Tornadoes · United States · Mississippi · 2016

EF1 tornado, Sylvarena to Baxter, Mississippi, February 15, 2016

From Sylvarena to Baxter, this EF1 tornado ran 14.6 miles across Smith and Jasper counties on February 15, 2016, touching down at 1:52 PM CST and reaching 350 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $608,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 15, 2016
Touchdown
1:52 PM CST (19:52 UTC)
Lifted
2:11 PM CST (20:11 UTC)
On the ground
19 minutes
Path length
14.6 miles (23.5 km)
Path width
350 yards (320 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$608,000
Counties
Smith and Jasper counties
Touchdown point
32.051, -89.341
Lift-off point
32.197, -89.161
Record number
1602151352-01

The damage survey

34 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JAN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 105 mph.

  • tin scattered through field
  • roof damaged on a church. also trees uprooted and tree damaged outbuilding
  • roof damage due to fallen trees
  • old house destroyed by fallen tree

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Widespread severe weather occurred with a mix of damaging winds, hail and several tornadoes. The focus of the severe weather was across central and southern Mississippi. This event was driven by a potent disturbance that swung across the area during the midday and afternoon hours. As this strong feature dropped into the Lower Mississippi River Valley, a surface low rapidly deepened as it tracked across central Mississippi. The atmospheric response to this was for a rapid increase in winds aloft and higher low level moisture. This combination set the stage for an unstable environment that contained high levels of wind shear which supported and sustained tornado development.

The tornado began near Smith County Road 84, where some softwood trees were uprooted. It then tracked northeast into Sylvarena. Here the tornado damaged several structures along Highway 18, including ripping off a gas station canopy and blowing down an antenna. Homes also had roof damage and were damaged by uprooted trees. The tornado continued northeast and lifted amongst some trees south of Ted-Sylvarena Road. The maximum estimated wind speed was 105mph.

The tornado began just west of Smith County Road 107 where it snapped some trees. It then crossed into Jasper County, continuing to uproot and snap trees. The tornado entered Montrose where numerous trees were either snapped or uprooted. There was also damage to several buildings in Montrose, including roof damage to a church as well as damage to houses due to fallen trees. The tornado was at its widest point in Montrose. The tornado continued northeast, following Highway 15, where it snapped and uprooted trees through the remainder of its path, with a few falling on homes. The tornado lifted just north of the Highway 15 intersection with Jasper County Road 24. The total path length for this tornado was 14.7 miles. The maximum width for this tornado was 350 yards and maximum estimated winds were 110mph, which occurred in Jasper County. The highest winds estimated in Smith County was 90mph.

The tornado began just west of Smith County Road 107 where it snapped some trees. It then crossed into Jasper County, continuing to uproot and snap trees. The tornado entered Montrose where numerous trees were either snapped or uprooted. There was also damage to several buildings in Montrose, including roof damage to a church as well as damage to houses due to fallen trees. The tornado was at its widest point in Montrose. The tornado continued northeast, following Highway 15, where it snapped and uprooted trees through the remainder of its path, with a few falling on homes. The tornado lifted just north of the Highway 15 intersection with Jasper County Road 24. The total path length for this tornado was 14.7 miles. The maximum width for this tornado was 350 yards and maximum estimated winds were 110mph, which occurred in Jasper County.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

26 minutes of warning. NWS JAN issued a tornado warning for this county at 19:26 UTC, 26 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 20:05 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 15:30 UTC and running to 21:18 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:09 UTC16:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAN
15:30 UTC21:18 UTCTornado WatchJAN
18:40 UTC19:45 UTCTornado WarningJAN
19:26 UTC20:05 UTCTornado WarningJAN
20:08 UTC20:41 UTCTornado WarningJAN
20:22 UTC20:40 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Jackson, MS (KJAN), 12:00Z

7.9 hours before the tornado, 81 km from the path. February 15, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 55 joules per kilogram, CIN -58, lifted condensation level 733 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 238 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
55 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
733 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
329 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Jackson, MS (KJAN), 00:00Z

4.1 hours after it, 81 km from the path. February 16, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2016-02-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -1, lifted condensation level 603 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2016-02-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -62 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 57 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Surface CAPE
20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
603 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Laurel (LUL), 51 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
17:55 UTC6960.8200° 14 kt251008.5
18:15 UTC68.5460.8190° 13 kt201007.8
18:35 UTC6960210° 16 kt221007.1
18:55 UTC68.7259.72210° 10 kt251007.1
19:15 UTC67.8260.8220° 14 kt231006.8
19:35 UTC65.6664.22220° 9 kt141006.4
19:55 UTC64.464.4230° 5 kt1006.1
20:15 UTC63.6863.68220° 4 kt1005.8
20:35 UTC62.2462260° 20 kt291006.8
20:55 UTC58.6458290° 35 kt401008.1
21:15 UTC55.455.4300° 16 kt281009.1
21:35 UTC5454300° 10 kt1008.8

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 71 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:50 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nw MortonScott, MSTREE DOWNED AT 1060 HIGHWAY 13N.
18:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGWalnut GroveLeake, MSTREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED IN WALNUT GROVE.
19:13 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 N NeshobaNeshoba, MSTREES DOWNED OFF OF HWY 15.
19:24 UTCTORNADO 08 Ne MageeSmith, MSTHIS BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON CR-114 IN WESTERN SMITH COUNTY BEFORE CROSSING GEORGIA PACIFIC LAND AND ENDING BACK ON CR-114. A FEW TREES WERE DOWNED ALONG THE PATH. 2.1 MILE PATH LENGTH. 100 YARDS WIDE. 75 MPH MAX W
19:43 UTCTORNADO 12 Sw SylvarenaSmith, MSTHIS TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON CR-84 SNAPPING AND UPROOTING TREES...CAUSING DAMAGE TO HOMES IN THE AREA. THE TORNADO TRACKED THROUGH DOWNTOWN SYLVARENA...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO A SMALL WOOD FRAME HOME AND CAUSING RO
19:45 UTCTORNADOSylvarenaSmith, MSMAJOR DAMAGE TO HOMES AND STRUCTURES IN THE SYLVARENA AREA. GAS PUMP BLOWN AWAY FROM JAMES GROCERY OFF OF HIGHWAY 18. REPORTS AND PICTURES RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
19:46 UTCTORNADOSylvarenaSmith, MSSTRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND POWER LINES DOWNED ON HWY 18
19:52 UTCTORNADO 13 Ne SylvarenaSmith, MSTHIS TORNADO BEGAN IN EASTERN SMITH COUNTY JUST WEST OF CR-107 AND CONTINUED INTO JASPER COUNTY...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO TREES ALONG THE PATH. THE TORNADO CONTINUED INTO MONTROSE WHERE DAMAGE OCCURRED TO SOME HOME
19:58 UTCTORNADO1 Wsw MontroseJasper, MSTREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED IN THE LOUIN AND MONTROSE AREAS ALONG CR 20 AND MS HWY 15
19:59 UTCTORNADO1 Wsw MontroseJasper, MSTREES DOWNED ON A HOME AND MOBILE HOME IN MONTROSE. MULTIPLE TREES SNAPPED AND UPROOTED ACROSS THE AREA. REPORTS AND PICTURES RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
20:10 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nnw ClemJefferson Davis, MSTREES DOWN ON ROBERTS ROAD.
20:10 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nnw ClemJefferson Davis, MSTREES DOWN ON KEYS ROAD.
20:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGNnw ClemJefferson Davis, MSTREES DOWN ON CLEM SCHOOL ROAD.
20:15 UTCTORNADO2 Ene GarlandvilleNewton, MSA FEW TREES AND LIMBS DOWN JUST INSIDE NEWTON CO FROM JASPER CO.
20:28 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Sse RaleighSmith, MSTREES AND LARGE LIMBS WERE DOWNED IN THE CENTER RIDGE AREA
20:32 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 N EllisvilleJones, MSCARPORT WAS BLOWN OVER ON GARDEN ROAD SOUTHWEST OF LAUREL.
20:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGLaurelJones, MSLIMB AND POWERLINE DOWN ON HOUSE ON NORTH 5TH AVE... RESULTING IN A POSSIBLE FIRE.
20:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ese CollinsCovington, MSTREE AND POWER LINES DOWNED ON RAMSEY MCQUEEN RD
20:36 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Ese LaurelJones, MSTREE IN ROADWAY ON LOWER MYRICK RD.
20:39 UTCTSTM WND DMGSeminaryCovington, MSLARGE LIMB CAUSED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME ON BOBBY BEASLEY ST
20:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 W SosoJones, MSTREE DOWNED AT FROSTY HINTON RD AND JOSH HINTON RD NEAR SOSO
20:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ne NewtonNewton, MSA LARGE PINE TREE WAS DOWNED ALONG MS HIGHWAY 15
20:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Sse DecaturNewton, MSA ROOF WAS DAMAGED ALONG MS HIGHWAY 503
20:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGDecaturNewton, MSSCATTERED TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY
20:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E GarlandvilleJasper, MSMULTIPLE TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWNED ALONG MS HWY 504 IN FAR NORTHERN JASPER COUNTY.
20:54 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ene GarlandvilleNewton, MSTIN WAS BLOWN OFF AND SCATTERED THROUGH A FIELD ALONG WITH NUMEROUS LARGE LIMBS AND SOME TREES BLOWN DOWN IN FAR SOUTHERN NEWTON COUNTY.
21:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw DuffeeNewton, MSA LARGE LIMB FELL ONTO A HOME CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE
21:20 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 S MeridianLauderdale, MSPOWER LINES DOWN AT HWY 145 AND TM JONES RD.
21:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGEnterpriseClarke, MSTREES DOWNED IN THE ENTERPRISE AREA. A LARGE TREE WAS BLOCKING AN EXIT RAMP ALONG I-59.
21:25 UTCTSTM WND DMGMarionLauderdale, MSTREE DOWN ON A MOBILE HOME.
21:25 UTCTSTM WND DMGQuitmanClarke, MSNUMEROUS TREES DOWNED AROUND CLARKE COUNTY INCLUDING SEVERAL IN QUITMAN...WHERE TWO CARS WERE DAMAGED BY FALLING TREES.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in MississippiEvery tornado in Mississippi since 1950Warnings in force in Mississippi nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 15, 2016

16 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 1510:22 AM CSTEF0Avoyelles Parish, LA0.320$10,000
February 1511:00 AM CSTEF0Hinds, MS0.550$3,000
February 1512:10 PM CSTEF2Copiah, MS30.3250$960,000
February 1512:15 PM CSTEF1Leake, MS1.9300$800,000
February 1512:45 PM CSTEF1Winston, MS2.5200$45,000
February 151:04 PM CSTEF0Jefferson Davis Parish, LA0.810
February 151:15 PM CSTEF1Walthall, MS5.02502
February 151:24 PM CSTEF0Smith, MS2.1100$15,000
February 151:43 PM CSTEF1Smith, MS2.7250$250,000
February 153:32 PM CSTEF3Escambia, FL to AL16.43003$5.8 million
February 154:00 PM CSTEF0Montgomery, AL2.575
February 154:33 PM CSTEF2Conecuh, AL2.2250$750,000
February 155:00 PM CSTEF1Covington, AL4.5501$100,000
February 156:20 PM CSTEF1Pike, AL5.0400
February 156:57 PM CSTEF1Russell, AL6.8400
February 157:00 PM CSTEF0Russell, AL7.1250

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.