Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2012

EF2 tornado, Wolf Creek to Saraville, Illinois, February 29, 2012

From Wolf Creek to Saraville, this EF2 tornado ran 14.9 miles across Williamson County on February 29, 2012, touching down at 4:26 AM CST and reaching 300 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
February 29, 2012
Touchdown
4:26 AM CST (10:26 UTC)
Lifted
4:40 AM CST (10:40 UTC)
On the ground
14 minutes
Path length
14.9 miles (24.0 km)
Path width
300 yards (274 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$100,000
County
Williamson County
Touchdown point
37.630, -89.050
Lift-off point
37.672, -88.783
Record number
1202290426-01

The damage survey

17 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF4. The highest wind the damage implies is 180 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A squall line with embedded sustained supercells crossed southern Illinois. The embedded supercells raced east-northeast at 60 to 70 mph, while the line moved southeast at a slower rate. The storms strengthened as they encountered richer low-level moisture, with surface dew points around 60 degrees spreading rapidly north-northeastward up the Mississippi Valley. Intense low to mid-level wind fields maintained the intensity of tornadic storms despite weak instability due to lack of solar heating. A south-southwesterly low level jet from 60 to 70 knots veered to west-southwest around 75 knots at 500 mb.

The tornado was spawned by the same supercell that produced an EF-2 tornado in Union and extreme southeast Jackson Counties. The tornado touched down in the Crab Orchard National Wildlife Refuge, just southeast of Little Grassy Lake. The tornado moved east-northeast across Interstate 57, passing south of Marion. A large metal warehouse building was heavily damaged. Numerous homes sustained mainly minor roof damage. Hundreds of trees were snapped or uprooted, and many power lines were blown down. Several barns and outbuildings were destroyed or heavily damaged. The peak EF-2 intensity estimate was based on damage southeast of Marion, near the location where the tornado crossed Highway 166. Peak winds were estimated near 120 mph. The average path width was 250 yards.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

18 minutes of warning. NWS PAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 10:08 UTC, 18 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 10:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 07:15 UTC and running to 12:15 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
07:15 UTC12:15 UTCTornado WatchPAH
10:08 UTC10:30 UTCTornado WarningPAH
10:25 UTC11:00 UTCTornado WarningPAH
10:43 UTC10:55 UTCTornado WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:51 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

10.4 hours before the tornado, 267 km from the path. February 29, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-02-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -73247, lifted condensation level 1873 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-02-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 49 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73247 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1873 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
309 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

1.6 hours after it, 267 km from the path. February 29, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-02-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 580 joules per kilogram, CIN -25, lifted condensation level 510 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-02-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 365 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 61 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
580 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Surface CAPE
456 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
510 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
365 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
485 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
8.5
0-3 km lapse rate
5.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Marion Regional (MWA), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
08:35 UTC6862.6180° 18 kt241007.1
08:55 UTC6862.6190° 19 kt261007.1
09:15 UTC6862.6190° 15 kt201007.8
09:35 UTC6862.6180° 17 kt251007.5
09:55 UTC6862.6180° 18 kt291007.1VCTS
10:15 UTC6862.6200° 12 kt191007.1TSRA
10:35 UTC66.262.6270° 7 kt191008.5+TSRA
10:55 UTC62.660.8220° 10 kt171007.1RA
11:15 UTC62.659200° 8 kt1007.8
11:35 UTC62.657.2190° 9 kt1007.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 66 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 10:24 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
10:22 UTCHAIL 14 S CarbondaleJackson, ILQUARTER SIZE HAIL. POWER OUTAGES REPORTED IN THE AREA.
10:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGMarionWilliamson, ILMARKET STREET HAS SOLID GARAGE DESTORYED. TREES DOWN. DAMAGE IS IN A PATH ALONG THE STREET. LATE REPORT.
10:36 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S MarionWilliamson, ILWIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES REPORTED.
10:40 UTCHAIL 0.756 S MarionWilliamson, ILDIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED SOUTH OF MARION ILLINOIS.
10:43 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S MarionWilliamson, ILPOSSIBLE TORNADO. POWER FLASHES SOUTH OF MARION ILLINOIS APPEARS TO BE ELECTRICAL TRANSFORMERS BLOWING UP.
10:56 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 W HarrisburgSaline, ILELECTRICAL TRANSFORMERS FLASHING WEST OF HARRISBURG. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
10:56 UTCTORNADO2 Sw HarrisburgSaline, ILCONFIRMED TORNADO BY TRAINED SPOTTER. APPROACHING THE SOUTH SIDE OF HARRISBURG.
11:00 UTCTORNADOMoundsPulaski, ILTHE EF2 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST SW OF MOUNDS ILLINOIS AND MOVED ENE THROUGH MOUNDS AND CROSSED I-57 NEAR EXIT 8. THE TORNADO CROSSED THE OHIO RIVER NEAR THE TOWN OF AMERICA. IT MOVED ACROSS N. BALLARD AND MCCRACKEN COU
11:03 UTCTSTM WND DMGMoundsPulaski, ILPOSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE NORTH AND WEST OF MOUNDS AND NEAR EXIT 8 ALONG INTERSTATE 57. SPOTTER HAD A CROSS ARM RIPPED OFF A RAILROAD SIGN AND MISSLED THROUGH HIS VEHCILE.
11:06 UTCTSTM WND DMGRidgwayGallatin, ILWIDESPREAD TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. NUMEROUS HOMES AND ONE CHURCH DAMAGED. LATE REPORT.
11:18 UTCTSTM WND DMGHarrisburgSaline, ILHIGHWAY 45 IS CLOSED SOUTH OF THE COMMUNITY.
11:25 UTCTSTM WND GST 60Round KnobMassac, IL60 PLUS MPH WINDS REPORTED AND DIME SIZE HAIL
11:35 UTCTORNADOMetropolisMassac, ILOFFICE OF EM REPORTING TORNADO NEAR METROPOLIS ILLINOIS. SEEING POWER FLASHES FROM TRANSFORMERS ALSO.
11:37 UTCTORNADOHarrisburgSaline, ILSOUTHEAST PORTION OF TOWN EXPERIENCED MAJOR DAMAGE. POSSIBLE ONE DEATH BUT NO COMFIRMED. SEARCH AND RESCUE IN PROCESS AT THIS TIME.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 29, 2012

31 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 2912:18 AM CSTEF1Laclede, MO11.01505$750,000
February 2912:22 AM CSTEF1Laclede, MO0.375$500,000
February 2912:42 AM CSTEF2Barry, MO1.740014$575,000
February 291:06 AM CSTEF1Phelps, MO18.075
February 291:13 AM CSTEF2Stone, MO24.340047$21 million
February 292:55 AM CSTEF2Madison, MO31.98001$100,000
February 293:34 AM CSTEF2Bollinger, MO7.7120$170,000
February 293:47 AM CSTEF2Cape Girardeau, MO to IL31.93001$350,000
February 294:00 AM CSTEF3Stoddard, MO20.07001$150,000
February 294:24 AM CSTEF1Scott, MO15.775$250,000
February 294:51 AM CSTEF4Harrisburg–Ridgway tornado, IL26.13258108$3.0 million
February 295:00 AM CSTEF2Pulaski, IL to KY22.71505$250,000
February 295:35 AM CSTEF2Massac, IL2.4150$50,000
February 295:57 AM CSTEF1Henderson, KY1.31502$80,000
February 296:03 AM CSTEF1Warrick, IN2.4150$250,000
February 296:40 AM CSTEF0Hopkins, KY0.530$10,000
February 298:45 AM CSTEF1Muhlenberg, KY0.130$30,000
February 298:45 AM CSTEF2Muhlenberg, KY5.52001$100,000
February 299:55 AM ESTEF2Hardin, KY5.0250$200,000
February 299:42 AM CSTEF2Grayson, KY2.02001$50,000
February 2911:05 AM ESTEF2Larue, KY2.5200$200,000
February 2911:12 AM ESTEF2Larue, KY0.9100$20,000
February 291:42 PM ESTEF2Morgan, KY6.3400$100,000
February 2912:47 PM CSTEF1Metcalfe, KY1.0150$10,000
February 291:22 PM CSTEF2Russell, KY7.2150$210,000
February 292:53 PM ESTEF1Pulaski, KY1.560$50,000
February 293:46 PM CSTEF1DeKalb, TN14.83001$700,000
February 294:02 PM CSTEF0White, TN2.250$10,000
February 294:30 PM CSTEF2Cumberland, TN11.11,00027$1.0 million
February 297:30 PM ESTEF0Blount, TN0.8100$25,000
February 2912:32 AM ESTEF0Washington, VA0.670$50,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.