Montana, 2026

Drought in Montana, May 19 to 31, 2026

May 19 to 31, 2026 · NWS GGW · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Drought conditions intensified for most of Daniels county through late May.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

Drought conditions intensified for most of Daniels county through late May.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 18, 9:52 PM MST, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • This morning will be cold across northeast Montana, with chances for near record lows if clouds clear out overnight.
  • Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning looks like the next chance for showers and perhaps and few thunderstorms. Most areas that would be hit look to have less than a tenth of an inch.
  • Warm weather returns briefly Wednesday with 70s & 80s for highs expected Friday onward.
Area forecast discussion, May 18, 9:52 PM MST, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
1052 PM MDT Mon May 18 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- This morning will be cold across northeast Montana, with
  chances for near record lows if clouds clear out overnight.

- Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning looks like the next
  chance for showers and perhaps and few thunderstorms. Most areas
  that would be hit look to have less than a tenth of an inch.

- Warm weather returns briefly Wednesday with 70s & 80s for highs
  expected Friday onward.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
Forecast begins with a large cold airmass over the Hudson Bay. a
trough runs west out of it and down through southern Canadian
Prairie Provinces and eastern Montana, and terminates over
northern Utah. An equally amplified ridge runs from northern
California the PCNW, Alberta, and terminates over the Northwest
Territories.

This morning through tonight: Conditions will start off cool with
a ground freeze initially as clear skies hover over the area. By
the late afternoon a new round of mid to upper chinook arch clouds
will move in from the west along with slightly warmer temps under
the highly amplified ridge.

Wednesday into Thursday Morning: Ridge will exit the area as a
shortwave begins to drive itself down in northwestern flow. as the
ridge breaks down a low pressure surface trough will form over
central Montana mid day. by the late afternoon and early evening
hours this will move into eastern montana along a cold front with
rain showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms. Most storms should
exit overnight with the heat leaving rain showers to linger into
Thursday morning. QPF totals are in flux currently unknown but
generally a tenth of an inch or less is expected for this passage.

Thursday afternoon into the weekend: Conditions will clear and
warm through these time periods with maybe a weak shower possible
Saturday night with ensemble breakdown occuring about this point
forward making confidence from Saturday onward LOW.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
Changes to NBM were focused to hourly PoPs around Wednesday mid-
day to the evening. Hourly NBM data was being direct interpolated
in the last 5 hours. Used and NPoP blend of available CAMs to try
to quick blend in a slightly better trend.

GAH

&&

.AVIATION...

LAST UPDATED: 0330Z

FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR.

DISCUSSION: Overcast conditions across the east this evening are
expected to exit the area by the early morning hours. A few
isolated fog pockets may be possible northeast of KOLF and KSDY as
clouds clear but should not impact the main terminals directly
tonight. Sun-up conditions should be SKC but mid to high clouds
will begin approaching the area from the west late Tuesday
afternoon early evening.

WIND: Light and variable tonight. Becoming S to SW after sun-up
and increasing to 5 to 15 kts through Tuesday. Backing S to SE
Tuesday evening.

GAH

&&

.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Daniels

When
May 19, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Daniels forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
48.784, -105.549 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions encroached into the northeastern corner of Daniels County by the third week of May and continued through the end of the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, May 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1341268.