Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2012
EF2 tornado, Mize to Gordon Ford, Kentucky, February 29, 2012
From Mize to Gordon Ford, this EF2 tornado ran 6.3 miles across Morgan County on February 29, 2012, touching down at 1:42 PM EST and reaching 400 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF2
- Date
- February 29, 2012
- Touchdown
- 1:42 PM EST (18:42 UTC)
- Lifted
- 1:50 PM EST (18:50 UTC)
- On the ground
- 8 minutes
- Path length
- 6.3 miles (10.2 km)
- Path width
- 400 yards (366 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $100,000
- County
- Morgan County
- Touchdown point
- 37.874, -83.371
- Lift-off point
- 37.876, -83.256
- Record number
- 1202291242-01
What the Weather Service recorded
A strong cold front sparked widespread strong to severe thunderstorms as it moved across the Ohio and Tennessee valley regions during the afternoon and early evening hours of February 29th. The bulk of the severe weather events on this day were large hail and damaging winds. Isolated flooding and two tornadoes also occurred. An EF-2 tornado was confirmed in Morgan county while an EF-1 moved through portions of western Pulaski county.
A storm damage team from the National Weather Service office in Jackson, Kentucky confirmed that an EF-2 tornado touched down in Morgan county on February 29, 2012. The tornado touched down about 6 miles southwest of West Liberty near the town of Grassy Creek. The tornado track was not continuous, but instead made several touchdowns and liftoffs before dissipating near the community of Malone. Winds were estimated at around 120 mph. Several structures were damaged along the path of the tornado, with the most extreme damage occurring to a residential structure in the Malone area.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
24 minutes of warning. NWS JKL issued a tornado warning for this county at 18:18 UTC, 24 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 18:45 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 17:34 UTC and running to 02:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Flash Flood Watch | JKL |
| 17:34 UTC | 02:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | JKL |
| 17:49 UTC | 00:00 UTC | Flood Advisory | JKL |
| 18:18 UTC | 18:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | JKL |
| 18:40 UTC | 19:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | JKL |
| 18:46 UTC | 00:00 UTC | Flood Advisory | JKL |
| 18:59 UTC | 19:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | JKL |
| 19:13 UTC | 19:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL |
| 19:33 UTC | 20:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL |
| 19:38 UTC | 20:10 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 17:35 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 12:00Z
6.7 hours before the tornado, 178 km from the path. February 29, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -228 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 454 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 65 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 791 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 857 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.5
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.5 K/km
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 00:00Z
5.3 hours after it, 178 km from the path. March 1, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 53 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -8 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 174 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1518 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 104 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 133 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 190 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.8
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.9 K/km
The surface observations
Jackson/J. Carroll (JKL), 32 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:53 UTC | 68 | 56 | 5 kt | 1012.2 | ||
| 17:53 UTC | 69 | 56 | 6 kt | 19 | 1010.5 | |
| 18:53 UTC | 63 | 58 | 190° 10 kt | 19 | 1008.8 | VCTS RA |
| 19:02 UTC | 62.6 | 59 | 190° 8 kt | 19 | 1009.1 | TSRA BR |
| 19:09 UTC | 60.8 | 59 | 3 kt | 1008.8 | +TSRA FG | |
| 19:15 UTC | 60.8 | 59 | 200° 8 kt | 16 | 1008.5 | TSRA BR |
| 19:20 UTC | 62.6 | 59 | 180° 8 kt | 16 | 1008.5 | TSRA BR |
| 19:40 UTC | 60.8 | 59 | 290° 17 kt | 27 | 1010.2 | +TSRA BR |
| 19:46 UTC | 57.2 | 55.4 | 260° 10 kt | 27 | 1009.8 | +TSRA BR |
| 19:53 UTC | 56 | 55 | 220° 7 kt | 27 | 1009.1 | +TSRA FG |
| 19:59 UTC | 55.4 | 55.4 | 220° 7 kt | 15 | 1009.5 | +TSRA BR |
| 20:08 UTC | 55.4 | 55.4 | 6 kt | 1009.1 | TSRA BR | |
| 20:23 UTC | 55.4 | 55.4 | 220° 7 kt | 17 | 1008.1 | TSRA BR |
| 20:31 UTC | 55.4 | 55.4 | 220° 8 kt | 1007.8 | -TSRA BR | |
| 20:35 UTC | 55.4 | 55.4 | 220° 8 kt | 1007.8 | -TSRA BR |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 32 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 18:41 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:05 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Clay City | Powell, KY | LARGE LIMBS DOWN ON SNOW CREEK. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 18:05 UTC | HAIL 1 | Clay City | Powell, KY | TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 18:09 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | Clay City | Powell, KY | |
| 18:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Stanton | Powell, KY | LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN ON MILL KNOB. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 18:15 UTC | HAIL 1 | Stanton | Powell, KY | TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 18:22 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Frenchburg | Menifee, KY | |
| 18:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Korea | Menifee, KY | TREES DOWN ONTO HWY 1693. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 18:36 UTC | HAIL 0.5 | Pomeroyton | Menifee, KY | |
| 18:42 UTC | TORNADO | 1 N Grassy Creek | Morgan, KY | AN EF2 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN AT 142 PM EST 1 MILE NORTH OF GRASSY CREEK AND MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST TO MALONE. THE PATH LENGTH WAS 5 MILES. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 MPH. |
| 18:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Ezel | Morgan, KY | LARGE LIMBS DOWN IN YARD. LIMBS DAMAGED GUTTERING ON HOME. DAMAGED OCCURRED ON TABERNACLE RD. |
| 18:45 UTC | HAIL 1.25 | Ezel | Morgan, KY | OCCURRED ON TABERNACLE ROAD. LARGE LIMBS DOWN. LIMBS DAMAGED GUTTERING ON HOME. |
| 18:45 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | 3 Wnw West Liberty | Morgan, KY | |
| 18:47 UTC | HAIL 2 | West Liberty | Morgan, KY | |
| 18:48 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Martha | Lawrence, KY | |
| 18:50 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Malone | Morgan, KY | ON HWY 191, TREES ARE DOWN, ROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE, CHURCH COMPLETELY DEMOLISHED. DEBRIS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE ROAD |
| 18:52 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | Crockett | Morgan, KY | |
| 18:57 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | West Liberty | Morgan, KY | TREES DOWN AND STRUCTURES DAMAGED ON 191 AND 460 WEST JUST OUTSIDE OF WEST LIBERTY. |
| 19:15 UTC | HAIL 1 | 6 Nw Paintsville | Johnson, KY | |
| 19:18 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | Beattyville | Lee, KY | |
| 19:18 UTC | HAIL 1 | Relief | Morgan, KY | |
| 19:19 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 W Hazel Green | Wolfe, KY | TREE DOWN ACROSS HWY 1010. EMPLOYEE ESTIMATED DIAMETER BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 FEET. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 19:27 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | Charley | Lawrence, KY | |
| 19:35 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Louisa | Lawrence, KY | |
| 19:35 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 2 Ese Gallup | Lawrence, KY | |
| 19:42 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Jackson | Breathitt, KY | ROOF PARTIALLY BLOWN OFF HOME. PORCH DAMAGED. OCCURRED ON ROBINSON BRANCH ROAD. |
| 19:42 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Redbush | Johnson, KY | TREE DOWN ON UDEL BRANCH ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 19:48 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Camp Lewis | Breathitt, KY | LARGE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN. TIME OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 19:56 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Stambaugh | Johnson, KY | TREE DOWN ON MORNING BRANCH ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 20:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Waldo | Magoffin, KY | TREE BLOWN OVER ONTO A BRIDGE ON HIGHWAY 1502 JUST SOUTH OF WALDO. SOME DAMAGE OCCURRED TO BRIDGE. TIME BASED ON RADAR. |
| 20:03 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Wsw Prestonsburg | Floyd, KY | LARGE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN. TIME OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of February 29, 2012
31 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 29 | 12:18 AM CST | EF1 | Laclede, MO | 11.0 | 150 | 5 | $750,000 | |
| February 29 | 12:22 AM CST | EF1 | Laclede, MO | 0.3 | 75 | $500,000 | ||
| February 29 | 12:42 AM CST | EF2 | Barry, MO | 1.7 | 400 | 1 | 4 | $575,000 |
| February 29 | 1:06 AM CST | EF1 | Phelps, MO | 18.0 | 75 | |||
| February 29 | 1:13 AM CST | EF2 | Stone, MO | 24.3 | 400 | 47 | $21 million | |
| February 29 | 2:55 AM CST | EF2 | Madison, MO | 31.9 | 800 | 1 | $100,000 | |
| February 29 | 3:34 AM CST | EF2 | Bollinger, MO | 7.7 | 120 | $170,000 | ||
| February 29 | 3:47 AM CST | EF2 | Cape Girardeau, MO to IL | 31.9 | 300 | 1 | $350,000 | |
| February 29 | 4:00 AM CST | EF3 | Stoddard, MO | 20.0 | 700 | 1 | $150,000 | |
| February 29 | 4:24 AM CST | EF1 | Scott, MO | 15.7 | 75 | $250,000 | ||
| February 29 | 4:26 AM CST | EF2 | Williamson, IL | 14.9 | 300 | $100,000 | ||
| February 29 | 4:51 AM CST | EF4 | Harrisburg–Ridgway tornado, IL | 26.1 | 325 | 8 | 108 | $3.0 million |
| February 29 | 5:00 AM CST | EF2 | Pulaski, IL to KY | 22.7 | 150 | 5 | $250,000 | |
| February 29 | 5:35 AM CST | EF2 | Massac, IL | 2.4 | 150 | $50,000 | ||
| February 29 | 5:57 AM CST | EF1 | Henderson, KY | 1.3 | 150 | 2 | $80,000 | |
| February 29 | 6:03 AM CST | EF1 | Warrick, IN | 2.4 | 150 | $250,000 | ||
| February 29 | 6:40 AM CST | EF0 | Hopkins, KY | 0.5 | 30 | $10,000 | ||
| February 29 | 8:45 AM CST | EF1 | Muhlenberg, KY | 0.1 | 30 | $30,000 | ||
| February 29 | 8:45 AM CST | EF2 | Muhlenberg, KY | 5.5 | 200 | 1 | $100,000 | |
| February 29 | 9:55 AM EST | EF2 | Hardin, KY | 5.0 | 250 | $200,000 | ||
| February 29 | 9:42 AM CST | EF2 | Grayson, KY | 2.0 | 200 | 1 | $50,000 | |
| February 29 | 11:05 AM EST | EF2 | Larue, KY | 2.5 | 200 | $200,000 | ||
| February 29 | 11:12 AM EST | EF2 | Larue, KY | 0.9 | 100 | $20,000 | ||
| February 29 | 12:47 PM CST | EF1 | Metcalfe, KY | 1.0 | 150 | $10,000 | ||
| February 29 | 1:22 PM CST | EF2 | Russell, KY | 7.2 | 150 | $210,000 | ||
| February 29 | 2:53 PM EST | EF1 | Pulaski, KY | 1.5 | 60 | $50,000 | ||
| February 29 | 3:46 PM CST | EF1 | DeKalb, TN | 14.8 | 300 | 1 | $700,000 | |
| February 29 | 4:02 PM CST | EF0 | White, TN | 2.2 | 50 | $10,000 | ||
| February 29 | 4:30 PM CST | EF2 | Cumberland, TN | 11.1 | 1,000 | 2 | 7 | $1.0 million |
| February 29 | 7:30 PM EST | EF0 | Blount, TN | 0.8 | 100 | $25,000 | ||
| February 29 | 12:32 AM EST | EF0 | Washington, VA | 0.6 | 70 | $50,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.