What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 6, 12:51 PM CST, 3 hours 59 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 148 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
- Several rounds of showers and storms through midday Sunday with heavy rainfall and flooding. Some storms may be capable of producing damaging winds and large hail.
- Near to above normal temperatures heading into next week with a potential for triple digit heat.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 12:51 PM CST, 3 hours 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
151 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 148 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
- Several rounds of showers and storms through midday Sunday with
heavy rainfall and flooding. Some storms may be capable of
producing damaging winds and large hail.
- Near to above normal temperatures heading into next week with a
potential for triple digit heat.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 148 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
A few showers and storms continue this afternoon across portions
Oklahoma with an MCV across central Oklahoma. Additional showers and
storms continue to advect northward across eastern Oklahoma with a
plume of 700mb moisture ahead of the upper low. Some areas may
experience a brief lull in activity during the afternoon hours
before the upper low brings increasing chances for showers and
storms this afternoon into the overnight. As the upper low continues
to eject northeast overnight tonight, multiple rounds of storms
may continue to push west to east across Oklahoma and north Texas.
The main hazard going into tonight will be additional rounds of
heavy rainfall, especially over areas that already received several
inches overnight. The area with the greatest rainfall as of this
morning has been across western north Texas and into southwest
Oklahoma with anywhere from 2-4" with localized higher amounts up to
4-7 inches. The Odell WTM site reported 7.19 inches of rainfall in
the last 24 hours and the Grandfield OK Mesonet reported 5.87 inches
of rainfall in the last 24 hours. PWATs are generally above 1.5
inches, but several models are hinting at up to 2 inch values along
and near the Red River, including portions extending into north
Texas and southern Oklahoma. Two inch values are above the daily max
for climatology this time of year and with 1.5 inch PWATs being
above the 90th percentile across most of the forecast area, expect
heavy rainfall with high rainfall rates expected with storms that
develop later today and overnight.
Despite this morning's showers and storms, the lull and break in
clouds is helping to warm temperatures up with an uncapped
environment. MLCAPE values will generally be around 1500-2000 J/kg
with the highest instability focused in and around western north
Texas and into southern and central Oklahoma. With the presence of
the upper low and slightly higher winds aloft (~30 knots), there
will be the presence of a bit more shear today than previous days
which may help to sustain stronger updrafts. Thus, storms this
afternoon will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts up to at
least 70 mph likely due to downbursts and large hail up to at least
ping pong size. Storm interaction with any surface vorticity near a
surface low or MCV that develops this afternoon and tonight could
give way to a storm or two possessing low-level rotation and the
potential for a tornado or two. This threat remains very low, but
nonzero.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 148 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
Storms will linger Sunday morning, but the severe threat should
lower with mostly winds and flooding as the primary hazards. The
upper low will be pivot over the Central Plains and continue to push
the showers and storms eastward across central into eastern Oklahoma
with most of the precipitation chances east of the area by midday.
In the wake of the upper low will be brief northwest flow aloft
Sunday afternoon/evening with a surface trough over the Texas
Panhandle. Diurnal driven storms may be possible, but the
probability remains low at this time. If a storm or two were to
develop and push east southeast into Oklahoma, gusty winds and small
hail would be the primary hazards.
By Monday, the upper level pattern will shift towards a ridge
building in over the Southern Plains and the trend towards dry and
hot conditions. Temperatures will likely warm to above normal by
Monday with widespread 90s and a few localized areas breaching
triple digit heat. Thanks to lingering low-level moisture and
humidity, feels like temperatures are likely to rise above 100
degrees. Areas across central Oklahoma may approach Heat Advisory
criteria with heat indexes near or above 105 degrees.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 133 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
There is now a signal that this ridging over the southern Plains
will weaken or shift eastward as a longwave trough develops across
the western United States by mid-week. Although we still remain in
a warm pattern with southwesterly flow aloft, it may not be quite
as hot late in the week as anticipated earlier. The longwave
trough does weaken as it moves toward the Plains (primarily the
northern Plains) and it is unclear how far south any forcing will
be as this trough moves east, but there is at least a low
potential for showers/storms with this, primarily Thursday night.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
Conditions across our terminals will vary from VFR to MVFR at
least through 00Z due to the low cloud base alternating from
scattered to broken as well as rising and lowering. Will see
storm activity increase again after 00Z as an upper low tracks
south to north over our area. TSRA probabilities are high enough
for TEMPO groups by 20-21Z for terminals KSPS & KLAW then after
00Z for our remaining terminals. Terminals conditions may further
deteriorate to an IFR category after 04Z due to lowering ceilings
and periods of reduced visibilities in rain associated with
convection overhead. Surface winds will be variable and becoming
gusty from storm activity as well.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 67 85 73 92 / 90 50 20 0
Hobart OK 67 91 73 97 / 70 20 0 0
Wichita Falls TX 68 91 73 95 / 90 40 10 0
Gage OK 63 91 72 99 / 50 10 0 0
Ponca City OK 68 83 72 91 / 80 70 40 0
Durant OK 71 87 76 91 / 80 80 10 0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for OKZ011>013-015>048-
050>052.
TX...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for TXZ083>090.
&&
NEAR TERM...23
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...68In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 6, 2:59 PM CST, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
359 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OKZ034>036-062130-
Kiowa OK-Greer OK-Jackson OK-
359 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Jackson, northwestern Kiowa and southeastern Greer Counties through
430 PM CDT...
At 359 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
capable of producing a landspout near Blair, moving northeast at 35
mph.
HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
objects.
Locations impacted include...
Blair, Lone Wolf, Roosevelt, Martha, Warren, and Altus-Lugert Lake.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3468 9931 3476 9945 3507 9928 3493 9890
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 225DEG 32KT 3477 9930
LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
MahaleSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 3:39 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
439 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OKZ045-050-062230-
Love OK-Jefferson OK-
439 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern
Jefferson and Love Counties through 530 PM CDT...
At 439 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles south of Grady to 6 miles north of St.
Jo to 12 miles northeast of Alvord. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Marietta, Thackerville, Leon, Rubottom, Burneyville, Courtney, and
Petersburg.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3372 9714 3376 9719 3385 9717 3392 9721
3386 9726 3389 9731 3385 9733 3388 9733
3382 9737 3382 9743 3391 9747 3390 9759
3398 9762 3407 9715 3393 9703 3384 9703
3386 9707 3382 9705
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 240DEG 28KT 3395 9766 3378 9753 3347 9753
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MahaleSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 3:53 PM CST, 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
453 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OKZ046-062230-
Carter OK-
453 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern Carter
County through 530 PM CDT...
At 453 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Milo to 5 miles south of Wilson. Movement
was northeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Healdton, Wilson, Graham, and Milo.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3407 9754 3436 9744 3437 9729 3407 9736
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 203DEG 8KT 3434 9736 3408 9743
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
MahaleSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 4:21 PM CST, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
521 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OKZ046-050-062245-
Love OK-Carter OK-
521 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Love and southern
Carter Counties through 545 PM CDT...
At 520 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles west of Springer to 6 miles southeast
of Wilson to 4 miles northwest of Thackerville. Movement was
northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Ardmore, Marietta, Lone Grove, Healdton, Wilson, Dickson, Springer,
Thackerville, Leon, Overbrook, Rubottom, Lake Murray, Burneyville,
and Milo.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3372 9714 3376 9719 3385 9717 3392 9721
3390 9725 3386 9726 3389 9731 3382 9738
3384 9743 3413 9753 3438 9733 3437 9704
3422 9706 3390 9698 3384 9704 3386 9707
3385 9709 3382 9705 3380 9709 3378 9709
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 226DEG 17KT 3429 9720 3410 9734 3384 9720
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
MahaleSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 4:38 PM CST, 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
538 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OKZ042-062315-
Pontotoc OK-
538 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Pontotoc
County through 615 PM CDT...
At 538 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fitzhugh, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Ada, Byng, Francis, and Fitzhugh.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3463 9675 3471 9687 3486 9673 3486 9672
3487 9669 3489 9669 3490 9670 3492 9668
3490 9664 3482 9642
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 221DEG 20KT 3472 9676
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MahaleSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 4:40 PM CST, 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
540 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OKZ046-047-050-051-062330-
Love OK-Carter OK-Johnston OK-Marshall OK-
540 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern
Johnston, Love, southern Carter and western Marshall Counties through
630 PM CDT...
At 540 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 5 miles south of Milo to 3 miles south of
Overbrook to 3 miles south of Thackerville. Movement was northeast at
20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Ardmore, Madill, Marietta, Lone Grove, Healdton, Wilson, Kingston,
Dickson, Mannsville, Springer, Thackerville, Gene Autry, Overbrook,
Lake Murray, Lebanon, Willis, Lake Texoma, Oakland, and Sherwood
Shores.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3372 9715 3380 9721 3390 9718 3391 9724
3386 9726 3387 9726 3423 9749 3433 9698
3406 9671 3382 9675 3387 9680 3385 9686
3396 9692 3395 9698 3385 9702 3385 9709
3382 9705 3380 9709 3373 9709
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 246DEG 19KT 3426 9731 3402 9713 3375 9714
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
Mahale