Damaging Wind in Oklahoma, May 24, 2026

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1042 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1040 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

- A few strong to severe storms could be possible into tonight
  mainly across parts of western Oklahoma and adjacent western
  north Texas. Hail and damaging winds will be the primary
  hazards.

- Sunday and Monday may feature a drier period before increasing
  rain and storm chances return again mid-week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 128 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Two MCVs are moving across the area today. One MCV has been moving
across the fa all morning and was centered near Osage county around
mid-day. Another smaller MCV has developed near the OK/KS border and
was over Alfalfa county at mid-day as well. The MCVs has continued
shower and some thunderstorm development across portions of the fa
this morning. The MCVs are expected to move east across the area
this afternoon, although the larger one has slowed down compared to
earlier this morning. The MCVs will help maintain shower/storm
chances across northern and eastern portions of the fa through the
afternoon.

Some of the CAMs show some new scattered storm development possible
in NW portions of the fa near an outflow boundary this afternoon.
There is some uncertainty whether activity will develop into NW
portions of the fa due to the affects from the morning activity and
how much recovery can occur. However, there has been some clearing
in this area allowing for heating and radar shows a storm has
developed near this boundary in the eastern TX panhandle.
Instability of 1000-1500 J/kg will be possible in this area so if
these storms do develop into the area, they could become strong to
maybe severe.

Later this afternoon, models also show storms developing in the High
Plains of west TX and NM. This activity is expected to move E and SE
and could eventually move into western/southwestern portions of the
fa later this evening/overnight. With the lack of a strong LLJ to
help maintain development, this activity is expected to be weakening
as it moves into the area but a few storms could still be
strong/severe with large hail and damaging winds possible. The
showers/storms are expected to end/move out of the fa late
tonight/early Sunday.

Otherwise, near normal temperatures are expected this afternoon with
highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Temperatures will then fall into the
50s and 60s tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 128 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

A brief dry period is expected for most of the area Sunday and
Monday. Models show an upper low meandering across TX during this
time before lifting north towards the fa Monday night. This will
keep rain chances out of much of the fa until the upper low moves
closer although if the low tracks closer to the fa than models are
showing some rain chances would be possible across southern portions
of the fa.

Temperatures are expected to remain near or slightly above average
across the area both Sunday and Monday with highs in the 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

The upper low to the south in Texas will lift northward by Tuesday
with southwesterly flow returning aloft. Rain chances are expected
to return Tuesday and Wednesday with the subtropical jet and
embedded disturbances in the flow ahead of a strong upper low
digging into the Pacific Northwest. Similarly to earlier in the
week, most of the storms are likely to be late in the evening after
developing along the higher terrain to the west.

However, towards the end of the week, there is some discrepancies in
the evolution of this next trough/low. Brief ridging ahead of the
system could bring another day or two of lull in precipitation, but
if the system continues to eject eastward, then additional rain and
storms chances could continue through next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Showers and storms across the panhandles are weakening but there
is still a low chance they could reach KLAW/KSPS later tonight.
Otherwise, the remainder of the area is expected to see dry
conditions with light east/southeast winds. Expect this to
continue into the day Sunday, with a slight uptick in speeds
across northwest OK by late afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  79  62  81  63 /  30  10   0   0
Hobart OK         81  60  84  61 /  30  30   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  83  62  84  62 /  40  40  10   0
Gage OK           75  55  83  60 /  60  30   0   0
Ponca City OK     77  59  81  61 /  80  10   0   0
Durant OK         82  66  82  66 /  50  20  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...08

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1122 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

OKZ021-033>036-TXZ083-084-240445-
Harmon OK-Kiowa OK-Beckham OK-Greer OK-Jackson OK-Foard TX-
Hardeman TX-
1122 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of west central Jackson,
northwestern Kiowa, Harmon, Greer, southern Beckham, northwestern
Foard and western Hardeman Counties through 1145 PM CDT...

At 1122 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 5 miles southwest of Delhi to near Cee Vee.
Movement was southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Mangum, Hollis, Erick, Willow, Gould, Texola, Delhi, Vinson,
Goodlett, Madge, Brinkman, Lazare, McQueen, and McKnight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 10005 3423 10000 3524 10000 3511 9933
      3390 10003
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 298DEG 22KT 3514 9976 3423 10045

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Bunker

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1146 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

OKZ021-033>036-TXZ083-084-087-240530-
Harmon OK-Kiowa OK-Beckham OK-Greer OK-Jackson OK-Foard TX-Knox TX-
Hardeman TX-
1146 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of western Jackson, west
central Kiowa, Harmon, Greer, southwestern Beckham, northwestern
Foard, northwestern Knox and Hardeman Counties through 1230 AM CDT...

At 1145 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles northeast of Vinson to near Paducah.
Movement was southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Mangum, Quanah, Hollis, Granite, Blair, Eldorado, Martha, Gould,
Vinson, Duke, Goodlett, Madge, Brinkman, Hester, Lazare, McQueen,
McKnight, Altus-Lugert Lake, and Copper Breaks State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 10005 3423 10000 3509 10000 3496 9920
      3375 9999 3383 10000 3384 10005
TIME...MOT...LOC 0445Z 292DEG 19KT 3499 9971 3402 10033

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Bunker

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
113 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

OKZ033-034-036-037-TXZ083-085-240700-
Harmon OK-Tillman OK-Greer OK-Jackson OK-Wilbarger TX-Hardeman TX-
113 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Jackson, northwestern
Tillman, Harmon, southeastern Greer, northwestern Wilbarger and
northern Hardeman Counties through 200 AM CDT...

At 113 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles northeast of Kirkland to 5 miles south
of Eldorado to 5 miles south of Chillicothe. Movement was northeast
at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Altus, Hollis, Tipton, Blair, Olustee, Eldorado, Martha, Gould,
Elmer, Altus Air Force Base, Duke, Humphreys, Hester, McQueen,
McKnight, and Hess.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3488 10000 3485 9937 3449 9909 3436 9954
      3455 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 0613Z 229DEG 24KT 3449 9996 3439 9964 3419 9949

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Bunker