Hawaii, 2026Flood in Hawaii, January 21, 2026
January 21, 2026 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A slow moving cold front moved down the island chain from January 20th through January 22nd. The front stalled in the vicinity of Maui County on January 21st, with the highest rain of 1 to 3 inches impacting many statewide north and east facing slopes.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A slow moving cold front moved down the island chain from January 20th through January 22nd. The front stalled in the vicinity of Maui County on January 21st, with the highest rain of 1 to 3 inches impacting many statewide north and east facing slopes.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 21, 3:25 AM HST, 4 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 21, 3:25 AM HST, 4 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
325 AM HST Wed Jan 21 2026
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front advancing down the island chain this morning is
bringing gusty northerly winds near and west of the boundary and
showery conditions. The front is expected to stall and gradually
weaken around Maui County later today through Thursday, bringing
additional periods of showery weather. Rainfall chances will trend
up statewide Friday through the weekend as another cold front and
upper disturbance approach and move into the area. Conditions
should gradually improve from west to east through the first half
of next week as high pressure builds eastward over the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
A line of showers associated with a cold front that moved through
Kauai is now moving over Oahu this morning (3 AM HST). Peak
rainfall accumulations over the past 6 hours ranged from 4 to near
7 inches along north- through west-facing slopes of Kauai. In
addition to localized heavy rainfall accompanying the boundary, a
band of strong northerly winds is occurring along and behind the
front, with some of the windier locations on Oahu and Kauai
reporting gusts to around 40 mph. Similar conditions are expected
through the morning hours as the boundary progresses eastward into
Maui County.
Guidance has initialized well with the current synoptic pattern
and depicts the front stalling and lingering near Maui County by
Thursday. A broad upper-level trough, with several shortwave
pulses rotating through its base, will support periods of
lingering showery weather along the moisture axis over the next
few days, particularly over windward and mauka locations with the
northeast flow in place.
Despite some remaining differences among the ensemble solutions,
agreement has improved considerably compared to 24 hours ago. The
majority of solutions indicate low-level flow will shift out of
the southeast in a return-flow pattern as another frontal system
evolves and approaches the islands over the weekend. Increasing
instability aloft associated with the upper trough and an embedded
shortwave, combined with deep moisture pooling northward across
the islands, will support a wet pattern through the weekend.
Conditions should gradually improve through the first half of next
week as this system moves through, upper-level heights rise, and
drier air moves in as surface high pressure builds to the north in
its wake.
&&
.AVIATION...
A cold front over Oahu will continue to advance southeastward and
weaken through the morning. The front should reach Maui County
later this morning before stalling out. Winds will be light and
variable ahead of the front, and breezy, gusty, and northerly
behind it. Most of the showers can be expected along the front
with MVFR cigs/vsbys. Winds then veer northeast later today into
tonight and showers turn to a more typical trade wind distribution.
The bulk of the showers should be over Maui County later today
with the remnants of the front.
AIRMET Tango is in effect for moderate upper level turbulence
between FL310 and FL370 due to jet stream winds. AIRMET Tango is
also in place for the S slopes of the mountain terrain for Kauai
and Oahu due to the strong northerly winds. This AIRMET will
likely be dropped later in the morning as the winds decrease.
AIRMET Sierra is in place for Kauai and Oahu from the showers
associated with the front and will likely be dropped later in the
morning as the front moves on. AIRMET Sierra may be needed for
Maui County later in the morning due to the moisture with the
front.
&&
.MARINE...
Strong north to northeast winds and rough seas will affect the
western half of the marine area this morning, as a cold front
moves into Maui County. The front will then stall out across the
central islands late today and tonight, with winds gradually
easing and becoming more northeasterly. A Small Craft Advisory
(SCA) is now in effect for the western half of the marine area
through noon today. Around the Big Island, expect gentle east to
southeast winds to continue on the south side of the stalled out
front. A weak surface ridge will develop a couple hundred nautical
miles north of Kauai on Thursday, leading to gentle to moderate
easterly trade winds through Friday night. Winds will turn out of
the southeast and south over the weekend as another front
approaches from the northwest, while a disturbance aloft could
trigger a few heavier showers and possibly thunderstorms during
this time as well.
Overlapping west-northwest to north-northwest swells will produce
surf slightly below High Surf Advisory (HSA) levels for exposed
north and west facing shores through Friday. Gusty north to
northeast winds will produce rough and choppy conditions along
north facing exposures of the smaller islands today, particularly
this morning. A sharp downward trend in north shore surf is
expected over the weekend, followed by a potentially large
northwest swell arriving Monday night and Tuesday.
East shore surf will remain below seasonal average through the
week, although a brief increase is possible on Kauai and Oahu this
morning due to strong post-front northerly winds. Surf along
south facing shores will remain very small through the week.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory until noon today from Maui County to Kauai
waters.
&&
DISCUSSION...Gibbs
AVIATION...Tsamous
MARINE...Jelsema
Flood, Maui
- When
- January 21, 8:00 AM HST to 2:00 PM HST
- Where
- Maui County, 0.72 mi SSE of Hp Baldwin Bp to 0.88 mi SSE of Hp Baldwin Bp
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 20.910, -156.397
Two hikers were rescued by helicopter near mile marker 5 of the Hana Highway due to rising stream levels cutting them off from the rest of their group.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Kentucky, January 21, 20261 death · $85,000 · 14 events
- Winter Weather in Minnesota, January 21, 20267 injured · $100,000 · 3 events
- High Wind and Winter Weather in South Dakota, January 21, 202663 kt wind · 31 events
- Winter Storm and Extreme Cold in Michigan, January 21 to 24, 202630 events
- High Wind in South Dakota, January 21, 202663 kt wind · 23 events
- High Wind in Nebraska, January 21, 202662 kt wind · 19 events
- High Wind and Winter Weather in South Dakota, January 21, 202666 kt wind · 17 events
- Winter Weather in Minnesota, January 21, 202612 events
- Winter Weather in Illinois, January 21, 2026$10,000 · 9 events
- Blizzard and High Wind in Minnesota, January 21, 202656 kt wind · 9 events
- Blizzard and High Wind in Iowa, January 21, 202659 kt wind · 9 events
- Winter Weather in Wisconsin, January 21 to 22, 20268 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1315367.