Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2015

EF0 tornado, Shoreview to North Oaks, Minnesota, July 18, 2015

From Shoreview to North Oaks, this EF0 tornado ran 1.9 miles across Ramsey County on July 18, 2015, touching down at 1:00 AM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
July 18, 2015
Touchdown
1:00 AM CDT (06:00 UTC)
Lifted
1:03 AM CDT (06:03 UTC)
On the ground
3 minutes
Path length
1.9 miles (3.0 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
County
Ramsey County
Touchdown point
45.099, -93.115
Lift-off point
45.113, -93.082
Record number
1507180000-01

The damage survey

13 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MPX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

  • Tornado End. Some trees toppled to the northeast, others to the southeast.
  • Some trees toppled to the northeast, others to the southwest, others to the southeast.
  • Trees were toppled over, with eight of them landing on this house.
  • A few trees were toppled or broken in the area of the foreground (some not shown), but in the distance, one can see the tops of the trees damaged farther east.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Several severe thunderstorms developed in northeast South Dakota during the late afternoon of Friday, July 17th. These storms moved slowly initially across northeast South Dakota where severe wind gusts, very large hail and a tornado occurred. ||After 730 PM CST, these severe storms began to bow out across west central Minnesota from Morris, southwest to Ortonville. Severe wind gusts were reported in Madison to Appleton City as the bow echo began to accelerate eastward across southern Minnesota.||Numerous reports of downed trees, power lines and occasional hail occurred from the South Dakota, Minnesota border eastward to the Twin Cities, and into west central Wisconsin. ||Damage was more sporadic in western Minnesota, but became more widespread in eastern Minnesota as a more intense bow echo developed. A widespread area of trees and power lines were blown down across the Twin Cities metro area, with some areas measuring wind gusts up to 61 knots. ||One of the bow echo segments produced a brief tornado west of Watertown, where a storm survey indicated an EF1 occurred.||Another significant wind damaged area was in Goodhue County where winds up to 85 mph were estimated based on a local survey. ||At one point during the storm, 225,000 people in Minnesota were without power according to Xcel Energy.

A storm survey indicated that an EF-0 tornado touch downed in the northwest portion of North Oaks, near Charley Lake, and moved east-northeast to the southern side of Deep Lake, where the greatest number of trees were toppled and snapped. Some of the trees fell on houses, vehicles and other structures. The tornado had a path length of 1.9 miles with maximum winds of 80 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 03:43 UTC and running to 07:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
03:43 UTC07:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchMPX
05:26 UTC06:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 06:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

6.0 hours before the tornado, 49 km from the path. July 18, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2015-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 888 joules per kilogram, CIN -162, lifted condensation level 1752 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2015-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 30 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
888 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-162 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2207 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1752 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

6.0 hours after it, 49 km from the path. July 18, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -77583, lifted condensation level 1722 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77583 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1722 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
203 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 47 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
05:02 UTCTSTM WND DMGWatertownCarver, MNPOWER LINES AND MANY TREES TOPPLED IN THE CITY.
05:12 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw St BonifaciusCarver, MNSIX INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCH DOWN. OCCURRED ON NIKE ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED.
05:12 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 N St BonifaciusHennepin, MNFOUR INCH DIAMETER BRANCH SEVERED. OCCURRED NEAR INTERSECTION COUNTY ROAD 26 AND COUNTY ROAD 92. TIME ESTIMATED.
05:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N St BonifaciusHennepin, MNPORTION OF OLD BARN BLOW IN. SOME DAMAGE TO OLD SILO. TIME ESTIMATED.
05:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Ne St BonifaciusHennepin, MNTWO INCH DIAMETER TREE TOPPLED. OCCURRED ONE HALF MILE EAST OF INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 15 AND COUNTY ROAD 92. OCCURRED ON HICKORY LANE. TIME ESTIMATED.
05:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGMinnetristaHennepin, MNSIX TO EIGHT INCH DIAMETER TREE BROKEN OFF APPROXIMATELY 15 FEET FROM THE BASE. OCCURRED IN FAR NORTHWEST PORTION OF CITY ON OX YOKE CIRCLE JUST NORTH OF INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 92 AND 26. TIME ESTIMATED.
05:16 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 W MoundHennepin, MNSEVERAL 8 TO 12 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES SEVERED. TIME ESTIMATED.
05:22 UTCTSTM WND GST 56ShakopeeScott, MNMEASURED WITH ANEMOMETER.
05:23 UTCTSTM WND DMGWaconiaCarver, MNHUGE TREE LIMBS SMASHED VEHICLES IN TOWN. REPORT VIA TWITTER.
05:27 UTCTSTM WND GST 58Long LakeHennepin, MN
05:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 W Prior LakeScott, MNSEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN WEST OF PRIOR LAKE, TWO TREES HAD A DIAMETER OF 2-3 FEET. OTHER AREAS OF PRIOR LAKE AND NORTHWEST TOWARD SHAKOPEE HAD SPORADIC LARGE BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 17.
05:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGWaconiaCarver, MNUPROOTED TREES IN TOWN. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
05:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGCredit RiverScott, MNTREES DOWN.
05:35 UTCTSTM WND GST 48Big LakeSherburne, MNMEASURED WITH ANEMOMETER.
05:35 UTCTSTM WND GST 48Big LakeSherburne, MNMEASURED WITH ANEMOMETER. OCCURRED NEAR HIGHWAY 10 AND COUNTY ROAD 81.
05:36 UTCTSTM WND GST 61Golden ValleyHennepin, MNVIA WEATHER UNDERGROUND/THE WEATHER CHANNEL.
05:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Ne LakevilleDakota, MNTREE LIMBS DOWN AT 179TH ST WEST AND FLAGSTAFF AVE.
05:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGMaple GroveHennepin, MNFOUR TO FIVE INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS SEVERED. OCCURRED ON DALLAS LANE NORTH. DIME SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED.
05:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 672 Wnw RichfieldHennepin, MN
05:41 UTCTSTM WND GST 70LakevilleDakota, MNVIA WEATHER UNDERGROUND/THE WEATHER CHANNEL.
05:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 55LakevilleDakota, MN
05:53 UTCTSTM WND GST 62St Paul AirportRamsey, MN
05:56 UTCTSTM WND GST 70New BrightonRamsey, MNSIXTY FIVE TO 70 MPH WINDS REPORTED BY WEATHER EYE RADIO.
06:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGNorth OaksRamsey, MNMULTIPLE TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN.
06:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGRosemountDakota, MNLARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN...MAINLY 2 INCHES OR SLIGHTLY GREATER IN DIAMETER.
06:00 UTCTORNADO 01 Ne ShoreviewRamsey, MNTORNADO STARTED IN THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF NORTH OAKS... NEAR CHARLEY LAKE AND MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF DEEP LAKE...WHERE THE GREATEST NUMBER OF TREES WERE TOPPLED OR SNAPPED. SOME TREES FELL ON HOUS
06:04 UTCTSTM WND DMGNew BrightonRamsey, MNNUMEROUS MEDIUM SIZE TREE LIMBS SEVERED. ONE AS LARGE AS 5 TO 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER. REPORTED BY WEATHER EYE RADIO.
06:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGWatertownCarver, MNPOWER OUT FOR APPROXIMATELY ONE HOUR.
06:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 56Flying Cloud AirportHennepin, MN
06:12 UTCTSTM WND GST 55ExcelsiorHennepin, MNOCCURRED AT FIRE DEPT IN TOWN.
06:12 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 58Flying Cloud AirportHennepin, MN
06:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E ExcelsiorHennepin, MNLARGE TREE BRANCH DAMAGED ROOF NEAR CHRISTMAS LAKE. POWER ALSO LOST ON SITE.
06:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGHugoWashington, MNSEVERAL 6 INCH DIAMETER TREES TOPPLED. OCCURRED IN NORTHWEST PORTION OF CITY.
06:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGHugoWashington, MNTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM PREVIOUS REPORT.
06:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGSouth MinneapolisHennepin, MNONE TREE SNAPPED IN HALF AT HARRIET AND W 36TH STREET.
06:33 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 60Msp Intl AirportHennepin, MNSTRONG WINDS WELL BEHIND THE LINE OF STORMS.
06:38 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 58Crystal AirportHennepin, MN
06:44 UTCTSTM WND DMGRichfieldHennepin, MNTWELVE INCH DIAMETER TREE FELLED.
06:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGWaconiaCarver, MNCAR SMASHED BY LARGE TREE. HALF OF CITY OUT OF POWER. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
07:00 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.821 E St MichaelWright, MNOCCURRED IN ABOUT 90 MINUTES.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 18, 2015

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 181:52 AM CDTEF1Dunn, WI5.350$10,000
July 182:02 AM CDTEF0Wabasha, MN0.025$15,000
July 182:19 PM CDTEF0McHenry, IL0.150
July 182:38 PM CDTEF0McHenry, IL0.150
July 182:40 PM CDTEF1Rock, WI4.950$180,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.