What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 2, 12:18 PM CST, 4 hours 13 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- A Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall, potentially leading to flash flooding, extends across the forecast area through tonight.
- A weak front will shift offshore across the region Wednesday morning while chances of rainfall remain elevated through Friday.
- Humid conditions will continue Wednesday onward with some reductions of highs back into the mid 80s through the end of the work week.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 12:18 PM CST, 4 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
118 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall, potentially leading to
flash flooding, extends across the forecast area through
tonight.
- A weak front will shift offshore across the region Wednesday
morning while chances of rainfall remain elevated through Friday.
- Humid conditions will continue Wednesday onward with some
reductions of highs back into the mid 80s through the end of the
work week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Monday)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
High pressure currently extends over the Great Lakes region. This
relatively dry airmass well to our north will squeeze troughing
along the central Gulf coast. This pattern has taken the form of a
stationary front extending over CenLA into the Lower Mississippi
Valley region this afternoon. The frontal boundary will stay over
Eastern TX/ Southern LA and their offshore marine waters over the
next several days leading to scattered showers and thunderstorms.
This pattern is not one, where daily showers can be perfectly timed
out for each city to a T. They will be working off the evolving
convective environment and converging outflow boundaries.
Temperatures will top out in the low 90s this afternoon, but may be
quickly quenched 10-15 degrees within thundershowers and shortly
after. Tomorrow will the boundary is forecast to meander further
offshore leading to higher chances of rainfall toward the coast and
decreasing further north and west across interior zones. Highs will
be slightly cooler Wednesday- trending in the mid 80s. As the
boundary lifts north again along toward the TX / LA coastline,
converging scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue, again
with the higher rain chances keeping near and below the I-10
corridor. Highs will be similar to Wednesday, in the low to mid 80s.
By Friday, high pressure previously located over the Great Lakes
region broadens and shifts over the SECONUS. Environment will be
supportive of scattered activity locally. That said, the boundary
does show signs of weakening as the pressure gradient begins to
slack and easterly winds begin to acquire southerly onshore
components into Saturday. Middling rain chances continue through the
weekend with highs slightly warmer- in the mid to upper 80s once
again. Long term guidance suggest while these rain chances are
broadly painted along across the forecast area, upper level ridging
may build in some degree of subsidence that may begin to inhibit
widespread activity into next week.
Kowalski / 30
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
Scattered storms along the I-10 corridor are expected to continue
spreading north and west through the daylight hours. Outside of
TSRA, ceilings will remain VFR, though some think SCT bases under
3kft AGL are likely. Winds will retain variable east components
through the overnight hours as diurnal convection begins to
diminish. Still some scattered chances below the I-10 corridor
remain after midnight through early AM hours of the 03rd.
30
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
Broad high pressure in the western Gulf will cause prevailing
east winds around 10 to 15 knots. Wave heights will stay below 3
feet through the middle of the week. A stationary boundary will
move offshore on Wednesday morning with widespread showers and
thunderstorms likely. Scattered storms are expected to stay the
forecast through Friday. Winds will persist from the east with
gusts up to 20 knots through Thursday. The boundary will continue
to meander along the offshore waters while weakening through
Friday. Southerly onshore flow resumes this weekend and interior
high pressure shifts across the SECONUS with decreasing offshore
activity into next week.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
Hot and humid conditions will continue, with minimum RH values
staying above 50% through the rest of the week. Middling rain
chances persist through the end of the work week. Worth noting
chances of precipitation tend to persist longer in the hourly
forecast south of HWY 190, while chances across CenLA and northwest
are little more spotty and generally slightly lower.
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...30
AVIATION...30
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 11:41 AM CST, 4 hours 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1241 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
LAZ074-021815-
East Cameron LA-
1241 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CAMERON PARISH THROUGH
115 PM CDT...
At 1241 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
capable of producing a waterspout over Marshes near Creole, or near
Grand Chenier, moving west at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally
hazardous waters. Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs
and blow around unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Cameron, Grand Chenier, Creole, and Rutherford Beach.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 2984 9294 2967 9301 2971 9327 2997 9316
TIME...MOT...LOC 1741Z 112DEG 7KT 2979 9306
WATERSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BrazzellSpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 12:24 PM CST, 4 hours 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
124 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
LAZ143-152-243-252-021900-
Upper Vermilion LA-Southern Acadia LA-Lower Vermilion LA-
Northern Acadia LA-
124 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL ACADIA AND
NORTHEASTERN VERMILION PARISHES THROUGH 200 PM CDT...
At 124 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Meaux, or near Kaplan, moving northwest at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation and outdoor
objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Crowley, Abbeville, Kaplan, Maurice, Meaux, Wright, Lyons Point, and
Indian Bayou.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2998 9249 3023 9237 3017 9226 3015 9227
3015 9228 3014 9228 3014 9221 3008 9210
2991 9218
TIME...MOT...LOC 1824Z 112DEG 12KT 3003 9223
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BrazzellSpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 3:18 PM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
418 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
TXZ180-022200-
Tyler TX-
418 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN TYLER COUNTY
THROUGH 500 PM CDT...
At 418 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Warren, moving west at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Warren, Ivanhoe, and Hillister.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3070 9427 3053 9432 3053 9455 3080 9461
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 098DEG 12KT 3059 9440
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
RuaSpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 3:52 PM CST, 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
452 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
LAZ027-028-022230-
Vernon LA-Rapides LA-
452 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL RAPIDES AND
NORTHEASTERN VERNON PARISHES THROUGH 530 PM CDT...
At 452 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Clifton, or 11 miles northwest of Hineston, moving southwest at 20
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Clifton, Lacamp, Sieper, and Simpson.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 9286 3122 9276 3111 9303 3129 9315
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 060DEG 18KT 3126 9289
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
RuaSpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 3:54 PM CST, 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
454 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
TXZ201-022230-
Hardin TX-
454 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN HARDIN COUNTY
THROUGH 530 PM CDT...
At 454 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Thicket, moving west at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Saratoga, Thicket, and Votaw.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3049 9454 3053 9454 3053 9449 3027 9451
3027 9466 3049 9473
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 089DEG 14KT 3041 9458
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
RuaSpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 4:02 PM CST, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
502 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
TXZ259-022245-
Northern Jasper TX-
502 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTY
THROUGH 545 PM CDT...
At 502 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Harrisburg, or 8 miles northeast of Jasper, moving west at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Jasper, Ebenezer, Browndell, Harrisburg, and Sam Rayburn Dam.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3111 9390 3096 9387 3094 9386 3092 9387
3085 9419 3093 9421 3093 9420 3094 9421
3108 9424 3111 9405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 081DEG 18KT 3103 9392
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
Rua