Montana, 2026Drought in Montana, May 19 to 31, 2026
May 19 to 31, 2026 · NWS GGW · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Drought conditions intensified for most of Daniels county through late May.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Drought conditions intensified for most of Daniels county through late May.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 18, 9:52 PM MST, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- This morning will be cold across northeast Montana, with chances for near record lows if clouds clear out overnight.
- Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning looks like the next chance for showers and perhaps and few thunderstorms. Most areas that would be hit look to have less than a tenth of an inch.
- Warm weather returns briefly Wednesday with 70s & 80s for highs expected Friday onward.
Area forecast discussion, May 18, 9:52 PM MST, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
1052 PM MDT Mon May 18 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- This morning will be cold across northeast Montana, with
chances for near record lows if clouds clear out overnight.
- Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning looks like the next
chance for showers and perhaps and few thunderstorms. Most areas
that would be hit look to have less than a tenth of an inch.
- Warm weather returns briefly Wednesday with 70s & 80s for highs
expected Friday onward.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
Forecast begins with a large cold airmass over the Hudson Bay. a
trough runs west out of it and down through southern Canadian
Prairie Provinces and eastern Montana, and terminates over
northern Utah. An equally amplified ridge runs from northern
California the PCNW, Alberta, and terminates over the Northwest
Territories.
This morning through tonight: Conditions will start off cool with
a ground freeze initially as clear skies hover over the area. By
the late afternoon a new round of mid to upper chinook arch clouds
will move in from the west along with slightly warmer temps under
the highly amplified ridge.
Wednesday into Thursday Morning: Ridge will exit the area as a
shortwave begins to drive itself down in northwestern flow. as the
ridge breaks down a low pressure surface trough will form over
central Montana mid day. by the late afternoon and early evening
hours this will move into eastern montana along a cold front with
rain showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms. Most storms should
exit overnight with the heat leaving rain showers to linger into
Thursday morning. QPF totals are in flux currently unknown but
generally a tenth of an inch or less is expected for this passage.
Thursday afternoon into the weekend: Conditions will clear and
warm through these time periods with maybe a weak shower possible
Saturday night with ensemble breakdown occuring about this point
forward making confidence from Saturday onward LOW.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
Changes to NBM were focused to hourly PoPs around Wednesday mid-
day to the evening. Hourly NBM data was being direct interpolated
in the last 5 hours. Used and NPoP blend of available CAMs to try
to quick blend in a slightly better trend.
GAH
&&
.AVIATION...
LAST UPDATED: 0330Z
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR.
DISCUSSION: Overcast conditions across the east this evening are
expected to exit the area by the early morning hours. A few
isolated fog pockets may be possible northeast of KOLF and KSDY as
clouds clear but should not impact the main terminals directly
tonight. Sun-up conditions should be SKC but mid to high clouds
will begin approaching the area from the west late Tuesday
afternoon early evening.
WIND: Light and variable tonight. Becoming S to SW after sun-up
and increasing to 5 to 15 kts through Tuesday. Backing S to SE
Tuesday evening.
GAH
&&
.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
weather.gov/glasgow
Drought, Daniels
- When
- May 19, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Daniels forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.784, -105.549 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 drought conditions encroached into the northeastern corner of Daniels County by the third week of May and continued through the end of the month.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Texas, May 19 to 20, 20261 death · $65,000 · 1.75 in hail · 29 events
- Tornado and Flash Flood in Texas, May 19 to 22, 2026$6.0 million · 1.75 in hail · 17 events
- Damaging Winds in Massachusetts, May 19, 20262 injured · $74,000 · 50 kt wind · 16 events
- Flooding and Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 19, 2026$65,000 · 55 kt wind · 22 events
- Damaging Winds in Indiana, May 19, 2026$110,000 · 55 kt wind · 10 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in West Virginia, May 19 to 20, 2026$46,000 · 1.75 in hail · 28 events
- Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 19, 2026$27,000 · 61 kt wind · 9 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Louisiana, May 19 to 23, 2026$13,000 · 51 kt wind · 12 events
- Frost and Freeze in North Dakota, May 19 to 20, 202617 events
- Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 19, 2026$17,000 · 50 kt wind · 6 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, May 19 to 20, 202616 events
- Damaging Winds in Texas, May 19 to 23, 2026$16,000 · 50 kt wind · 5 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1341268.