Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2015
EF0 tornado, Conception, Minnesota, July 18, 2015
This EF0 tornado ran 0.0 miles across Wabasha County on July 18, 2015, touching down at 2:02 AM CDT and reaching 25 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $15,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- July 18, 2015
- Touchdown
- 2:02 AM CDT (07:02 UTC)
- Lifted
- 2:03 AM CDT (07:03 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 0.0 miles (0.0 km)
- Path width
- 25 yards (23 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Crop damage
- $2,000
- County
- Wabasha County
- Touchdown point
- 44.242, -92.094
- Lift-off point
- 44.242, -92.094
- Record number
- 1507180102-01
The damage survey
2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ARX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 65 mph.
- 3 of the 4 silo tops in the foreground were taken off by the tornado.
- Corn showed a convergent path for about 100 yds but was not flattened. Tires in foreground were thrown.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A line of severe thunderstorms moved across southeast Minnesota during the early morning hours of July 18th. One of these storms produced a small, short-lived tornado southeast of Theilman (Wabasha County). The tornado moved through a corn field and across one farmstead removing the tops off of two silos, blowing in garage doors and moved several tires off a sileage pile. Besides the tornado, the storms also produced damaging winds that blew down trees in Millville (Wabasha County).
A small, short-lived tornado damaged some corn, removed the tops off of two silos, blew in garage doors and moved tires off a sileage pile.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
5 minutes of warning. NWS ARX issued a tornado warning for this county at 06:57 UTC, 5 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 07:19 UTC.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 07:00 UTC and running to 08:55 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06:23 UTC | 07:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX |
| 06:57 UTC | 07:19 UTC | Tornado Warning | ARX |
| 07:00 UTC | 08:55 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | ARX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 06:00 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z
7.0 hours before the tornado, 137 km from the path. July 18, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 888 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -162 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 2207 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1752 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 5 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 104 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.7 K/km
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z
5.0 hours after it, 137 km from the path. July 18, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -77583 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1722 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 181 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 203 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.8 K/km
The surface observations
Winona Municipal (ONA), 36 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:13 UTC | 73.4 | 71.6 | 0° 0 kt | 1007.1 | ||
| 05:34 UTC | 77 | 73.4 | 0° 0 kt | 1007.8 | ||
| 05:53 UTC | 77 | 73.4 | 140° 4 kt | 1007.5 | ||
| 06:14 UTC | 77 | 71.6 | 150° 5 kt | 1007.5 | ||
| 06:34 UTC | 77 | 71.6 | 150° 4 kt | 1006.8 | ||
| 06:53 UTC | 77 | 73.4 | 160° 6 kt | 1006.1 | ||
| 07:14 UTC | 77 | 73.4 | 150° 5 kt | 1005.8 | VCTS | |
| 07:34 UTC | 71.6 | 66.2 | 300° 22 kt | 36 | 1008.5 | +TSRA |
| 07:53 UTC | 69.8 | 66.2 | 330° 10 kt | 23 | 1009.8 | +TSRA |
| 08:14 UTC | 69.8 | 68 | 310° 10 kt | 17 | 1009.5 | TSRA |
| 08:33 UTC | 69.8 | 68 | 320° 7 kt | 1008.8 | -TSRA | |
| 08:54 UTC | 69.8 | 68 | 0° 0 kt | 1008.8 | -RA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 86 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:59 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:33 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Mazeppa | Wabasha, MN | PINE TREE SNAPPED OFF. A FEW OTHER TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG WITH SEVERAL BRANCHES. WIND GUST ESTIMATED AT 70 MPH. TIME ESTIMATED USING RADAR. |
| 06:54 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Millville | Wabasha, MN | TREE DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 2 IN MILLVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. |
| 06:54 UTC | TSTM WND GST 47 | Rochester | Olmsted, MN | MEASURED AT THE MAYO HELIPAD. |
| 07:00 UTC | TSTM WND GST 52 | Oronoco | Olmsted, MN | |
| 07:02 UTC | TORNADO | 6 Se Theilman | Wabasha, MN | DAMAGE TO A FARM INCLUDED SILO TOPS REMOVED...GARAGE DOORS BLOWN IN...TIRES MOVED. 25 YD WIDE...100 YARD LONG PATH THROUGH CORN SHOWED WEAK TORNADO TRACK. TIME IS RADAR ESTIMATED. |
| 07:05 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Kellogg | Wabasha, MN | A FEW TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 42 NEAR KELLOGG. TIME ESTIMATED USING RADAR. |
| 07:07 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Wabasha | Wabasha, MN | A FEW TREES REPORTED DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN LAKE CITY AND WABASHA. TIME ESTIMATED USING RADAR. |
| 07:07 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Wabasha | Wabasha, MN | A FEW TREES RERORTED DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN LAKE CITY AND WABASHA. TIME ESTIMATED USING RADAR. |
| 07:17 UTC | TSTM WND GST 55 | 4 Se Minneiska | Winona, MN | MINNESOTA CITY LOCK & DAM DAM 5 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of July 18, 2015
5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.