What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 26, 12:31 PM CST, 3 hours 29 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 127 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
- Showers/thunderstorms continue to affect the area into tonight. A few strong to marginally severe storms are possible.
- Daily rain and storm chances will continue through next weekend across portions of the area. Strong to severe storms may be possible.
Area forecast discussion, May 26, 12:31 PM CST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
131 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 127 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
- Showers/thunderstorms continue to affect the area into tonight.
A few strong to marginally severe storms are possible.
- Daily rain and storm chances will continue through next weekend
across portions of the area. Strong to severe storms may be
possible.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 127 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
There are two main features along with sfc heating that are causing
scattered showers/storms across the fa today. One feature is the
closed low that was in TX yesterday is now lifting northward across
portions of eastern OK/AR. The other feature is a shortwave moving
into the southern Plains providing large scale ascent to parts of
the region.
A band of showers/storms associated with the shortwave has been
moving across parts of west TX all morning. This band is expected to
move into SW/W portions of the fa this afternoon and continuing to
move across parts of the area tonight as the shortwave continues to
move across the region and ascent spreads eastward. Meanwhile, in
parts of OK and western north TX, scattered showers/storms have
developed this morning into early afternoon. This activity is
expected to continue into early evening with some decrease in
coverage possible with the loss of heating and the main focus of
showers/storms being closer to the shortwave. Some of the storms
could become strong to marginally severe with hail and strong winds.
Locally heavy rain will also be a concern, especially in parts of
western north TX and southwest OK.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 127 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
The previously mentioned shortwave will continue to affect the area
which will continue the chance for showers/storms Wednesday. Enough
instability could develop that some of the storms become strong to
severe Wednesday with large hail the main concern. Locally heavy
rain will also continue to be a concern. However, there is also the
potential for a risk for funnel clouds/landspouts to maybe develop
across portions of the area Wednesday as well. The risk for such
occurrences will be focused near a weak surface low, currently
forecast to lift northward near or just west of the TX/OK state line
through the day. As low level instability develops in conjunction
with this area of mid/low-level spin, conditions could become
favorable for funnel cloud and/or landspout development. Of course
where this could develop will be dependent on the track of the low.
Showers/storms will continue to be possible into Thursday. Strong
storms and locally heavy rain will remain concerns with hail and
gusty winds possible.
The cloud cover and rain will lead to cooler temperatures Wednesday
compared to today with highs in 70s to low 80s. Lingering cloud
cover and rain will maintain the below average temperatures into
Thursday with highs once again in the 70s to low 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 146 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026
Another weak shortwave will move across the southern Plains
Friday, which will provide enough lift for thunderstorms late
Friday into Saturday (from west to east). Beyond Friday, there is
a little more uncertainty regarding the pattern across the
southern Plains. The larger scale trough across the western US is
expected to lift into northern portions of the US. Across our
area, there may be weak mid- level perturbations which will
promote additional thunderstorm chances through the weekend. Other
model solutions would suggest mid- level ridging, which promotes
dry and warmer weather. For now, will keep the mention of
thunderstorms through the weekend until models are in better
agreement.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
While most terminals will maintain VFR category into Tuesday
evening, widely scattered diurnal convection will offer limited
(~30%) potential for category reductions through sunset. By the mid-
evening into early Wednesday morning, a more coherent band/arc of
rain and storms will move from southwest-to-northeast across the
area, introducing a more likely rainy/stormy period.
Low stratus is also expected to emerge during the predawn hours on
Wednesday, with most likely IFR cigs expected at
KWWR/KLAW/KCSM/KOKC/KOUN. At least limited rain and storm coverage
will continue towards the end of the period across northern Oklahoma
as well.
Safe travels!
Ungar
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 64 78 64 78 / 50 60 60 70
Hobart OK 61 79 61 81 / 90 50 50 60
Wichita Falls TX 63 81 63 83 / 80 40 30 30
Gage OK 59 76 59 78 / 70 70 70 70
Ponca City OK 63 82 64 79 / 10 50 60 80
Durant OK 68 79 67 82 / 70 70 40 60
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...09
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 26, 3:39 PM CST, 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
439 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
TXZ084-087-088-262215-
Foard TX-Knox TX-Baylor TX-
439 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southern Foard, Knox
and southwestern Baylor Counties through 515 PM CDT...
At 439 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 13 miles east of Guthrie to 3 miles north of
Irby. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Munday, Knox City, Benjamin, Goree, Red Springs, Vera, Truscott,
Gilliland, Rhineland, and Bomarton.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3410 10005 3379 9947 3340 9928 3340 9999
3383 10000 3384 10005
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 221DEG 24KT 3363 10008 3323 9955
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
WareSpecial weather statement, May 26, 3:43 PM CST, 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
443 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
OKZ018-262215-
Kingfisher OK-
443 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Kingfisher County through 515 PM CDT...
At 443 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles west of Dover, moving north at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Dover.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3591 9790 3589 9806 3606 9816 3613 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 173DEG 6KT 3598 9800
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
WareSpecial weather statement, May 26, 3:44 PM CST, 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
444 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
OKZ050-262215-
Love OK-
444 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Love
County through 515 PM CDT...
At 444 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Marietta, moving north at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Marietta.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3397 9718 3405 9699 3394 9697 3396 9698
3394 9700 3389 9698 3385 9702 3384 9704
3386 9707 3386 9708 3384 9709 3384 9706
3382 9705 3380 9709
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 173DEG 6KT 3391 9706
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
WareSpecial weather statement, May 26, 3:53 PM CST, 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
453 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
OKZ005-006-011-262230-
Major OK-Alfalfa OK-Woods OK-
453 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Woods,
southwestern Alfalfa and northeastern Major Counties through 530 PM
CDT...
At 453 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles west of Cleo Springs to 4 miles
southeast of Ames. Movement was north at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Helena, Ringwood, Carmen, Cleo Springs, Ames, Meno, Aline, and
Orienta.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3656 9819 3617 9811 3634 9856 3665 9872
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 164DEG 12KT 3642 9852 3619 9814
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
WareSpecial weather statement, May 26, 3:55 PM CST, 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
455 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
OKZ009-262230-
Ellis OK-
455 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern Ellis
County through 530 PM CDT...
At 455 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 5 miles west of Arnett to 8 miles west of
Angora. Movement was northwest at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Shattuck and Arnett.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3639 10000 3620 9963 3590 9954 3586 9956
3585 9961 3586 9971 3594 9981 3598 9980
3600 9982 3601 9985 3599 9988 3608 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 154DEG 13KT 3614 9987 3589 9959
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
WareSpecial weather statement, May 26, 3:58 PM CST, 2 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
458 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
OKZ035>037-262230-
Kiowa OK-Tillman OK-Jackson OK-
458 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Jackson, south central Kiowa and northwestern Tillman Counties
through 530 PM CDT...
At 458 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Frederick, moving north at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Frederick, Snyder, Tipton, Manitou, Headrick, Hollister, and
Humphreys.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3464 9921 3466 9883 3426 9881 3431 9917
3453 9931
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 168DEG 23KT 3439 9898
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
Ware