Drought in Texas, May 1 to 26, 2026

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1250 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast for the rest of today
  into early Friday evening. Some could be strong to marginally
  severe.

- Locally heavy rain is forecast to affect some locations across
  South Central Texas through early Friday evening and a Flood
  Watch has been issued.

- Dry and cooler weather for the weekend with a warming trend
  forecast for the work week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 114 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Latest visible imagery shows cloudy skies across most of South
Central Texas with some breaks over the Coastal Plains. A mid to
upper level shortwave moving across the Hill Country is helping
shower and thunderstorm activity across the Hill Country especially
over portions of Burnet, Blanco, and soon over Travis counties as
of 1 PM CDT. This activity could be enhanced as the afternoon
progresses with more activity expanding over parts of the southern
Edwards Plateau. Main hazards are large hail, strong to damaging
wind gusts, and localized heavy rain. We may have a lull in
activity later this afternoon into the early evening, but showers
and thunderstorms return over the Rio Grande mid to late evening
and then move eastward overnight into Friday afternoon and
possibly through early Friday evening. These storms will have the
support of an upper level short wave pushing from Baja California
into northern Mexico into west Texas and then over our local area
throughout the day Friday. There is a moderate to high confidence
on locally heavy rain across a good portion of South Central Texas
late this evening through Friday evening as several rounds of
heavy rain affect the local area. A Flood Watch is in effect from
9 PM CDT this evening through 9 PM CDT Friday. Rainfall amounts of
2 to 4 inches are forecast with isolated 6 inches for the
duration of the Flood Watch. Remember to promote the following:
Stay weather aware and away from flooded areas. As the wave moves
to the east of the local area Friday afternoon through the
evening, rain chances come to an end from west to east. Breezy
north winds are forecast to prevail late Friday afternoon through
the overnight hours with gusts of 30 to 40 mph.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 114 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

By Saturday morning, dry and cooler weather conditions are in store
as a surge of cooler airmass pushes from the north resulting in lows
around the mid 40s over the Hill Country to mid 50s across the
Coastal Plains. Saturday's highs are forecast to range from the
upper 60s to mid 70s. A surface high pressure system over South
Central Texas Saturday evening pushes to the east overnight into
Sunday and brings back a southerly flow to the local area. With the
return flow in place, a warming trend begins on Sunday with forecast
highs in the mid to upper 70s to low 80s along the Rio Grande.
The warming trend and dry weather conditions continue at least
through next Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Showers and thunderstorms are scattered across the region. Storms
are moving through the San Antonio area at this time and should
reach Austin within a couple of hours. There are also showers and
storms in Mexico moving toward DRT. All sites will have off and on
convection through the night and day. Ceilings and visibilities
will vary between IFR and LIFR with occasional TSRA and RA. We
should see some improvement by late evening, but no VFR in this
TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              63  52  74  52 / 100  40   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  64  52  73  50 / 100  40   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     65  52  74  50 / 100  30   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            60  50  72  51 / 100  30   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           71  55  73  54 /  90  10   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        61  50  72  50 / 100  40   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             66  50  73  48 /  90  10   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        65  52  74  50 / 100  30   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   65  53  73  50 / 100  50   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       66  53  74  52 / 100  20   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           66  53  74  52 / 100  20   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this evening for TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-
221-223.

&&

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1039 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

TXZ217-228-010430-
Maverick TX-Dimmit TX-
1039 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Maverick and northwestern Dimmit Counties through 1130 PM CDT...

At 1039 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
El Indio, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Carrizo Springs, El Indio, Winter Haven, Carrizo Hill, and Farias
Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2833 10030 2840 10035 2842 10034 2845 10034
      2848 10037 2848 10035 2850 10033 2851 10038
      2852 10039 2865 9993 2864 9981 2833 9979
TIME...MOT...LOC 0339Z 264DEG 22KT 2843 10033

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1128 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

TXZ228-010515-
Dimmit TX-
1128 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Dimmit
County through 1215 AM CDT...

At 1127 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Asherton, or 10 miles southeast of Carrizo Springs, moving east at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Carrizo Springs, Big Wells, Asherton, Chaparral Wildlife Management
Area, Carrizo Hill, Catarina, Las Vegas, and Brundage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2833 9995 2852 9996 2860 9940 2832 9939
TIME...MOT...LOC 0427Z 270DEG 15KT 2845 9972

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1135 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1131 PM     Hail             Asherton                28.45N 99.76W
04/30/2026  M1.00 Inch       Dimmit             TX   Trained Spotter

            Quarter size hail in Asherton.

&&

BF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1150 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

TXZ217-010530-
Maverick TX-
1150 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Maverick
County through 1230 AM CDT...

At 1150 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Radar Base, or 8 miles northwest of Eagle Pass, moving east at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Eagle Pass, Quemado, Paloma, Radar Base, Normandy, Darling, Siesta
Acres, Fabrica, Elm Creek, Las Quintas Fronterizas, and Seco Mines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2871 10051 2874 10051 2876 10053 2880 10053
      2883 10055 2883 10058 2885 10057 2888 10060
      2889 10059 2891 10062 2890 10063 2892 10063
      2894 10065 2905 10014 2870 10012 2867 10050
TIME...MOT...LOC 0450Z 262DEG 41KT 2879 10059

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1211 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 AM     Hail             Asherton                28.45N 99.76W
04/30/2026  M1.75 Inch       Dimmit             TX   Public

            Picture on social media of golf ball size
            hail.

&&

BF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1252 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

TXZ191-205>208-010630-
Guadalupe TX-Comal TX-Bexar TX-Caldwell TX-Hays TX-
1252 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Caldwell,
southeastern Hays, Guadalupe, northeastern Bexar and southeastern
Comal Counties through 130 AM CDT...

At 1252 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
McQueeney, or near New Braunfels, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
New Braunfels, San Marcos, Schertz, Kyle, Seguin, Cibolo, Converse,
Universal City, Lockhart, Selma, Luling, Randolph AFB, Bulverde,
Garden Ridge, McQueeney, Martindale, Marion, Uhland, Kingsbury, and
Santa Clara.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2957 9769 2954 9772 2948 9827 2973 9838
      2999 9773 2976 9762
TIME...MOT...LOC 0552Z 247DEG 39KT 2965 9807

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MO