Tornadoes · United States · Michigan · 2017

EF1 tornado, Saint Joseph County, Michigan, February 28, 2017

This EF1 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Saint Joseph County on February 28, 2017, touching down at 9:38 PM EST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 28, 2017
Touchdown
9:38 PM EST (02:38 UTC)
Lifted
9:40 PM EST (02:40 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
2.0 miles (3.3 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Saint Joseph County
Touchdown point
41.918, -85.491
Lift-off point
41.928, -85.454
Record number
1702282038-01

The damage survey

12 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS IWX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 81 mph.

  • Large diameter, rotten branch broke off.
  • Shallow rooted tree or bush with leaves uprooted.
  • Southwest corner of barn lost several panels. Some loss on NW side as well visible from picture. Some splattering below opening.
  • Loss of roof panels on structure to NW of barn (only corner of structure seen).

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 00:38 UTC and running to 07:43 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:38 UTC07:43 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchIWX
01:52 UTC02:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWX
02:40 UTC03:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWX
02:59 UTC03:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWX
03:17 UTC09:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningIWX
06:30 UTC07:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWX
06:35 UTC07:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 00:00Z

2.6 hours before the tornado, 190 km from the path. March 1, 2017.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2017-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 8 joules per kilogram, CIN -323, lifted condensation level 464 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2017-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 384 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 60 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-323 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
464 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
383 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 12:00Z

9.4 hours after it, 190 km from the path. March 1, 2017.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2017-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -91184, lifted condensation level 936 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2017-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 116 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 81 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-91184 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
936 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Three Rivers (HAI), 11 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:55 UTC54.554.3190° 9 kt1004.1
01:15 UTC55.455200° 11 kt151003.7
01:35 UTC5655.4190° 10 kt1002.7-RA
01:55 UTC56.756.3210° 12 kt211002.7RA
02:15 UTC57.256.3180° 12 kt161001.7-RA
02:35 UTC5857270° 18 kt231003.4+RA
02:55 UTC56.353.4260° 12 kt241002.7RA
03:15 UTC5552.7270° 10 kt181002.4+RA
03:35 UTC54.552.3250° 5 kt1002RA
03:55 UTC5452.7250° 5 kt1001.4RA
04:15 UTC5452.7220° 5 kt1001RA
04:35 UTC53.853200° 5 kt1001.4+RA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 65 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:37 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:58 UTCTORNADO3 N PokagonCass, MIEF-1 TORNADO CONFIRMED.TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN FIELD SOUTHWEST OF DOWAGIAC AND TRACKED ACROSS SOUTH SIDE OF TOWN. TWO MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE, AND ADDITIONAL MINOR DAMAGE TO A HOUSE. ESTI
02:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGDowagiacCass, MIA FEW POWER POLES DOWNED ON M51.
02:05 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Wnw Paradise LakeCass, MISEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWNED ALONG CALVIN CENTER RD AND BROWNSVILLE ST.
02:12 UTCTORNADO2 Se Diamond LakeCass, MIEF-1 TORNADO CONFIRMED. TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE ST WEST OF CALVIN CENTER RD IN A WOODED AREA AND THEN TRAVELED NORTHEAST. SOME MINOR DAMAGE OCCURRED TO A CHURCH. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND STRUCTURAL DAM
02:18 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 E Shavehead LakeCass, MILARGE TREE DOWNED ACROSS ROAD.
02:25 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N NottawaSt. Joseph, MITREE DOWNED ON POWER LINE.
02:38 UTCTORNADO2 E CentrevilleSt. Joseph, MIEF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN A FIELD SOUTHWEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF M-86 AND RAMBADT RD AND TRACKED RAPIDLY NORTHEAST, CAUSING DAMAGE TO SEVERAL TREES, AS WELL AS ROOF DAMAGE TO 2 FARM BUILDINGS AND A HOME. THE TORNADO LIF
02:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S ColonSt. Joseph, MIREPORT OF TREE DOWNED ON POWER LINE.
02:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S ColonSt. Joseph, MITWO TREES DAMAGED AT MANOR RD AND PALMER ST INTERSECTION. 1 TREE WAS SNAPPED ABOUT HALFWAY UP, THE OTHER BROKEN AT THE BASE. TREES APPEARED HEALTHY AND WERE ABOUT 1-2 FT IN DIAMETER. SOUTH OF THAT INTERSECTION, SOME POWE
02:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se ColonSt. Joseph, MITREE DOWN ON CAR, TREE WAS ABOUT 1-2 FT IN DIAMETER AND APPEARED HEALTHY. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
03:14 UTCTSTM WND GST 41MarshallCalhoun, MIAWOS STATION MARSHALL BROOKS FIELD /RMY/.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2017 tornado in MichiganEvery tornado in Michigan since 1950Warnings in force in Michigan nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 28, 2017

29 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 283:53 PM CSTEF0Clinton, IA0.025
February 284:12 PM CSTEF1Stark, IL5.5100$100,000
February 284:27 PM CSTEF0LaSalle, IL1.850
February 284:41 PM CSTEF3LaSalle, IL11.5800214
February 284:44 PM CSTEF1Whiteside, IL2.675
February 284:58 PM CSTEF1LaSalle, IL2.8200
February 285:04 PM CSTEF0Grundy, IL1.2200
February 285:07 PM CSTEF1Ogle, IL1.550
February 285:10 PM CSTEF0Peoria, IL0.125
February 285:15 PM CSTEF0Peoria, IL0.9100$75,000
February 285:26 PM CSTEF3Marshall, IL17.8600$2.0 million
February 285:52 PM CSTEF2Livingston, IL5.675
February 286:40 PM CSTEF1Reynolds, MO4.480
February 287:03 PM CSTEF1White, AR1.41204$50,000
February 287:07 PM CSTEF2White, AR1.12501$70,000
February 287:16 PM CSTEF0Madison, MO4.450
February 287:51 PM CSTEF4Perryville tornado, Missouri and Illinois53.51,100112$15 million
February 288:54 PM ESTEF1Berrien, MI0.6100
February 288:58 PM ESTEF1Cass, MI5.0100
February 289:12 PM ESTEF1Cass, MI2.7150
February 289:33 PM CSTEF1Brown, IL0.7501
February 289:43 PM CSTEF1Bureau, IL2.350
February 289:55 PM CSTEF3White, IL to IN44.144012$5.7 million
February 2810:35 PM CSTEF0Calloway, KY8.830$70,000
February 2810:37 PM CSTEF0Crawford, KS0.175$50,000
February 2810:43 PM CSTEF0Crawford, KS0.175$10,000
February 2810:44 PM CSTEF1Williamson, IL7.425$6,000
February 2812:03 AM ESTEF2Dubois, IN5.8150$350,000
February 2811:28 PM CSTEF1Trigg, KY8.6400$300,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.