Tornadoes · United States · Mississippi · 2016
EF1 tornado, Conway, Mississippi, February 15, 2016
This EF1 tornado ran 1.9 miles across Leake County on February 15, 2016, touching down at 12:15 PM CST and reaching 300 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $800,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- February 15, 2016
- Touchdown
- 12:15 PM CST (18:15 UTC)
- Lifted
- 12:19 PM CST (18:19 UTC)
- On the ground
- 4 minutes
- Path length
- 1.9 miles (3.0 km)
- Path width
- 300 yards (274 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $800,000
- County
- Leake County
- Touchdown point
- 32.816, -89.606
- Lift-off point
- 32.828, -89.577
- Record number
- 1602151215-01
The damage survey
8 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JAN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.
- numerous trees dmg, home with shingles off, other minor roof dmg.
- Three chicken houses flattened.
- End point of tornado path.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
Widespread severe weather occurred with a mix of damaging winds, hail and several tornadoes. The focus of the severe weather was across central and southern Mississippi. This event was driven by a potent disturbance that swung across the area during the midday and afternoon hours. As this strong feature dropped into the Lower Mississippi River Valley, a surface low rapidly deepened as it tracked across central Mississippi. The atmospheric response to this was for a rapid increase in winds aloft and higher low level moisture. This combination set the stage for an unstable environment that contained high levels of wind shear which supported and sustained tornado development.
The tornado began just to the west of Highway 429, snapping some trees near Koli Creek. The tornado then tracked northeast along Cooper Road. In this area, it caused heavy tree damage along the path, snapping or uprooting numerous trees. Also along this road, three chicken houses were flattened and another was damaged. A home suffered minor roof damage. The tornado crossed Waggoner Road and lifted in an adjacent wooded area. The maximum estimated wind speed was 110mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
8 minutes of warning. NWS JAN issued a tornado warning for this county at 18:07 UTC, 8 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 18:37 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 15:30 UTC and running to 20:33 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 UTC | 20:33 UTC | Tornado Watch | JAN |
| 17:38 UTC | 19:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN |
| 18:07 UTC | 18:37 UTC | Tornado Warning | JAN |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:28 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Jackson, MS (KJAN), 12:00Z
6.3 hours before the tornado, 72 km from the path. February 15, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 55 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -58 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 733 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 238 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 329 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.5 K/km
Jackson, MS (KJAN), 00:00Z
5.7 hours after it, 72 km from the path. February 16, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 603 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -62 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -98 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.3 K/km
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 71 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 18:15 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:15 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 5 Se Thomastown | Leake, MS | NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ALONG MS HWY 429. THREE CHICKEN HOUSES FLATTENED AND ONE DAMAGED. HEAVY TREE DAMAGE EVIDENT ALONG PATH. 1.9 MILE PATH LENGTH. 300 YARDS WIDE. 110 MAX WIND SPEED. EF-1. |
| 18:15 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Se Thomastown | Leake, MS | NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ALONG MS HWY 429 |
| 18:15 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Se Thomastown | Leake, MS | THE ROOF OF A SHOP BUILDING WAS DAMAGED |
| 18:18 UTC | TORNADO | 5 Ssw Singleton | Leake, MS | TREES DOWNED AND CHICKEN HOUSES DAMAGED AT COOPER RD AND WAGGONER RD NEAR THE CONWAY COMMUNITY |
| 18:18 UTC | TORNADO | 5 Ssw Singleton | Leake, MS | TREES DOWNED AND CHICKEN HOUSES DESTROYED AT COOPER RD AND WAGGONER RD NEAR THE CONWAY COMMUNITY. HOME HAD ROOF DAMAGE AND A SHED WAS DESTROYED HERE ALSO. |
| 18:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Nw Morton | Scott, MS | TREE DOWNED AT 1060 HIGHWAY 13N. |
| 18:45 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 7 Ne Zama | Winston, MS | SEVERAL TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG HINZE ROAD. TORNADO RATED EF1 WITH MAX WINDS OF 105MPH. PATH LENGTH OF 2.5 MILES AND WIDTH OF 200 YARDS. |
| 18:47 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 5 Sw Louisville | Winston, MS | TREE DOWN ACROSS HINZE ROAD. |
| 18:47 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 8 Ene Zama | Winston, MS | SEVERAL TREES AND SEVERAL POWER POLES DOWNED ALONG HINZE-RURAL HILL RD. |
| 18:47 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 8 Ene Zama | Winston, MS | TREE DOWN ACROSS HINZE ROAD. |
| 18:50 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Walnut Grove | Leake, MS | TREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED IN WALNUT GROVE. |
| 19:13 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 N Neshoba | Neshoba, MS | TREES DOWNED OFF OF HWY 15. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in MississippiEvery tornado in Mississippi since 1950Warnings in force in Mississippi nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of February 15, 2016
16 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 15 | 10:22 AM CST | EF0 | Avoyelles Parish, LA | 0.3 | 20 | $10,000 | ||
| February 15 | 11:00 AM CST | EF0 | Hinds, MS | 0.5 | 50 | $3,000 | ||
| February 15 | 12:10 PM CST | EF2 | Copiah, MS | 30.3 | 250 | $960,000 | ||
| February 15 | 12:45 PM CST | EF1 | Winston, MS | 2.5 | 200 | $45,000 | ||
| February 15 | 1:04 PM CST | EF0 | Jefferson Davis Parish, LA | 0.8 | 10 | |||
| February 15 | 1:15 PM CST | EF1 | Walthall, MS | 5.0 | 250 | 2 | ||
| February 15 | 1:24 PM CST | EF0 | Smith, MS | 2.1 | 100 | $15,000 | ||
| February 15 | 1:43 PM CST | EF1 | Smith, MS | 2.7 | 250 | $250,000 | ||
| February 15 | 1:52 PM CST | EF1 | Smith, MS | 14.6 | 350 | $608,000 | ||
| February 15 | 3:32 PM CST | EF3 | Escambia, FL to AL | 16.4 | 300 | 3 | $5.8 million | |
| February 15 | 4:00 PM CST | EF0 | Montgomery, AL | 2.5 | 75 | |||
| February 15 | 4:33 PM CST | EF2 | Conecuh, AL | 2.2 | 250 | $750,000 | ||
| February 15 | 5:00 PM CST | EF1 | Covington, AL | 4.5 | 50 | 1 | $100,000 | |
| February 15 | 6:20 PM CST | EF1 | Pike, AL | 5.0 | 400 | |||
| February 15 | 6:57 PM CST | EF1 | Russell, AL | 6.8 | 400 | |||
| February 15 | 7:00 PM CST | EF0 | Russell, AL | 7.1 | 250 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.