Texas, 2026

Drought in Texas, May 1 to 31, 2026

May 1 to 31, 2026 · NWS SJT · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Most of west central Texas were not in drought conditions besides the northwest Big Country with moderate to severe drought conditions during the month of May.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.

Most of west central Texas were not in drought conditions besides the northwest Big Country with moderate to severe drought conditions during the month of May.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 11:32 PM CST, 28 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Flash Flood Watch for areas south of a Sterling City to Brownwood line until 7 PM Friday.
  • Numerous showers and some thunderstorms are expected late tonight through the day Friday. Pockets of heavy rainfall could lead to flooding for locations in the Flood Watch.
  • Pleasant temperatures for the weekend with a warming trend through the middle of next week.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 11:32 PM CST, 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1232 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Flash Flood Watch for areas south of a Sterling City to
  Brownwood line until 7 PM Friday.

- Numerous showers and some thunderstorms are expected late
  tonight through the day Friday. Pockets of heavy rainfall could
  lead to flooding for locations in the Flood Watch.

- Pleasant temperatures for the weekend with a warming trend
  through the middle of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 202 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

...Flash flood watch this evening and Friday for the Northern
Edwards Plateau and portions of the Concho Valley and Heartland...

Increasing lift from an approaching upper trough will bring
increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms tonight and
Friday. Storms are expected to develop along the I-10 corridor
this evening with additional storms moving into the Concho Valley
and Heartland toward and after midnight, then eventually into the
Big Country. Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms
expected Friday.

The heaviest rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with possibly amounts of
5 inches expected along the I-10 corridor northward to San
Angelo...Brady and Saba. A flash flood watch has been issued for
this area. Areas farther north across the Big Country will see
general amounts of 0.75 to 1.5 inches. Showers and thunderstorms
should be ending over Crockett county, Concho Valley and N.
Edwards plateau mid to late afternoon, and the Big Country and
eastern sections Friday evening. Lows tonight will be mainly in
the lower to mid 50s, with highs Friday in the upper 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

A relatively pleasant weekend is in store with our weather. May
have some patchy lingering cloud cover over portions of our
southern and southeastern counties Saturday morning, and then
skies will be mostly sunny area wide in the afternoon. After a
cool start to the day, afternoon highs will be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s for most of the area, with a few mid 70s in the
northern and western Big Country. Winds will be light on Saturday
as surface high pressure moves southeast across the area. This
surface high will shift east of our area Saturday night.
Temperatures will be cool again Saturday night with lows mostly
in the mid to upper 40s. Portions of the Big Country should have
lows in the lower 50s, where south winds develop overnight. With
sunny skies on Sunday, highs are expected to range from the lower
70s in southern portions of the area, to the upper 70s in some of
the Big Country. Winds will be from the south at 6-12 mph.

More substantial warming is expected early next week. Our area will
have subtle ridging aloft Monday into Tuesday, out ahead of an upper
level low moving across southern California. Increased/breezy south-
southwest winds are indicated on Monday, with highs ranging from 80-
83 in the southern half of our area, to the mid 80s to around 90 in
the Big Country. Tuesday will have winds veering to the southwest
and west, with a dryline mixing east across our area. Forecast highs
Tuesday are mostly in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Forecast details
become more uncertain beyond Tuesday. The aforementioned upper low
is progged to move from the southwestern CONUS into New Mexico on
Wednesday, while a northern stream trough deepens over the Great
Lakes and Midwest. Associated cold front is progged to move south
across our area. The medium range models differ in what happens with
the upper low over New Mexico, with timing of the cold frontal
passage across our area, and with rain chances in the midweek time
frame. Blend of models has highs in the lower to mid 80s Wednesday,
cooling to the mid 70s to lower 80s Thursday. Any rain chances are
low at this time (15-25 percent).

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Unfavorable flying conditions expected at all TAF sites plus
other airfields in west central Texas. IFR ceilings with rain and
occasional thunderstorms can be expected for much of the area.
While thunderstorms will not be continuous at any one location
through 21Z, they could happen at any time with some breaks in the
rain expected. Gusty winds over 40KT could occur in stronger
thunderstorms but these will be short-lived.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     57  45  73  51 /  90  20   0   0
San Angelo  59  45  71  48 / 100  10   0   0
Junction    61  44  70  45 / 100  10   0   0
Brownwood   57  45  71  47 /  90  30   0   0
Sweetwater  58  47  73  51 /  90  20   0   0
Ozona       60  45  69  47 / 100  10   0   0
Brady       57  45  70  48 /  90  20   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this evening for Concho-Crockett-Irion-
Kimble-Mason-McCulloch-Menard-San Saba-Schleicher-Sutton-Tom
Green.

&&

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...SK

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Haskell

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Haskell forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.178, -99.730 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Haskell County during May.

Drought, Fisher

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Fisher forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.743, -100.402 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Fisher County during May.

Drought, Nolan

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Nolan forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.304, -100.406 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Nolan County during May.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1341375, 1341377, 1341381.