Texas, 2026

Drought in Texas, May 1 to 31, 2026

May 1 to 31, 2026 · NWS FWD · 10 events in 10 counties and zones

Though most of North and Central Texas received decent rainfall during the Spring, a few of the eastern counties received below normal rainfall and remained in severe to extreme drought.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 10 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
10

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

Though most of North and Central Texas received decent rainfall during the Spring, a few of the eastern counties received below normal rainfall and remained in severe to extreme drought.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 6:11 PM CST, 5 hours 49 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Scattered showers and isolated storms will continue to move across portions of Central TX through the night. Lightning and pockets of moderate rain will be the main hazards.
  • Widespread rainfall is expected across all of North and Central Texas on Friday. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be expected, with the higher amounts across Central Texas.
  • A Flood Watch is in effect for our southern counties in Central TX from tonight through Friday evening. Isolated amounts near 4 inches are possible in the Watch area.
  • Dry and seasonably cooler weather is forecast over the weekend into early next week.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 6:11 PM CST, 5 hours 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
711 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and isolated storms will continue to move
  across portions of Central TX through the night. Lightning and
  pockets of moderate rain will be the main hazards.

- Widespread rainfall is expected across all of North and Central
  Texas on Friday. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be
  expected, with the higher amounts across Central Texas.

- A Flood Watch is in effect for our southern counties in Central
  TX from tonight through Friday evening. Isolated amounts near 4
  inches are possible in the Watch area.

- Dry and seasonably cooler weather is forecast over the weekend
  into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of Today through Friday Night)
 Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Scattered showers and isolated storms continue to spread across
Central TX this afternoon, with occasional light rain for areas
north of I-20. The bulk of this activity should shift east and
south this evening as the best area of ascent moves out of our
region. Until then, the main hazard will be occasional lightning
and brief pockets of moderate rain. Outside of the rain, cloudy
and cool weather will persist this afternoon with highs staying in
the 60s.

More widespread coverage of showers and a few storms is still
expected tomorrow as large-scale lift increases with the
approaching, well defined shortwave from Baja. The influence of
low pressure near the TX Coast will also provide plenty of forcing
for rain to develop across the region. As advertised over the
last several days, deep moisture will be in place to support very
efficient rainfall rates. Overall rainfall totals remain fairly
unchanged, averaging between 1-3 inches. However, the potential
for pockets of 4 inches across our southern counties has
increased. Therefore, a Flood Watch is in effect from midnight
tonight through Friday evening. While North Texas is expected to
see lower totals, even 1-2 inches of rain could cause flooding
impacts in areas where soils remain saturated from previous
rainfall.

Most of the activity should shift east and south of our area
Friday night, with clouds clearing from west to east. The other
notable feature for Friday will be the significantly cooler
temperatures, with highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Winds will
remain from the north, becoming breezy in the afternoon.

Sanchez

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

After the rain moves out of the area Friday night, pleasant and
dry weather is expected over the weekend. We will enjoy highs in
the 70s and overnight lows in the 40s/50s. A warming trend will
commence on Monday given the return flow and breezy southerly
winds. Temperatures should return to the 80s by Tuesday or
Wednesday. Low rain chances are forecast on Wednesday as an upper
disturbance moves along the zonal flow aloft. A cold front/dryline
is forecast to approach our region on Wednesday with low rain
chances (20-30%) mainly across our eastern zones. At this time,
we're not expecting widespread showers/storms with this system.

Sanchez

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Areas of light rain across North and Central Texas tonight will
expand in coverage and intensity through daybreak Friday, as an
upper level trough over the Desert Southwest approaches the region
from the west. Most of the precipitation will take the form of
scattered showers this evening, primarily south of D10. As forcing
for ascent increases through the lower and middle atmosphere
overnight, showers will become widespread south of an Eastland to
Palestine line by around 10z, expanding northward into D10 after
13z. Elevated instability will be sufficient to produce some
scattered, embedded thunderstorms within the rain shield after
16z, primarily south of the D10-area TAFs, across Central Texas.

Widespread precipitation should persist at all TAF sites through
21z, after which the upper level forcing should weaken, and
showers and thunderstorm coverage should correspondingly diminish
from west to east across North Texas.

Widespread MVFR ceilings at the DFW TAF sites early this evening
should largely transition to VFR conditions prior to 03z. However,
the arrival of renewed widespread lift and precipitation from the
south after midnight will help bring ceilings back down below 2kft
across D10 by 09z. Kept cigs primarily out of the IFR category
through the 12-18z period, owing to the possibilty of slightly
drier air advecting into the region from the northeast. That
said, the presence of widespread precipitation across D10 during
this period does suggest the potential for widespread IFR
conditions. Not overly confident in this element of the forecast,
and will monitor the need to lower cigs in later forecast
issuances. At Waco, deeper into the region of moisture, lift and
precipitation, the ceiling forecast will be cut and dried:
essentially IFR conditions through at least 22z Friday.

Surface winds will remain fairly consistent at all TAF sites
through Friday afternoon, as the region remains sandwiched between
a high pressure over the Central Plains and low pressure in
Northern Mexico. Northeast winds will continue through the period,
at speeds averaging 8-13 knots.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1239 AM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    56  60  50  74 /  60  80  30   0
Waco                56  58  49  71 /  80  90  30   0
Paris               55  62  48  72 /  20  50  20   0
Denton              54  60  46  73 /  50  70  20   0
McKinney            55  60  48  73 /  40  60  30   0
Dallas              56  60  51  74 /  60  80  30   0
Terrell             55  59  48  72 /  60  80  40   0
Corsicana           57  60  51  74 /  80  90  40   0
Temple              57  60  50  73 /  90 100  30   0
Mineral Wells       53  57  46  73 /  70  80  20   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch from midnight CDT tonight through Friday evening for
TXZ156-158-162-174-175.

&&

SHORT TERM...Sanchez
LONG TERM....Sanchez
AVIATION...Bradshaw

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 30, 7:11 PM CST, 4 hours 49 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
811 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Newark              33.00N 97.51W
04/28/2026                   Wise               TX   Public

            Several trees were blown down near Eagle
            Mountain Lake in Newark.

&&

Shamburger

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

10 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Lamar

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Lamar forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.667, -95.571 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According the the U.S Drought Monitor, severe to extreme drought conditions persisted across the eastern half of Lamar County during May of 2026.

Drought, Delta

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Delta forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.386, -95.672 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According the the U.S Drought Monitor, severe drought conditions persisted across the eastern half of Delta County during May of 2026.

Drought, Hopkins

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hopkins forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.150, -95.564 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According the the U.S Drought Monitor, severe drought conditions persisted across the eastern half of Hopkins County during May of 2026.

Drought, Van Zandt

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Van Zandt forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.564, -95.836 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According the the U.S Drought Monitor, severe drought conditions persisted across the eastern half of Van Zandt County during May of 2026.

Drought, Henderson

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Henderson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.212, -95.854 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According the the U.S Drought Monitor, severe drought conditions persisted across most of Henderson County during May of 2026.

Drought, Anderson

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Anderson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.813, -95.653 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According the the U.S Drought Monitor, severe drought conditions persisted across the northern half of Anderson County during May of 2026.

Drought, Freestone

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 11, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Freestone forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.705, -96.149 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions at the start of May improved to moderate drought by the middle of the month, following beneficial rainfall from spring convection.

Drought, Limestone

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 11, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Limestone forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.546, -96.580 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions at the start of May improved to moderate drought by the middle of the month, following beneficial rainfall from spring convection.

Drought, Robertson

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 11, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Robertson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.027, -96.513 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions at the start of May improved to moderate drought by the middle of the month, following beneficial rainfall from spring convection.

Drought, Leon

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 11, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Leon forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.297, -95.996 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions at the start of May improved to moderate drought by the middle of the month, following beneficial rainfall from spring convection.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1342915, 1342916, 1342917, 1342919, 1342920, 1342922, 1342923, 1342924, 1342925, 1342926.