Nebraska, 2026

Drought in Nebraska, May 1 to 5, 2026

May 1 to 5, 2026 · NWS LBF · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Fire started in southern Custer County during the afternoon of April 22nd. By the time the fire was contained on May 5th, it burned approximately 9,141 acres.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LBF wrote it up.

Fire started in southern Custer County during the afternoon of April 22nd. By the time the fire was contained on May 5th, it burned approximately 9,141 acres.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 11:41 PM CST, 19 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Lows tonight will fall to near 30, with highs on Friday 5 to 10 degrees below normal. Lows Friday night slightly colder in the upper 20s to near 30.
  • Drier and warmer conditions return this weekend, with highs returning to the 70s.
  • Precipitation chances return Monday afternoon through Tuesday night, with southwest Nebraska favored for receiving light precipitation at this time.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 11:41 PM CST, 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1241 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Lows tonight will fall to near 30, with highs on Friday 5 to
  10 degrees below normal. Lows Friday night slightly colder in
  the upper 20s to near 30.

- Drier and warmer conditions return this weekend, with highs
  returning to the 70s.

- Precipitation chances return Monday afternoon through Tuesday
  night, with southwest Nebraska favored for receiving light
  precipitation at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 151 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Northerly flow aloft tonight through Friday night, as a closed upper
low persists north of the Great Lakes region and and upper ridge
remains over the Great Basin. This weather pattern will bring
colder overnight lows tonight and again Friday night, with highs
Friday 5 to 10 degrees below normal from 55 to 60 north, and 60
to 65 south.

For tonight, will see high pressure build in. Scattered to broken
cloudiness may aid in lows from getting to cold tonight. Still,
subfreezing lows near 30 are forecast tonight. Any tender vegetation
should be covered or brought indoors.

Friday, a shortwave disturbance will drop south in northerly flow
aloft. This will bring a return of scattered to broken clouds.
While much of the area will remain dry, could see a few showers
across swrn NE during the afternoon, but can't rule out a few
afternoon showers elsewhere, given mid level lapse rates are near
7.5 C/km.

Friday night, surface high pressure will reside over the area, with
skies becoming clear overnight. Winds light and variable to light
southwest. Lows forecast to be slightly colder, mainly in the upper
20s. This could pose a risk for more widespread damage to tender
vegetation, and a freeze headline may be needed. Confidence in a
freeze headline is medium, as MOS guidance has low from 30 to 35 for
some areas.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 151 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

Upper ridging will begin to build into the Northern and Central
Plains on Saturday, with a sunny sky and highs across western NE
warming to 70 to 75. Wind will increase to 10 to 20 mph in the
afternoon. This will bring elevated to near critical fire weather
concerns as afternoon humidity fall to near 15 percent across the
west, and 20 to 25 percent across the east.

Sunday, a deep closed low will reside near Hudson Bay Canada. A weak
shortwave trough on the western periphery of the upper trough will
reach northern Nebraska by Sunday afternoon. This will lead to an
associated weak surface low across southeast WY into eastern CO,
with a weak cold front moving in. Highs from near 70 north to upper
70s southwest. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible
across north central NE during the afternoon and evening.
Instability looks low at 100-250 J/kg, and only a few general
thunderstorms are possible. Any precipitation looks very light, with
NBM probabilities of >0.10" at 10 percent or less (north central).
Will again see elevated fire weather conditions across the south as
afternoon humidity reaches 15 to 20 percent. Winds remain a limiting
factor.

Monday, another cold front will move into western NE, with highs
again reaching the 70s. A large upper trough will drop through the
region Monday night through Tuesday night and may lead to shower
development beginning Monday afternoon and lasting through Tuesday
night. Southwest Nebraska looks to be favored at this time, where
NBM probabilities of >0.10" increase to as high as 40-50
percent. With at least meager instability in place across the
area, some threat for thunderstorms looks to exist as well.
Severe weather looks unlikely at this time.

Highs Tuesday and Wednesday will be cooler from the upper 50s to
lower 60s. Upper ridging shown to build in Thursday with highs
returning to the upper 60s to mid 70s and dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Quiet aviation conditions are expected through Friday evening with
no precipitation expected and skies remain clear to mostly clear.
Winds remain near or under 10 knots but will shift from the
northwest Friday morning to the northeast by the evening before
becoming variable again Friday night.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Kulik
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 30, 1:37 PM CST, 10 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
237 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-011945-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
237 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026 /137 PM MDT Thu Apr 30 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Lows tonight will fall to near 30 degrees across much of the outlook
area. Any tender vegetation should be covered or brought indoors for
protection from the cold.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Lows Friday night will fall into the upper 20s to near 30 degrees
across much of the outlook area. This could pose a risk for more
widespread damage to tender vegetation, which should be covered or
brought indoors for protection from the cold.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Custer

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 5, 1:40 AM CST
Where
Custer forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
41.394, -99.726 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Fire started during the late afternoon hours of April 22nd in southern Custer County. Aided by strong southerly winds, the fire spread north, consuming approximately 9,141 acres by the time it was fully contained on May 5th.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nebraska in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, May 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1332523.