Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2015
EF0 tornado, Shoreview to North Oaks, Minnesota, July 18, 2015
From Shoreview to North Oaks, this EF0 tornado ran 1.9 miles across Ramsey County on July 18, 2015, touching down at 1:00 AM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- July 18, 2015
- Touchdown
- 1:00 AM CDT (06:00 UTC)
- Lifted
- 1:03 AM CDT (06:03 UTC)
- On the ground
- 3 minutes
- Path length
- 1.9 miles (3.0 km)
- Path width
- 75 yards (69 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $500,000
- County
- Ramsey County
- Touchdown point
- 45.099, -93.115
- Lift-off point
- 45.113, -93.082
- Record number
- 1507180000-01
The damage survey
13 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MPX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.
- Tornado End. Some trees toppled to the northeast, others to the southeast.
- Some trees toppled to the northeast, others to the southwest, others to the southeast.
- Trees were toppled over, with eight of them landing on this house.
- A few trees were toppled or broken in the area of the foreground (some not shown), but in the distance, one can see the tops of the trees damaged farther east.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
Several severe thunderstorms developed in northeast South Dakota during the late afternoon of Friday, July 17th. These storms moved slowly initially across northeast South Dakota where severe wind gusts, very large hail and a tornado occurred. ||After 730 PM CST, these severe storms began to bow out across west central Minnesota from Morris, southwest to Ortonville. Severe wind gusts were reported in Madison to Appleton City as the bow echo began to accelerate eastward across southern Minnesota.||Numerous reports of downed trees, power lines and occasional hail occurred from the South Dakota, Minnesota border eastward to the Twin Cities, and into west central Wisconsin. ||Damage was more sporadic in western Minnesota, but became more widespread in eastern Minnesota as a more intense bow echo developed. A widespread area of trees and power lines were blown down across the Twin Cities metro area, with some areas measuring wind gusts up to 61 knots. ||One of the bow echo segments produced a brief tornado west of Watertown, where a storm survey indicated an EF1 occurred.||Another significant wind damaged area was in Goodhue County where winds up to 85 mph were estimated based on a local survey. ||At one point during the storm, 225,000 people in Minnesota were without power according to Xcel Energy.
A storm survey indicated that an EF-0 tornado touch downed in the northwest portion of North Oaks, near Charley Lake, and moved east-northeast to the southern side of Deep Lake, where the greatest number of trees were toppled and snapped. Some of the trees fell on houses, vehicles and other structures. The tornado had a path length of 1.9 miles with maximum winds of 80 mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 03:43 UTC and running to 07:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03:43 UTC | 07:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | MPX |
| 05:26 UTC | 06:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 06:00 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z
6.0 hours before the tornado, 49 km from the path. July 18, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 888 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -162 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 2207 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1752 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 5 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 104 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.7 K/km
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z
6.0 hours after it, 49 km from the path. July 18, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -77583 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1722 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 181 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 203 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.8 K/km
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 47 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:01 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:02 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Watertown | Carver, MN | POWER LINES AND MANY TREES TOPPLED IN THE CITY. |
| 05:12 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Nw St Bonifacius | Carver, MN | SIX INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCH DOWN. OCCURRED ON NIKE ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 05:12 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 N St Bonifacius | Hennepin, MN | FOUR INCH DIAMETER BRANCH SEVERED. OCCURRED NEAR INTERSECTION COUNTY ROAD 26 AND COUNTY ROAD 92. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 05:14 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 N St Bonifacius | Hennepin, MN | PORTION OF OLD BARN BLOW IN. SOME DAMAGE TO OLD SILO. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 05:14 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Ne St Bonifacius | Hennepin, MN | TWO INCH DIAMETER TREE TOPPLED. OCCURRED ONE HALF MILE EAST OF INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 15 AND COUNTY ROAD 92. OCCURRED ON HICKORY LANE. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 05:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Minnetrista | Hennepin, MN | SIX TO EIGHT INCH DIAMETER TREE BROKEN OFF APPROXIMATELY 15 FEET FROM THE BASE. OCCURRED IN FAR NORTHWEST PORTION OF CITY ON OX YOKE CIRCLE JUST NORTH OF INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 92 AND 26. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 05:16 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 W Mound | Hennepin, MN | SEVERAL 8 TO 12 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES SEVERED. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 05:22 UTC | TSTM WND GST 56 | Shakopee | Scott, MN | MEASURED WITH ANEMOMETER. |
| 05:23 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Waconia | Carver, MN | HUGE TREE LIMBS SMASHED VEHICLES IN TOWN. REPORT VIA TWITTER. |
| 05:27 UTC | TSTM WND GST 58 | Long Lake | Hennepin, MN | |
| 05:30 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 W Prior Lake | Scott, MN | SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN WEST OF PRIOR LAKE, TWO TREES HAD A DIAMETER OF 2-3 FEET. OTHER AREAS OF PRIOR LAKE AND NORTHWEST TOWARD SHAKOPEE HAD SPORADIC LARGE BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 17. |
| 05:33 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Waconia | Carver, MN | UPROOTED TREES IN TOWN. REPORTED VIA TWITTER. |
| 05:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Credit River | Scott, MN | TREES DOWN. |
| 05:35 UTC | TSTM WND GST 48 | Big Lake | Sherburne, MN | MEASURED WITH ANEMOMETER. |
| 05:35 UTC | TSTM WND GST 48 | Big Lake | Sherburne, MN | MEASURED WITH ANEMOMETER. OCCURRED NEAR HIGHWAY 10 AND COUNTY ROAD 81. |
| 05:36 UTC | TSTM WND GST 61 | Golden Valley | Hennepin, MN | VIA WEATHER UNDERGROUND/THE WEATHER CHANNEL. |
| 05:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Ne Lakeville | Dakota, MN | TREE LIMBS DOWN AT 179TH ST WEST AND FLAGSTAFF AVE. |
| 05:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Maple Grove | Hennepin, MN | FOUR TO FIVE INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS SEVERED. OCCURRED ON DALLAS LANE NORTH. DIME SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED. |
| 05:40 UTC | TSTM WND GST 67 | 2 Wnw Richfield | Hennepin, MN | |
| 05:41 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | Lakeville | Dakota, MN | VIA WEATHER UNDERGROUND/THE WEATHER CHANNEL. |
| 05:45 UTC | TSTM WND GST 55 | Lakeville | Dakota, MN | |
| 05:53 UTC | TSTM WND GST 62 | St Paul Airport | Ramsey, MN | |
| 05:56 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | New Brighton | Ramsey, MN | SIXTY FIVE TO 70 MPH WINDS REPORTED BY WEATHER EYE RADIO. |
| 06:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | North Oaks | Ramsey, MN | MULTIPLE TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN. |
| 06:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Rosemount | Dakota, MN | LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN...MAINLY 2 INCHES OR SLIGHTLY GREATER IN DIAMETER. |
| 06:00 UTC | TORNADO 0 | 1 Ne Shoreview | Ramsey, MN | TORNADO STARTED IN THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF NORTH OAKS... NEAR CHARLEY LAKE AND MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF DEEP LAKE...WHERE THE GREATEST NUMBER OF TREES WERE TOPPLED OR SNAPPED. SOME TREES FELL ON HOUS |
| 06:04 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | New Brighton | Ramsey, MN | NUMEROUS MEDIUM SIZE TREE LIMBS SEVERED. ONE AS LARGE AS 5 TO 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER. REPORTED BY WEATHER EYE RADIO. |
| 06:05 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Watertown | Carver, MN | POWER OUT FOR APPROXIMATELY ONE HOUR. |
| 06:10 UTC | TSTM WND GST 56 | Flying Cloud Airport | Hennepin, MN | |
| 06:12 UTC | TSTM WND GST 55 | Excelsior | Hennepin, MN | OCCURRED AT FIRE DEPT IN TOWN. |
| 06:12 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | Flying Cloud Airport | Hennepin, MN | |
| 06:14 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 E Excelsior | Hennepin, MN | LARGE TREE BRANCH DAMAGED ROOF NEAR CHRISTMAS LAKE. POWER ALSO LOST ON SITE. |
| 06:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Hugo | Washington, MN | SEVERAL 6 INCH DIAMETER TREES TOPPLED. OCCURRED IN NORTHWEST PORTION OF CITY. |
| 06:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Hugo | Washington, MN | TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM PREVIOUS REPORT. |
| 06:30 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | South Minneapolis | Hennepin, MN | ONE TREE SNAPPED IN HALF AT HARRIET AND W 36TH STREET. |
| 06:33 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | Msp Intl Airport | Hennepin, MN | STRONG WINDS WELL BEHIND THE LINE OF STORMS. |
| 06:38 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | Crystal Airport | Hennepin, MN | |
| 06:44 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Richfield | Hennepin, MN | TWELVE INCH DIAMETER TREE FELLED. |
| 06:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Waconia | Carver, MN | CAR SMASHED BY LARGE TREE. HALF OF CITY OUT OF POWER. REPORTED VIA TWITTER. |
| 07:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 1.82 | 1 E St Michael | Wright, MN | OCCURRED IN ABOUT 90 MINUTES. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of July 18, 2015
5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.