Texas, 2026

Drought in Texas, May 1 to 31, 2026

May 1 to 31, 2026 · NWS AMA · 20 events in 20 counties and zones

A very dry spring led to the development of Extreme (D3) to Exceptional (D4) drought in the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. With an extra prolonged period of dryness and abnormally warm temperatures both in May and leading up to May, drought impacts were felt quite a bit.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 20 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
20

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AMA wrote it up.

A very dry spring led to the development of Extreme (D3) to Exceptional (D4) drought in the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. With an extra prolonged period of dryness and abnormally warm temperatures both in May and leading up to May, drought impacts were felt quite a bit. Not only were crops not surviving spring planting, but grasses remained abnormally dry and dormant for this time of year. This lead to extreme wildfire conditions as temperatures reached the upper 90s.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Issued at 1130 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026
  • Light rain is possible tonight through Friday afternoon across mainly the western Panhandles. Model trends continue to reduce rain chances and totals across the area.
  • Frost and freeze conditions may occur on Saturday morning for the central and western Panhandles. Frost has become the main concern as chances for freezing temperatures have decreased.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1230 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

- Light rain is possible tonight through Friday afternoon across
  mainly the western Panhandles. Model trends continue to reduce
  rain chances and totals across the area.

- Frost and freeze conditions may occur on Saturday morning for
  the central and western Panhandles. Frost has become the main
  concern as chances for freezing temperatures have decreased.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

The main message of the short term period revolves around decreasing
PoPs and QPF today for the entire CWA. The trajectory and better
dynamics of this incoming system continue to trend southward. So
much so, that it will leave most of the area unlikely to accumulate
rainfall over 0.5" in the next 24 hours. The western combined
Panhandles are still most favored for precipitation compared to the
rest of the area due to showers lifting and moving off the high
terrain in New Mexico. The eastern extent of QPF continues to fall
lower with each new run of the CAMs. Short term models continue to
suggest that showers will struggle to move out of New Mexico, which
is supported by lackluster low to mid level Theta-E profiles in our
area. Theta-E values are still high enough to allow for clouds
across High Plains. Overcast cloud coverage and light northerly
winds will keep most of the combined Panhandles in the 50s today.

As a surface high pushes south tonight, winds in the region will
become light and stay that way through the rest of the short period.
Clouds are also expected to clear out quickly early Saturday
morning. Conditions for frost development, especially across the
west, remain favorable. However, there are still some caveats on
whether temperatures will reach freezing conditions. Forecast
dewpoint temperatures continue to stay above 32 degrees for much of
the area due to the moisture expected. If we manage to over perform
on precipitation or cloud coverage lingers too long, temperatures
may only get down to the mid 30s. Given the high relative humidity,
frost is the main hazard Saturday morning. We will still monitor the
potential for both hazards as we get closer in time, since we cannot
rule out a few sites dropping below freezing for a short time before
stabilizing to a warmer temperature. Product issuance may become
necessary down the line for these reasons.

For the rest of Saturday, winds will stay light as mentioned. Highs
will rebound to the 70s areawide and cloud coverage will stay mostly
sunny. Chances for precipitation to carry over into Saturday are
very low for our FA.

Rangel

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

As the previous system exits, upper level ridging will return over
the Panhandle region for the start of the extended period. This
pattern will not have much of a chance to settle, as a large scale
low pressure system redevelops west of the Continental Divide and
progresses eastward. A cold front moving out of Canada is also
forecast to enter the High Plains by midweek.

High temperatures will return to seasonal averages by Sunday, but
they will be much warmer on Monday. As our next cold front moves
through, high will drop back into the 70s Tuesday and Wednesday.
Temperatures will recover once warm air is reintroduced on
Thursday. Surface winds will mostly be out of the southwest next
week, except for the time frame of the frontal passage where winds
will be northeasterly.

Today's rain totals and their effects on fuel quality will be
driving factors that could mitigate or allow for fire weather
conditions to return Sunday through Tuesday next week. Winds and
temperatures will ensure places dry out on those days, but minimum
relative humidity may still be high enough to hinder fire weather,
defiantly so if we can get some good rain today. (But probably
not...) Conditions will be monitored as we head towards that time
frame.

Precipitation is possible as the front moves through next week, but
long range models are still having a difficult time deciphering how
far south the moisture will move. Currently, the high PoPs are
placed in the Oklahoma Panhandle and the northwestern Texas
Panhandle Monday night through Wednesday.

Rangel

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

As rain chances decline for the Panhandle region, so will the
likelihood of visibility impacts to the terminals. MVFR
conditions, and even IFR at KDHT, are still expected to be the
primary concern for this period; but after 00Z, VFR conditions
will return to all sites. Winds are initially strong at KDHT and
breezy elsewhere. In the next couple of hours, winds will become
light and remain that way through the rest of the period.

Rangel

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 30, 11:35 PM CST, 25 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1235 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-011745-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
1235 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Frost and freeze conditions are possible across the central and
western Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on Saturday morning.

Thunderstorms are possible across the northern Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles on Tuesday and Wednesday. The potential for severe
thunderstorms is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

20 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Dallam

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Dallam forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.278, -102.602 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A small section of northern Dallam and Sherman counties up against the Oklahoma Panhandle started the month of May in Extreme Drought (D3). The rest of Dallam and Sherman, and all of Hartley and Moore, counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). Around half way through the month all of Dallam, the northwest two thirds of Hartley and just about all of Sherman had degraded to D3. Rain events just started to pick up across the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles which spared the area of D2 from D3 until later in the month. By month's end Moore County fell into D3 while a good portion of Dallam, Sherman, and north-central Hartley improved back to D2. The entire area kept a 120 day deficit around 1 to 4. This late into the spring, crop and other agricultural damage had already been done.

Drought, Hartley

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hartley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.840, -102.603 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A small section of northern Dallam and Sherman counties up against the Oklahoma Panhandle started the month of May in Extreme Drought (D3). The rest of Dallam and Sherman, and all of Hartley and Moore, counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). Around half way through the month all of Dallam, the northwest two thirds of Hartley and just about all of Sherman had degraded to D3. Rain events just started to pick up across the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles which spared the area of D2 from D3 until later in the month. By month's end Moore County fell into D3 while a good portion of Dallam, Sherman, and north-central Hartley improved back to D2. The entire area kept a 120 day deficit around 1 to 4. This late into the spring, crop and other agricultural damage had already been done.

Drought, Sherman

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Sherman forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.278, -101.893 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A small section of northern Dallam and Sherman counties up against the Oklahoma Panhandle started the month of May in Extreme Drought (D3). The rest of Dallam and Sherman, and all of Hartley and Moore, counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). Around half way through the month all of Dallam, the northwest two thirds of Hartley and just about all of Sherman had degraded to D3. Rain events just started to pick up across the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles which spared the area of D2 from D3 until later in the month. By month's end Moore County fell into D3 while a good portion of Dallam, Sherman, and north-central Hartley improved back to D2. The entire area kept a 120 day deficit around 1 to 4. This late into the spring, crop and other agricultural damage had already been done.

Drought, Moore

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Moore forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.838, -101.893 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A small section of northern Dallam and Sherman counties up against the Oklahoma Panhandle started the month of May in Extreme Drought (D3). The rest of Dallam and Sherman, and all of Hartley and Moore, counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). Around half way through the month all of Dallam, the northwest two thirds of Hartley and just about all of Sherman had degraded to D3. Rain events just started to pick up across the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles which spared the area of D2 from D3 until later in the month. By month's end Moore County fell into D3 while a good portion of Dallam, Sherman, and north-central Hartley improved back to D2. The entire area kept a 120 day deficit around 1 to 4. This late into the spring, crop and other agricultural damage had already been done.

Drought, Hansford

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hansford forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.278, -101.354 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of Hutchinson, Roberts, and Hemphill counties were in Exceptional Drought (D3) at the start of the month. Conversely much of Hansford, Ochiltree, and Lipscomb counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). With a continually growing deficit in rainfall, the cluster of counties that included Hansford, Ochiltree, and the northwestern half of Lipscomb fell into D3. An area of Exceptional Drought (D4) developed over the southeastern half of Lipscomb, all of Hemphill, and the southeastern half of Roberts County. Areas that developed D4 had a 120 day rainfall deficit of 5 to 8 while the areas with D3 had a 4 to 5 deficit.

Drought, Hutchinson

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hutchinson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.840, -101.355 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of Hutchinson, Roberts, and Hemphill counties were in Exceptional Drought (D3) at the start of the month. Conversely much of Hansford, Ochiltree, and Lipscomb counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). With a continually growing deficit in rainfall, the cluster of counties that included Hansford, Ochiltree, and the northwestern half of Lipscomb fell into D3. An area of Exceptional Drought (D4) developed over the southeastern half of Lipscomb, all of Hemphill, and the southeastern half of Roberts County. Areas that developed D4 had a 120 day rainfall deficit of 5 to 8 while the areas with D3 had a 4 to 5 deficit.

Drought, Ochiltree

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Ochiltree forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.278, -100.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of Hutchinson, Roberts, and Hemphill counties were in Exceptional Drought (D3) at the start of the month. Conversely much of Hansford, Ochiltree, and Lipscomb counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). With a continually growing deficit in rainfall, the cluster of counties that included Hansford, Ochiltree, and the northwestern half of Lipscomb fell into D3. An area of Exceptional Drought (D4) developed over the southeastern half of Lipscomb, all of Hemphill, and the southeastern half of Roberts County. Areas that developed D4 had a 120 day rainfall deficit of 5 to 8 while the areas with D3 had a 4 to 5 deficit.

Drought, Lipscomb

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Lipscomb forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.278, -100.273 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of Hutchinson, Roberts, and Hemphill counties were in Exceptional Drought (D3) at the start of the month. Conversely much of Hansford, Ochiltree, and Lipscomb counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). With a continually growing deficit in rainfall, the cluster of counties that included Hansford, Ochiltree, and the northwestern half of Lipscomb fell into D3. An area of Exceptional Drought (D4) developed over the southeastern half of Lipscomb, all of Hemphill, and the southeastern half of Roberts County. Areas that developed D4 had a 120 day rainfall deficit of 5 to 8 while the areas with D3 had a 4 to 5 deficit.

Drought, Roberts

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Roberts forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.839, -100.813 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of Hutchinson, Roberts, and Hemphill counties were in Exceptional Drought (D3) at the start of the month. Conversely much of Hansford, Ochiltree, and Lipscomb counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). With a continually growing deficit in rainfall, the cluster of counties that included Hansford, Ochiltree, and the northwestern half of Lipscomb fell into D3. An area of Exceptional Drought (D4) developed over the southeastern half of Lipscomb, all of Hemphill, and the southeastern half of Roberts County. Areas that developed D4 had a 120 day rainfall deficit of 5 to 8 while the areas with D3 had a 4 to 5 deficit.

Drought, Hemphill

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hemphill forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.838, -100.270 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of Hutchinson, Roberts, and Hemphill counties were in Exceptional Drought (D3) at the start of the month. Conversely much of Hansford, Ochiltree, and Lipscomb counties started the month in Severe Drought (D2). With a continually growing deficit in rainfall, the cluster of counties that included Hansford, Ochiltree, and the northwestern half of Lipscomb fell into D3. An area of Exceptional Drought (D4) developed over the southeastern half of Lipscomb, all of Hemphill, and the southeastern half of Roberts County. Areas that developed D4 had a 120 day rainfall deficit of 5 to 8 while the areas with D3 had a 4 to 5 deficit.

Drought, Oldham

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Oldham forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.405, -102.603 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Oldham and Deaf Smith counties started the month of May in Severe Drought (D2), as well as the western halves of Potter and Randall counties. The eastern halves of Potter and Randall counties started the month in Extreme Drought (D3). A continued trend of a dry spring brought on a 120 day deficit around 2 to 4 by month's end. This allowed the areas of D2 to degrade to D3. Parts of far eastern Randall County went from D3 to Exceptional Drought (D4). The drought conditions not only hurt crops but led to some bad wildfires in these counties.

Drought, Deaf Smith

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Deaf Smith forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.966, -102.605 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Oldham and Deaf Smith counties started the month of May in Severe Drought (D2), as well as the western halves of Potter and Randall counties. The eastern halves of Potter and Randall counties started the month in Extreme Drought (D3). A continued trend of a dry spring brought on a 120 day deficit around 2 to 4 by month's end. This allowed the areas of D2 to degrade to D3. Parts of far eastern Randall County went from D3 to Exceptional Drought (D4). The drought conditions not only hurt crops but led to some bad wildfires in these counties.

Drought, Potter

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Potter forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.401, -101.894 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Oldham and Deaf Smith counties started the month of May in Severe Drought (D2), as well as the western halves of Potter and Randall counties. The eastern halves of Potter and Randall counties started the month in Extreme Drought (D3). A continued trend of a dry spring brought on a 120 day deficit around 2 to 4 by month's end. This allowed the areas of D2 to degrade to D3. Parts of far eastern Randall County went from D3 to Exceptional Drought (D4). The drought conditions not only hurt crops but led to some bad wildfires in these counties.

Drought, Randall County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Randall County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.966, -101.897 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Oldham and Deaf Smith counties started the month of May in Severe Drought (D2), as well as the western halves of Potter and Randall counties. The eastern halves of Potter and Randall counties started the month in Extreme Drought (D3). A continued trend of a dry spring brought on a 120 day deficit around 2 to 4 by month's end. This allowed the areas of D2 to degrade to D3. Parts of far eastern Randall County went from D3 to Exceptional Drought (D4). The drought conditions not only hurt crops but led to some bad wildfires in these counties.

Drought, Carson

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Carson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.404, -101.354 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of the central to southeastern Texas Panhandle, including Carson, Wheeler, Armstrong and Collingsworth counties, ended the month of May with a 120 day rainfall deficit around 3 to 5. The driest of these counties, northeast Gray, southeast Carson and northwest Armstrong developed Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions. The rest of these counties developed Extreme Drought (D3) if it did not start in D3). A late month rainfall event helped much of Collingsworth and Donley counties to reverse back to Severe Drought (D2) by month's end.

Drought, Armstrong

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Armstrong forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.965, -101.357 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of the central to southeastern Texas Panhandle, including Carson, Wheeler, Armstrong and Collingsworth counties, ended the month of May with a 120 day rainfall deficit around 3 to 5. The driest of these counties, northeast Gray, southeast Carson and northwest Armstrong developed Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions. The rest of these counties developed Extreme Drought (D3) if it did not start in D3). A late month rainfall event helped much of Collingsworth and Donley counties to reverse back to Severe Drought (D2) by month's end.

Drought, Gray

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Gray forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.401, -100.813 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of the central to southeastern Texas Panhandle, including Carson, Wheeler, Armstrong and Collingsworth counties, ended the month of May with a 120 day rainfall deficit around 3 to 5. The driest of these counties, northeast Gray, southeast Carson and northwest Armstrong developed Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions. The rest of these counties developed Extreme Drought (D3) if it did not start in D3). A late month rainfall event helped much of Collingsworth and Donley counties to reverse back to Severe Drought (D2) by month's end.

Drought, Donley

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Donley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.965, -100.814 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of the central to southeastern Texas Panhandle, including Carson, Wheeler, Armstrong and Collingsworth counties, ended the month of May with a 120 day rainfall deficit around 3 to 5. The driest of these counties, northeast Gray, southeast Carson and northwest Armstrong developed Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions. The rest of these counties developed Extreme Drought (D3) if it did not start in D3). A late month rainfall event helped much of Collingsworth and Donley counties to reverse back to Severe Drought (D2) by month's end.

Drought, Wheeler

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Wheeler forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.401, -100.270 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of the central to southeastern Texas Panhandle, including Carson, Wheeler, Armstrong and Collingsworth counties, ended the month of May with a 120 day rainfall deficit around 3 to 5. The driest of these counties, northeast Gray, southeast Carson and northwest Armstrong developed Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions. The rest of these counties developed Extreme Drought (D3) if it did not start in D3). A late month rainfall event helped much of Collingsworth and Donley counties to reverse back to Severe Drought (D2) by month's end.

Drought, Collingsworth

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Collingsworth forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.965, -100.270 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Much of the central to southeastern Texas Panhandle, including Carson, Wheeler, Armstrong and Collingsworth counties, ended the month of May with a 120 day rainfall deficit around 3 to 5. The driest of these counties, northeast Gray, southeast Carson and northwest Armstrong developed Exceptional Drought (D4) conditions. The rest of these counties developed Extreme Drought (D3) if it did not start in D3). A late month rainfall event helped much of Collingsworth and Donley counties to reverse back to Severe Drought (D2) by month's end.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1331587, 1331588, 1331590, 1331592, 1331595, 1331597, 1331598, 1331599, 1331600, 1331601, 1331602, 1331604, 1331605, 1331606, 1331608, 1331609, 1331610, 1331611, 1331613, 1331614.