What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Reno, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 19, 11:24 AM PST, 3 hours 36 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- * Widespread minor HeatRisk with areas of Moderate HeatRisk in the Nevada Basin and Range is expected today as temperatures become milder going into the weekend. * Thunderstorm activity continues today, bringing impacts to fire, recreation, travel and aviation. * A warming trend resumes for next week, with a return of typical afternoon breezes.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 11:24 AM PST, 3 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1224 PM PDT Fri Jun 19 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Widespread minor HeatRisk with areas of Moderate HeatRisk in the
Nevada Basin and Range is expected today as temperatures become
milder going into the weekend.
* Thunderstorm activity continues today, bringing impacts to fire,
recreation, travel and aviation.
* A warming trend resumes for next week, with a return of typical
afternoon breezes.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Ongoing showers and storms this morning across northeastern
California and northwestern Nevada are ahead of an incoming trough
that will move onshore to the Pacific Coast into this afternoon and
evening. As the heating of the day works to increase instability, we
anticipate more storm activity through the day. Main storm threats
today are to include potential for 60+ mph gusty outflows, frequent
lightning and the possibility for up to 1" hail in any storm. For
areas to the north of I-80, there is also another potential hazard,
since the available atmospheric moisture is higher, there could be
isolated flooding under wet storm cores. This could be mitigated by
faster moving storm motions, but if many heavier showers encounter
the same areas, we could see some isolated cases of flooding, such
as streets or poor drainage areas. Chances for wetting rains will
range 20-40%, this afternoon the focus will be for the area from
Pyramid Lake, south to the Pine Nut Mountains, and from US-95 to the
east to the Carson Range to the west. For this evening the focus
shifts to the eastern Lassen County and northern Washoe County
areas, with a chance ranging 20-50%. As of this writing, there are
some clouds developing along the Sierra Crest, hinting at the active
day ahead as we anticipate this activity to increase and storms to
develop over terrain before moving due north. Several CAM guidance
solutions show a late day storm complex developing over the Pine Nut
mountains, then moving north into the Reno-Carson City-Minden area,
before outflows from the complex start to move out toward the Carson
Sink, where blowing dust may be lofted. As the outflows start to
progress, we also anticipate there will be further storm development
where outflow collisions occur. These secondary storm features can
be difficult to model, but with DCAPE values ranging 1500-2000 J/kg,
we expect strong gusty outflows to develop, especially over the
Pershing and Churchill County area. The SPC has put us under a
marginal risk for severe weather today, as well as a scattered dry
thunderstorm fire weather outlook, which is owing to the faster
storm motions producing potential bolts outside of storm cores. See
the Fire Weather Discussion and Red Flag Warning for details of the
fire weather risks for today.
Saturday we will see lingering showers along the Oregon border, with
chances for showers around 15-20%, then decreasing through the day
as the trough heads east. The region will also experience lower
daytime highs, with temperatures in western Nevada hitting upper 80s
to near 90 and the Sierra valleys in the upper 70s to low 80s. We
will also see a return to typical afternoon summertime breezes. Then
for Sunday, we rid ourselves of the showers, and the temperatures
nudge up a couple degrees. A nice end to the weekend is in store!
For next week, summer heat returns, with highs climbing back to the
upper 90s for western Nevada and upper 80s for Sierra valleys.
Around midweek, shower chances look to return to the southern
Sierra, but as of now chances remain low, around 15-20%. HRICH
&&
.AVIATION...
* Ongoing showers this morning near KSVE and KLOL have cleared out
this afternoon, with developing storms later for all western
Nevada and Sierra terminals. Convective showers will develop
around 19-21z, with a 30-70% chance for showers, and a 20-40%
chance any given shower will become a strong to severe storm.
Gusty outflows up to 60 kts are possible, along with potential
for lightning and hail up to 1" as well as isolated heavy
rainfall. Fast storm motions will limit flood potential, but
storms may continue to develop over the same areas. Terrain
obscuration, LLWS and turbulence may be present near storm
cores. Sustained surface winds of 20-30 kts will also be present
today through tonight.
* Lingering showers for Saturday will be likely along the northern
borders of California and Nevada, with a 15-20% chance.
Elsewhere, most terminals will return to VFR conditions for
Saturday, with typical afternoon breezes of 15-20 kts. HRICH
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Critical fire weather concerns continue today with thunderstorm
chances and coverage increasing across the region. Antecedent hot
and dry conditions with poor overnight recoveries have helped in
drying fuels further which also increases fire danger.
Storms will again move quickly today toward the north-northeast once
developed, with a mix of wet and dry storm modes. This increases
potential for dry lightning strikes outside of wet storm cores as
well as dry storms that produce more lightning than moisture. Gusty,
erratic outflows of 60+ mph are possible, increasing the threat of
rapid wind direction shifts. NE CA and portions of adjacent NV sees
the thunderstorm potential begin in the morning before coverage
spreads into W NV during the late morning/afternoon. Outside of
storms, afternoon winds gusting up to around 25-35 mph are forecast
within the region.
A Red Flag Warning is in effect today for W NV and portions of NE
CA. See details in the Red Flag Warning product. HRICH/078
&&
.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...Red Flag Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ458.
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM PDT this evening NVZ420-421.
Red Flag Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ423-429.
CA...Red Flag Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening CAZ270-278.
&&In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 12:00 PM PST, 3 hours before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Reno NV
100 PM PDT Fri Jun 19 2026
CAZ071>073-NVZ001>005-192200-
Lassen-Eastern Plumas-Eastern Sierra Counties CA-
Greater Lake Tahoe Area CA-Mono CA-Greater Lake Tahoe Area NV-
Western Nevada Basin and Range including Pyramid Lake NV-
Northern Washoe County NV-Greater Reno-Carson City-Minden Area NV-
Mineral and Southern Lyon Counties NV-
100 PM PDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN SIERRA
AND THE SIERRA FRONT THROUGH 300 PM PDT...
At 1253 PM PDT, showers and thunderstorms are developing along the
eastern Sierra and Sierra Front south of Highway 50. Thunderstorm
coverage will expand northward through the afternoon.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Reno, Carson City, South Lake Tahoe, Fallon, Tahoe City, Graeagle,
Kings Beach, Plumas Eureka State Park, Sonora Pass, Gardnerville,
Virginia City, Boca Reservoir, Pyramid Lake, Lee Vining, Twin Lakes,
Lahontan Reservoir, Incline Village, Blairsden, Doyle, and Alpine
Meadows.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
If on or near a lake, be prepared to get out of the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to
10 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter
now! Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.
&&
LAT...LON 3794 11930 3809 11935 3812 11943 3809 11946
3820 11963 3845 11968 3869 11998 3882 12004
3885 12016 3920 12025 3960 12046 3971 12063
3968 12068 3971 12072 3986 12075 4036 12043
4040 11946 4020 11851 3811 11857 3788 11911
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 143DEG 8KT 3871 11941
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TSSpecial weather statement, Jun 19, 1:35 PM PST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Reno NV
235 PM PDT Fri Jun 19 2026
CAZ071-192330-
Lassen-Eastern Plumas-Eastern Sierra Counties CA-
235 PM PDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN LASSEN COUNTY
THROUGH 430 PM PDT...
At 234 PM PDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 7 miles west of Spaulding, or 9 miles west of Eagle
Lake, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Eagle Lake, Spaulding, and Crater Lake Campground.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 4056 12094 4066 12112 4089 12097 4067 12058
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 241DEG 20KT 4061 12091
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
HRSpecial weather statement, Jun 19, 2:01 PM PST, 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Reno NV
301 PM PDT Fri Jun 19 2026
CAZ071>073-NVZ001>005-200000-
Lassen-Eastern Plumas-Eastern Sierra Counties CA-
Greater Lake Tahoe Area CA-Mono CA-Greater Lake Tahoe Area NV-
Western Nevada Basin and Range including Pyramid Lake NV-
Northern Washoe County NV-Greater Reno-Carson City-Minden Area NV-
Mineral and Southern Lyon Counties NV-
301 PM PDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...THUNDERSTORMS, SOME STRONG TO SEVERE, DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA THROUGH 500 PM PDT...
At 258 PM PDT, strong thunderstorms are ongoing across portions of
western Nevada. Thunderstorm coverage is expected to expand
northward through the afternoon and early evening.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Reno, Carson City, South Lake Tahoe, Fallon, Lovelock, Tahoe City,
Kings Beach, Gardnerville, Virginia City, Boca Reservoir, Pyramid
Lake, Lahontan Reservoir, Incline Village, Doyle, Eagle Lake,
Stampede Reservoir, Bodie, Herlong, Gerlach, and Chilcoot.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
If on or near a lake, get out of the water and move indoors or
inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 10 miles
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now! Do not
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.
&&
LAT...LON 4094 12102 4099 11983 4078 11776 3978 11795
3823 11843 3815 11921 3889 12006 3950 12037
4042 12101
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 207DEG 19KT 3943 11945
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TS