 2016
Touchdown
12:45 PM CST (18:45 UTC)
Lifted
12:50 PM CST (18:50 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
2.5 miles (4.0 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$45,000
County
Winston County
Touchdown point
33.035, -89.279
Lift-off point
33.050, -89.240
Record number
1602151245-01

The damage survey

7 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JAN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 105 mph.

  • several softwood trees snapped, hardwood trees uprooted. a few hardwoods snapped
  • Starting point of tornado path.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Widespread severe weather occurred with a mix of damaging winds, hail and several tornadoes. The focus of the severe weather was across central and southern Mississippi. This event was driven by a potent disturbance that swung across the area during the midday and afternoon hours. As this strong feature dropped into the Lower Mississippi River Valley, a surface low rapidly deepened as it tracked across central Mississippi. The atmospheric response to this was for a rapid increase in winds aloft and higher low level moisture. This combination set the stage for an unstable environment that contained high levels of wind shear which supported and sustained tornado development.

The tornado began west of Hinze-Rural Hill Road near Lobutcha Creek. It snapped several softwood trees and uprooted a few hardwood trees. The tornado then tracked along Hinze Road where it continued to cause tree damage before lifting. The maximum estimated wind speed was 105mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

19 minutes of warning. NWS JAN issued a tornado warning for this county at 18:26 UTC, 19 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 19:09 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 15:30 UTC and running to 20:33 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:30 UTC20:33 UTCTornado WatchJAN
18:26 UTC19:09 UTCTornado WarningJAN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Jackson, MS (KJAN), 12:00Z

6.8 hours before the tornado, 111 km from the path. February 15, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 55 joules per kilogram, CIN -58, lifted condensation level 733 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 238 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
55 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
733 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
329 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Jackson, MS (KJAN), 00:00Z

5.2 hours after it, 111 km from the path. February 16, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2016-02-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -1, lifted condensation level 603 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2016-02-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -62 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 57 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Surface CAPE
20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
603 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 109 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 18:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:15 UTCTORNADO 15 Se ThomastownLeake, MSNUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ALONG MS HWY 429. THREE CHICKEN HOUSES FLATTENED AND ONE DAMAGED. HEAVY TREE DAMAGE EVIDENT ALONG PATH. 1.9 MILE PATH LENGTH. 300 YARDS WIDE. 110 MAX WIND SPEED. EF-1.
18:15 UTCTORNADO4 Se ThomastownLeake, MSNUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ALONG MS HWY 429
18:15 UTCTORNADO4 Se ThomastownLeake, MSTHE ROOF OF A SHOP BUILDING WAS DAMAGED
18:18 UTCTORNADO5 Ssw SingletonLeake, MSTREES DOWNED AND CHICKEN HOUSES DAMAGED AT COOPER RD AND WAGGONER RD NEAR THE CONWAY COMMUNITY
18:18 UTCTORNADO5 Ssw SingletonLeake, MSTREES DOWNED AND CHICKEN HOUSES DESTROYED AT COOPER RD AND WAGGONER RD NEAR THE CONWAY COMMUNITY. HOME HAD ROOF DAMAGE AND A SHED WAS DESTROYED HERE ALSO.
18:45 UTCTORNADO 17 Ne ZamaWinston, MSSEVERAL TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG HINZE ROAD. TORNADO RATED EF1 WITH MAX WINDS OF 105MPH. PATH LENGTH OF 2.5 MILES AND WIDTH OF 200 YARDS.
18:47 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Sw LouisvilleWinston, MSTREE DOWN ACROSS HINZE ROAD.
18:47 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 Ene ZamaWinston, MSSEVERAL TREES AND SEVERAL POWER POLES DOWNED ALONG HINZE-RURAL HILL RD.
18:47 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 Ene ZamaWinston, MSTREE DOWN ACROSS HINZE ROAD.
18:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGWalnut GroveLeake, MSTREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED IN WALNUT GROVE.
19:13 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 N NeshobaNeshoba, MSTREES DOWNED OFF OF HWY 15.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in MississippiEvery tornado in Mississippi since 1950Warnings in force in Mississippi nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 15, 2016

16 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 1510:22 AM CSTEF0Avoyelles Parish, LA0.320$10,000
February 1511:00 AM CSTEF0Hinds, MS0.550$3,000
February 1512:10 PM CSTEF2Copiah, MS30.3250$960,000
February 1512:15 PM CSTEF1Leake, MS1.9300$800,000
February 151:04 PM CSTEF0Jefferson Davis Parish, LA0.810
February 151:15 PM CSTEF1Walthall, MS5.02502
February 151:24 PM CSTEF0Smith, MS2.1100$15,000
February 151:43 PM CSTEF1Smith, MS2.7250$250,000
February 151:52 PM CSTEF1Smith, MS14.6350$608,000
February 153:32 PM CSTEF3Escambia, FL to AL16.43003$5.8 million
February 154:00 PM CSTEF0Montgomery, AL2.575
February 154:33 PM CSTEF2Conecuh, AL2.2250$750,000
February 155:00 PM CSTEF1Covington, AL4.5501$100,000
February 156:20 PM CSTEF1Pike, AL5.0400
February 156:57 PM CSTEF1Russell, AL6.8400
February 157:00 PM CSTEF0Russell, AL7.1250

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.