Montana, 2026

Drought in Montana, February 24 to 28, 2026

February 24 to 28, 2026 · NWS GGW · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Increased drought conditions expanded eastward during the last week of this month into portions of Petroleum, northern Phillips, and northern Valley Counties.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

Increased drought conditions expanded eastward during the last week of this month into portions of Petroleum, northern Phillips, and northern Valley Counties.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 23, 10:29 PM MST, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • The next chances for light rain and snow are expected Tuesday night into Wednesday.
  • A High Wind Watch remains in effect for Phillips County for Thursday.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 10:29 PM MST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
1029 PM MST Mon Feb 23 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The next chances for light rain and snow are expected Tuesday
  night into Wednesday.

- A High Wind Watch remains in effect for Phillips County for
  Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

The balance of the week will feature a roller coaster temperature
ride along with light mixed precipitation at times and a threat
for high winds.

The stage is set for clouds to increase from the southwest Tuesday
night into Wednesday with a light mix of rain and snow. This will
occur along a boundary with cooler temperatures to the northeast
and milder temperatures across the southwestern parts of the CWA
while a shortwave pushes through relatively zonal northwest upper
flow. These milder temperatures will spread northeast across the
entire region for Wednesday and Thursday. On Thursday the high
temperatures will be pushing 50 to 55 degrees across much of NE
Montana.

NBM continues to show the trade off for the milder weather will be
strong gusty winds across the area Wednesday night into Thursday.
West winds may range 20 to 30 mph across the region with gusts to
40 to 50 mph area wide. Gusts to 60 mph are exceedingly likely
over higher elevations of the Little Rockies. A High Wind Watch
remains in effect for Phillips County for Thursday.

Late this week extending into the weekend, temperatures will fall
in response to a retrograding cold front, which will bring with it
increased chances for snow by the weekend as well.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

Given the strong westerly flow expected on Wednesday into
Thursday, the forecast was nudged toward NBM90 in support of the
High Wind Headlines. Excellent consensus has emerged among
ensembles in recent days on this event and confidence should only
increase as high resolution model guidance become available as
this enters the short term window.

&&

.AVIATION...

UPDATE: 0515Z Tuesday February 24

FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR

DISCUSSION: VFR mid and high ceilings will continue with a
transition to mostly clear skies on Tuesday. Cloud cover looks to
increase again from the southwest Tuesday night.

WINDS: Tonight, from the W at 10 to 15 kts with occasional higher
gusts. Winds will become lighter from the northwest on Tuesday
morning before becoming light and variable Tuesday afternoon or
evening.

&&

.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Watch from Wednesday evening through Friday morning
for Central and Southeast Phillips-Northern Phillips-Southwest
Phillips.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northern Valley

When
February 24, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northern Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions increased from the west into the northwestern corner of northern Valley County.

Drought, Northern Phillips

When
February 24, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northern Phillips forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions increased from the west into the northern half of northern Phillips County.

Drought, Petroleum

When
February 24, 12:00 AM MST to February 28, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Petroleum forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
47.118, -108.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions increased from the west into the far western edge of Petroleum County.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1308285, 1320437, 1320438.