Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2015

EF0 tornado, Lawrence to Alden, Illinois, July 18, 2015

From Lawrence to Alden, this EF0 tornado ran 0.1 miles across McHenry County on July 18, 2015, touching down at 2:19 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
July 18, 2015
Touchdown
2:19 PM CDT (19:19 UTC)
Lifted
2:20 PM CDT (19:20 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.1 miles (0.2 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
McHenry County
Touchdown point
42.450, -88.600
Lift-off point
42.450, -88.598
Record number
1507181319-01

The damage survey

2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LOT, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 70 mph.

  • Spotter report of a tornado. Also public reports of minor tree damage in this area.
  • Spotter report of brief touchdown.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Thunderstorms developed over portions of northeastern Illinois producing heavy rain and sporadic wind damage. An observer in Gurnee measured 1.86 inches of rain in 72 minutes while an observer in Wonder Lake measured 2.57 inches in two hours.

An emergency manager spotted a brief tornado that caused minor tree damage near Route 14 and Oak Grove Road. Maximum winds were estimated to 70 mph.

Spotters reported a brief tornado. No damage occurred.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

0 minutes of warning. NWS LOT issued a tornado warning for this county at 19:19 UTC, 0 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 19:46 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:32 UTC and running to 22:25 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC22:53 UTCHeat AdvisoryLOT
18:32 UTC22:25 UTCTornado WatchLOT
19:06 UTC19:29 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOT
19:19 UTC19:46 UTCTornado WarningLOT
20:00 UTC23:30 UTCFlash Flood WatchLOT
20:06 UTC23:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryLOT
20:56 UTC03:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningLOT
02:30 UTC17:19 UTCFlood AdvisoryLOT

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:44 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z

7.3 hours before the tornado, 182 km from the path. July 18, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2984 joules per kilogram, CIN -64, lifted condensation level 858 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -27 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 31 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2984 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-64 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2881 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
858 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.4
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z

4.7 hours after it, 182 km from the path. July 19, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2015-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1061 joules per kilogram, CIN -84, lifted condensation level 1393 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2015-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 81 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 26 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1061 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-84 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2973 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1393 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
4.5
0-3 km lapse rate
5.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Burlington (BUU), 36 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
17:55 UTC79.8868160° 7 kt1010.8
18:15 UTC79.8868170° 8 kt1010.5
18:35 UTC81.568.54160° 8 kt1010.2
18:55 UTC81.568.36150° 8 kt1008.8
19:15 UTC8069.44170° 6 kt1008.8
19:35 UTC7869.26170° 4 kt1009.5
19:55 UTC74.4870170° 3 kt1008.8-RA
20:15 UTC70.5267.64330° 23 kt381012.5+RA
20:30 UTC6866.74330° 11 kt231012.2+RA
20:55 UTC67.4666.56140° 6 kt1011.9-RA
21:15 UTC6867.28120° 6 kt1011.2-DZ
21:35 UTC70.8869.8140° 5 kt1010.5BR

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 58 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:19 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
19:19 UTCTORNADO2 Nne HarvardMchenry, ILSATURDAY 7/18/2015 BRIEF EF-0 TORNADO. PATH WIDTH 50 YARDS. PATH LENGTH 0.1 MILES. MAXIMUM WINDS 70 MPH. SPOTTER REPORTS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT INFORMATION AND RADAR DATA USED TO DETERMINE DETAILS.
19:19 UTCTORNADO3 Nne HarvardMchenry, ILBRIEF AND SPOTTED NEAR ROUTE 14 AND OAK GROVE ROAD. MAY HAVE BEEN MINOR TREE DAMAGE BASED ON PUBLIC REPORTS IN THAT AREA.
19:19 UTCTORNADO3 Nne HarvardMchenry, ILSPOTTED NEAR ROUTE 14 AND OAK GROVE ROAD
19:38 UTCTORNADO3 Wsw HebronMchenry, ILSATURDAY 7/18/2015 BRIEF EF-0 TORNADO. PATH WIDTH 50 YARDS. PATH LENGTH 0.1 MILES. MAXIMUM WINDS 70 MPH. SPOTTER REPORTS AND RADAR DATA USED TO DETERMINE DETAILS.
19:40 UTCHEAVY RAIN 0.5Lake In The HillsMchenry, ILESTIMATED RAIN FELL IN 10 MINUTES. SMALL BRANCHES DOWN TOO.
21:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGKildeerLake, ILTREE DOWN ON EAST CUBA RD. TREE IS 12 INCHES AT BASE. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
21:06 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.86GurneeLake, ILIN 72 MINUTES
21:06 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.86GurneeLake, ILRAIN FELL IN 72 MINUTES
21:20 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2LindenhurstLake, ILRAIN FELL IN AN HOUR. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
21:22 UTCFLOODLake VillaLake, ILSTANDING WATER AT INTERSECTION OF FAIRFIELD AND APACHE TRAIL. WATER IS 2.5 TO 3 FEET DEEP.
21:45 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2.411 Ssw Lake VillaLake, ILRAIN FELL IN 2.5 HOURS.
21:45 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2.57Wonder LakeMchenry, ILIN TWO HOURS.
21:45 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2.57Wonder LakeMchenry, ILRAIN FELL IN TWO HOURS.
21:56 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.13Island LakeLake, IL

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 18, 2015

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 181:00 AM CDTEF0Ramsey, MN1.975$500,000
July 181:52 AM CDTEF1Dunn, WI5.350$10,000
July 182:02 AM CDTEF0Wabasha, MN0.025$15,000
July 182:38 PM CDTEF0McHenry, IL0.150
July 182:40 PM CDTEF1Rock, WI4.950$180,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.