Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2012
EF2 tornado, Wolf Creek to Saraville, Illinois, February 29, 2012
From Wolf Creek to Saraville, this EF2 tornado ran 14.9 miles across Williamson County on February 29, 2012, touching down at 4:26 AM CST and reaching 300 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF2
- Date
- February 29, 2012
- Touchdown
- 4:26 AM CST (10:26 UTC)
- Lifted
- 4:40 AM CST (10:40 UTC)
- On the ground
- 14 minutes
- Path length
- 14.9 miles (24.0 km)
- Path width
- 300 yards (274 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $100,000
- County
- Williamson County
- Touchdown point
- 37.630, -89.050
- Lift-off point
- 37.672, -88.783
- Record number
- 1202290426-01
The damage survey
17 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF4. The highest wind the damage implies is 180 mph.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A squall line with embedded sustained supercells crossed southern Illinois. The embedded supercells raced east-northeast at 60 to 70 mph, while the line moved southeast at a slower rate. The storms strengthened as they encountered richer low-level moisture, with surface dew points around 60 degrees spreading rapidly north-northeastward up the Mississippi Valley. Intense low to mid-level wind fields maintained the intensity of tornadic storms despite weak instability due to lack of solar heating. A south-southwesterly low level jet from 60 to 70 knots veered to west-southwest around 75 knots at 500 mb.
The tornado was spawned by the same supercell that produced an EF-2 tornado in Union and extreme southeast Jackson Counties. The tornado touched down in the Crab Orchard National Wildlife Refuge, just southeast of Little Grassy Lake. The tornado moved east-northeast across Interstate 57, passing south of Marion. A large metal warehouse building was heavily damaged. Numerous homes sustained mainly minor roof damage. Hundreds of trees were snapped or uprooted, and many power lines were blown down. Several barns and outbuildings were destroyed or heavily damaged. The peak EF-2 intensity estimate was based on damage southeast of Marion, near the location where the tornado crossed Highway 166. Peak winds were estimated near 120 mph. The average path width was 250 yards.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
18 minutes of warning. NWS PAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 10:08 UTC, 18 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 10:30 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 07:15 UTC and running to 12:15 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07:15 UTC | 12:15 UTC | Tornado Watch | PAH |
| 10:08 UTC | 10:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | PAH |
| 10:25 UTC | 11:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | PAH |
| 10:43 UTC | 10:55 UTC | Tornado Warning | PAH |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:51 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z
10.4 hours before the tornado, 267 km from the path. February 29, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -73247 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1873 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 171 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 309 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.7 K/km
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z
1.6 hours after it, 267 km from the path. February 29, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 580 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -25 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 456 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 510 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 365 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 485 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.9
- Supercell composite
- 8.5
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.5 K/km
The surface observations
Marion Regional (MWA), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:35 UTC | 68 | 62.6 | 180° 18 kt | 24 | 1007.1 | |
| 08:55 UTC | 68 | 62.6 | 190° 19 kt | 26 | 1007.1 | |
| 09:15 UTC | 68 | 62.6 | 190° 15 kt | 20 | 1007.8 | |
| 09:35 UTC | 68 | 62.6 | 180° 17 kt | 25 | 1007.5 | |
| 09:55 UTC | 68 | 62.6 | 180° 18 kt | 29 | 1007.1 | VCTS |
| 10:15 UTC | 68 | 62.6 | 200° 12 kt | 19 | 1007.1 | TSRA |
| 10:35 UTC | 66.2 | 62.6 | 270° 7 kt | 19 | 1008.5 | +TSRA |
| 10:55 UTC | 62.6 | 60.8 | 220° 10 kt | 17 | 1007.1 | RA |
| 11:15 UTC | 62.6 | 59 | 200° 8 kt | 1007.8 | ||
| 11:35 UTC | 62.6 | 57.2 | 190° 9 kt | 1007.5 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 66 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 10:24 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:22 UTC | HAIL 1 | 4 S Carbondale | Jackson, IL | QUARTER SIZE HAIL. POWER OUTAGES REPORTED IN THE AREA. |
| 10:30 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Marion | Williamson, IL | MARKET STREET HAS SOLID GARAGE DESTORYED. TREES DOWN. DAMAGE IS IN A PATH ALONG THE STREET. LATE REPORT. |
| 10:36 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Marion | Williamson, IL | WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES REPORTED. |
| 10:40 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 6 S Marion | Williamson, IL | DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED SOUTH OF MARION ILLINOIS. |
| 10:43 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Marion | Williamson, IL | POSSIBLE TORNADO. POWER FLASHES SOUTH OF MARION ILLINOIS APPEARS TO BE ELECTRICAL TRANSFORMERS BLOWING UP. |
| 10:56 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 W Harrisburg | Saline, IL | ELECTRICAL TRANSFORMERS FLASHING WEST OF HARRISBURG. POSSIBLE TORNADO. |
| 10:56 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Sw Harrisburg | Saline, IL | CONFIRMED TORNADO BY TRAINED SPOTTER. APPROACHING THE SOUTH SIDE OF HARRISBURG. |
| 11:00 UTC | TORNADO | Mounds | Pulaski, IL | THE EF2 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST SW OF MOUNDS ILLINOIS AND MOVED ENE THROUGH MOUNDS AND CROSSED I-57 NEAR EXIT 8. THE TORNADO CROSSED THE OHIO RIVER NEAR THE TOWN OF AMERICA. IT MOVED ACROSS N. BALLARD AND MCCRACKEN COU |
| 11:03 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Mounds | Pulaski, IL | POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE NORTH AND WEST OF MOUNDS AND NEAR EXIT 8 ALONG INTERSTATE 57. SPOTTER HAD A CROSS ARM RIPPED OFF A RAILROAD SIGN AND MISSLED THROUGH HIS VEHCILE. |
| 11:06 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Ridgway | Gallatin, IL | WIDESPREAD TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. NUMEROUS HOMES AND ONE CHURCH DAMAGED. LATE REPORT. |
| 11:18 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Harrisburg | Saline, IL | HIGHWAY 45 IS CLOSED SOUTH OF THE COMMUNITY. |
| 11:25 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | Round Knob | Massac, IL | 60 PLUS MPH WINDS REPORTED AND DIME SIZE HAIL |
| 11:35 UTC | TORNADO | Metropolis | Massac, IL | OFFICE OF EM REPORTING TORNADO NEAR METROPOLIS ILLINOIS. SEEING POWER FLASHES FROM TRANSFORMERS ALSO. |
| 11:37 UTC | TORNADO | Harrisburg | Saline, IL | SOUTHEAST PORTION OF TOWN EXPERIENCED MAJOR DAMAGE. POSSIBLE ONE DEATH BUT NO COMFIRMED. SEARCH AND RESCUE IN PROCESS AT THIS TIME. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of February 29, 2012
31 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 29 | 12:18 AM CST | EF1 | Laclede, MO | 11.0 | 150 | 5 | $750,000 | |
| February 29 | 12:22 AM CST | EF1 | Laclede, MO | 0.3 | 75 | $500,000 | ||
| February 29 | 12:42 AM CST | EF2 | Barry, MO | 1.7 | 400 | 1 | 4 | $575,000 |
| February 29 | 1:06 AM CST | EF1 | Phelps, MO | 18.0 | 75 | |||
| February 29 | 1:13 AM CST | EF2 | Stone, MO | 24.3 | 400 | 47 | $21 million | |
| February 29 | 2:55 AM CST | EF2 | Madison, MO | 31.9 | 800 | 1 | $100,000 | |
| February 29 | 3:34 AM CST | EF2 | Bollinger, MO | 7.7 | 120 | $170,000 | ||
| February 29 | 3:47 AM CST | EF2 | Cape Girardeau, MO to IL | 31.9 | 300 | 1 | $350,000 | |
| February 29 | 4:00 AM CST | EF3 | Stoddard, MO | 20.0 | 700 | 1 | $150,000 | |
| February 29 | 4:24 AM CST | EF1 | Scott, MO | 15.7 | 75 | $250,000 | ||
| February 29 | 4:51 AM CST | EF4 | Harrisburg–Ridgway tornado, IL | 26.1 | 325 | 8 | 108 | $3.0 million |
| February 29 | 5:00 AM CST | EF2 | Pulaski, IL to KY | 22.7 | 150 | 5 | $250,000 | |
| February 29 | 5:35 AM CST | EF2 | Massac, IL | 2.4 | 150 | $50,000 | ||
| February 29 | 5:57 AM CST | EF1 | Henderson, KY | 1.3 | 150 | 2 | $80,000 | |
| February 29 | 6:03 AM CST | EF1 | Warrick, IN | 2.4 | 150 | $250,000 | ||
| February 29 | 6:40 AM CST | EF0 | Hopkins, KY | 0.5 | 30 | $10,000 | ||
| February 29 | 8:45 AM CST | EF1 | Muhlenberg, KY | 0.1 | 30 | $30,000 | ||
| February 29 | 8:45 AM CST | EF2 | Muhlenberg, KY | 5.5 | 200 | 1 | $100,000 | |
| February 29 | 9:55 AM EST | EF2 | Hardin, KY | 5.0 | 250 | $200,000 | ||
| February 29 | 9:42 AM CST | EF2 | Grayson, KY | 2.0 | 200 | 1 | $50,000 | |
| February 29 | 11:05 AM EST | EF2 | Larue, KY | 2.5 | 200 | $200,000 | ||
| February 29 | 11:12 AM EST | EF2 | Larue, KY | 0.9 | 100 | $20,000 | ||
| February 29 | 1:42 PM EST | EF2 | Morgan, KY | 6.3 | 400 | $100,000 | ||
| February 29 | 12:47 PM CST | EF1 | Metcalfe, KY | 1.0 | 150 | $10,000 | ||
| February 29 | 1:22 PM CST | EF2 | Russell, KY | 7.2 | 150 | $210,000 | ||
| February 29 | 2:53 PM EST | EF1 | Pulaski, KY | 1.5 | 60 | $50,000 | ||
| February 29 | 3:46 PM CST | EF1 | DeKalb, TN | 14.8 | 300 | 1 | $700,000 | |
| February 29 | 4:02 PM CST | EF0 | White, TN | 2.2 | 50 | $10,000 | ||
| February 29 | 4:30 PM CST | EF2 | Cumberland, TN | 11.1 | 1,000 | 2 | 7 | $1.0 million |
| February 29 | 7:30 PM EST | EF0 | Blount, TN | 0.8 | 100 | $25,000 | ||
| February 29 | 12:32 AM EST | EF0 | Washington, VA | 0.6 | 70 | $50,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.