Tornadoes · United States · Florida · 2002

F1 tornado, Red Level to Inglis, Florida, October 15, 2002

From Red Level to Inglis, this F1 tornado ran 5.0 miles across Citrus and Levy counties on October 15, 2002, touching down at 1:55 PM EDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F1
Date
October 15, 2002
Touchdown
1:55 PM EDT (17:55 UTC)
Path length
5.0 miles (8.0 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
Counties
Citrus and Levy counties
Touchdown point
29.000, -82.730
Lift-off point
29.050, -82.670
Record number
864

What the Weather Service recorded

Low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico traveled along a stationary front into Levy county. One of the stronger storms in the vicinity of the stationary front produced a waterspout that moved inland into extreme northwest Citrus County near the Cross Florida Barge Canal. The tornado then proceeded to cross the the northwest corner of Citrus county and moved into the city of Inglis in Levy county. In Citrus county, the damage began near the corner of West Rooster Crow Road and North Nighthawk. Significant tree damage was found near the Withlacoochee river along North Honey Jorden Point with damage width of 500 to 1,500 feet.In Levy county, minor damage occurred to roof tops of businesses and major damage occurred to some mobile homes due to fallen trees. One small temporary church was destroyed as winds made it into the building, popped the roof, and the exterior walls collapsed. An eye witness 50 feet away reported the building was pulsating before it was destroyed and the rotating funnel curved down then paralleled the storm base. It is believed most of the wind damage was caused by the strong rear flank downdraft. The Inglis Police Chief estimated 60 homes were damaged during the event, mostly when trees or large limbs fell on the roofs.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the tornado touched down, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the tornado touched down at Oct 15, 1:30 PM EDT, 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 1:30 PM EDT, 25 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
130 PM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH SHOWERS AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT MUCH DRIER COOLER
WEATHER IS ON ITS WAY.  THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH WINDS SHIFTING
NORTHWEST AND GRADUAL CLEARING DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT.  SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND FLORIDA ON
WEDNESDAY WITH DRIER COOLER AIR ADVECTING OVER THE FA...AND THIS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY.  AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL VEER NORTHEAST AND EAST WITH
TEMPERATURES MODERATING BACK TO CLIMATIC NORMALS.

THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO GIVE WAY ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER COLD
FRONT APPROACHES NORTH FLORIDA WITH MOISTURE INCREASING ACROSS THE
FA.  THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL REMAIN LOW WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.
A STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND BEGIN TO PUSH THE COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST APPROACHING NORTH
FLORIDA TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  ANOTHER SURGE OF COOL DRY AIR APPEARS TO
BE HEADING TOWARDS FLORIDA FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK ALSO.

MARINE...MARGINAL SCEC CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT AS THE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT.  SCEC CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH WINDS SUBSIDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRELIM NUMBERS:
BKV 68/80/56/78 4100
TPA 72/82/61/79 4100
GIF 71/83/60/80 4100
SRQ 72/82/61/80 4100
FMY 73/85/64/81 5100

.TBW...SCEC TONIGHT BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60NM
       INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.

OGLESBY
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 5:20 AM EDT, 8 hours 35 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-151500-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
520 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GUSTY MARINE WINDS TONIGHT...

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY ACROSS MOST OF THE SUNCOAST...AS WELL AS
INTERIOR COUNTIES.

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN
GULF EARLY THIS MORNING...REACHING THE COAST AROUND OR JUST BEFORE
NOON.  RESIDENTS NEAR THE COAST CAN EXPECT LOCALLY TORRENTIAL
RAIN...OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH
WITH A FEW CELLS.

STRONGER STORMS MAY DEVELOP FARTHER INLAND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS
THE LINE ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR.  A FEW SEVERE STORMS
MAY DEVELOP. STRONGER STORMS WILL CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR
MORE...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.  ANY SEVERE STORMS
THAT FORM WOULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

AS LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES OFF OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
COAST...WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.
GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY.
WHEN SKIES DARKEN...MOVE INDOORS. IF THERE IS TIME...UNPLUG
APPLIANCES AND ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT. WAIT UNTIL THE STORM ENDS
BEFORE USING THE TELEPHONE OR RUNNING WATER.

MARINERS...ESPECIALLY SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS...PLANNING TRIPS INTO
THE EASTERN GULF TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY WISH TO DELAY OR POSTPONE
THEM UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW

BSG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 15, 10:50 AM EDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before
FLZ039-042-048-151700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1050 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO...

AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE NORTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY TO 30 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT
15 MPH.  THE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 40
TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT EXTREME WESTERN
PORTIONS OF LEVY COUNTY BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON...AND THE REMAINDER
OF LEVY COUNTY BETWEEN NOON TO 1 PM.

THE ATMOSPHERE IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.  ADDITIONAL STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO.

RESIDENTS IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR LOCAL TELEVISION STATIONS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION THROUGH THE DAY.

OGLESBY
Special weather statement, Oct 15, 10:50 AM EDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048-049-050-051-052-055-056-057-060-061-062-065-
151700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...COR TO ADD COUNTIES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1050 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO...

AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE NORTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY TO 30 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT
15 MPH.  THE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 40
TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT EXTREME WESTERN
PORTIONS OF LEVY COUNTY BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON...AND THE REMAINDER
OF LEVY COUNTY BETWEEN NOON TO 1 PM.

THE ATMOSPHERE IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.  ADDITIONAL STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO.

RESIDENTS IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR LOCAL TELEVISION STATIONS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION THROUGH THE DAY.

OGLESBY

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 12:00Z

5.9 hours before the tornado, 150 km from the path. October 15, 2002.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2002-10-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1018 joules per kilogram, CIN -21, lifted condensation level 606 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2002-10-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 58 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 31 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1018 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Surface CAPE
667 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
606 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.3
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Ocala (OCF), 49 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:00 UTC

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 150 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 17:55 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2002 tornado in FloridaEvery tornado in Florida since 1950Warnings in force in Florida nowThe forecast where you are

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.