California, 2026Flash Flood and Flooding in California, February 16 to 19, 2026
February 16 to 19, 2026 · NWS SGX · 11 events in 4 counties and zones
A series of low pressure systems moved over southern California during the mid part of the month of February, bringing heavy rain and thunderstorms, strong and gusty winds, and high elevation snow from the 10th thru the 11th, and then again on the 16th thru 18th. This resulted in a few reports of damage due to strong winds from thunderstorms.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 11
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A series of low pressure systems moved over southern California during the mid part of the month of February, bringing heavy rain and thunderstorms, strong and gusty winds, and high elevation snow from the 10th thru the 11th, and then again on the 16th thru 18th. This resulted in a few reports of damage due to strong winds from thunderstorms. There were also several reports of flooding/flash flooding due to heavy rain.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 16, 10:57 AM PST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 10:57 AM PST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Diego CA
1057 AM PST Mon Feb 16 2026
.SYNOPSIS...
A winter storm will move into the area today into early Tuesday
bringing widespread moderate to heavy rain, mountain snow, and
gusty onshore winds. There is a 15 to 20 percent chance of
thunderstorms tonight. Showers will continue on Tuesday with
strengthening west winds along the mountain crests and desert
slopes, which peak Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning with
gusts in excess of 60 mph. A second round of rain and lower
elevation mountain snow is expected late Tuesday into Wednesday.
Cool with decreasing chances for showers for Thursday and Friday.
Drier and a little warmer for next weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
...New Aviation Discussion For the 18z TAF Package...
.SHORT TERM (Today through Wednesday)...
The first in a pair of Pacific storms will move into the area
today with a second bringing another round of more widespread
precipitation for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. High
temperatures will cool 5 to 10 degrees today with additional
lesser cooling for Tuesday and Wednesday. Wednesday high
temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees below average near the coast
with the higher elevations of the mountains as much as 15 to 20
degrees below average.
Winds will strengthen this morning, then diminish late this
evening and tonight. There will a second round of winds for
Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon. For the desert
slopes of the mountains into the deserts, the second round of
winds for late Tuesday into Wednesday is expected to be stronger
with gusts to 60 to 70 mph. For details on precipitation through
Wednesday, please refer to the HYDROLOGY section below.
&&
.LONG TERM (Thursday through Sunday)...
There will be decreasing chances for mostly lighter showers for
Thursday into Friday. Chances for precipitation for next weekend
are 10 to 15 percent. High temperatures will warm slightly for
Thursday and Friday, then gradually warm for Saturday through
Monday with Monday high temperatures a few to around 5 degrees
above average. High temperatures for next Monday will range from
the mid to upper 60s near the coast to the lower to mid 70s for
the valleys with the lower deserts around 80.
&&
.AVIATION...
161830Z...Coast and Valleys...Gradually lowering clouds this morning
will lead to RA and cigs generally 2500-3500 feet MSL, but down to
800-1200 feet MSL with vis reduced 1-5SM in +RA in a band moving
west to east 19-02z. Strong southerly winds 20-30 kts with gusts to
35 kts will accompany this band. SHRA and a slight chance of TSRA
after the band moves through along with westerly winds 15-25 kts.
Cigs will lift some and vis will improve after 03z except in SHRA
and isold TSRA. SHRA prevails through 18z Tue with winds picking
back up around this time.
Mountains...Increasing and lowering clouds will eventually obscure
most mountain terrain as the band of RA/SN moves through today,
lessening after 02z Tue. Vis will be reduced 0-2SM much of this
time. South winds 30-45 kts with local gusts 60 kts, strongest 18-
02z. SHRA/SHSN to follow, with some improvement in terrain
obscuration overnight. Winds gust again on Tuesday in the mountains
after 16z.
Deserts...Increasing and lowering clouds along with -RA/RA passing
through the region west to east 19-03Z. South winds increasing this
morning 30-45 kts with local gusts 55 kts, strongest 20-04z.
&&
.MARINE...
A storm system is generating strong winds with high and choppy seas
beginning today, but will weaken a bit on Tuesday before increasing
again on Wednesday. Seas expected to be around 8-12 feet with wind
gusts 25-35 knots, with briefly higher to 40 knots. A Gale Warning
is in effect through tonight with another Gale Warning in effect for
Wednesday. There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms over the
waters today/tonight.
&&
.BEACHES...
Strong westerly swell (9-11 feet with an average period of about 10-
12 seconds) will produce large breaking waves up to 8-12 feet on
most beaches across Orange and San Diego Counties today through
Friday night. Widespread, strong rip currents are also likely with
these waves and dangerous swimming conditions expected. A High Surf
Advisory is in effect and contains more information.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
A winter storm will bring widespread moderate to heavy
precipitation and mountain snow from late this morning through
this afternoon, followed by scattered showers into early Tuesday
morning along with a slight chance of thunderstorms tonight.
Another round of more widespread precipitation with lower snow
levels is expected for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
Additional light showers are possible Thursday into early Friday.
Precipitation chances are currently below 15 percent for Friday
and Saturday, but there is the potential for light showers at
times.
Peak hourly rainfall rates during the frontal passage today will
range from 0.50-0.75 inch per hour, mostly between 10 AM and 4 PM.
Rainfall and liquid-equivalent above the snow level for today
through Tuesday morning will range from around 1 to 1.5 inch for
coastal areas to 2.5 to 3.5 inches in the mountains with locally
greater amounts. For the deserts, 0.50 to 1 inch is expected for
the Apple and Lucerne Valleys with 0.15 to 0.50 inch for the lower
deserts.
The snow level will rise to 6500 to 7500 feet late this morning
and early this afternoon, then fall to 5000 to 5500 feet for late
this evening and 4500 to 5500 feet for Tuesday morning. Snowfall
of 4 to 8 inches is expected from 5500 to 6000 feet, 8 to 14
inches from 6000 to 7000 feet, and locally 2 to 3 feet above 7500
feet.
Additional rainfall and liquid-equivalent above the snow level
for Tuesday night through Wednesday morning is expected to range
from 0.33 to 0.50 inch for coastal areas to 0.75 to 1.25 inch in
the mountains, locally to 2 inches for the San Bernardino County
mountains. For the deserts, 0.25 to 0.50 is expected for the Apple
and Lucerne Valleys with 0.10 to 0.33 inch in the lower deserts.
The snow level will lower to 3500 to 4500 feet for Wednesday
afternoon with additional snowfall of 3 to 6 inches from 5000 to
6000 feet, 6 to 12 inches from 6000 to 7000 feet, and 12 to 18
inches above 7000 feet.
If higher-end rainfall amounts materialize across the northern
Coachella Valley, increased flows on the Whitewater River could
cause flooding at some of the low-water crossings. Latest river
forecast ensembles have around a 15 percent chance of the San
Diego River reaching Monitor Stage for late today and on
Wednesday.
&&
.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Wind Advisory until 8 PM PST this evening for Orange County
Coastal Areas-Orange County Inland Areas-San Bernardino and
Riverside County Valleys-The Inland Empire-San Diego County
Coastal Areas-San Diego County Valleys-Santa Ana Mountains
and Foothills.
Wind Advisory from 8 PM Tuesday to 8 AM PST Wednesday for Orange
County Coastal Areas-Orange County Inland Areas-San
Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys-The Inland Empire-
San Diego County Coastal Areas-San Diego County Valleys-
Santa Ana Mountains and Foothills.
High Surf Advisory until 10 PM PST Friday for Orange County
Coastal Areas-San Diego County Coastal Areas.
Winter Storm Warning until noon PST Wednesday for Riverside
County Mountains-San Bernardino County Mountains.
Wind Advisory until 1 AM PST Tuesday for San Diego County
Deserts-San Diego County Mountains-San Gorgonio Pass near
Banning.
Wind Advisory from 10 AM Tuesday to 4 PM PST Wednesday for Apple
and Lucerne Valleys-San Diego County Deserts-San Diego
County Mountains-San Gorgonio Pass near Banning.
Wind Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for Apple and Lucerne
Valleys.
PZ...Gale Warning until 7 AM PST Tuesday for Coastal Waters from San
Mateo Point to the Mexican Border and out to 10 nm-Waters
from San Mateo Point to the Mexican Border Extending 10 to
60 nm out including San Clemente Island.
Gale Warning from 8 PM Tuesday to 1 PM PST Wednesday for Coastal
Waters from San Mateo Point to the Mexican Border and out
to 10 nm-Waters from San Mateo Point to the Mexican Border
Extending 10 to 60 nm out including San Clemente Island.
&&
PUBLIC...Martin
AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES...ZuberEvent by event
6 thunderstorm wind, 2 flood, 2 heavy rain, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flood, Orange
- When
- February 16, 12:20 PM PST
- Where
- Orange County, 1.86 mi WNW of Huntington Beach to 1.77 mi WNW of Huntington Beach
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 33.680, -118.030
All lanes northbound and southbound at PCH from Seapoint Street to Warner Avenue are closed due to water over road. Area received 0.75 to 1 inch of rain over 6 hours.
Heavy Rain, San Diego
- When
- February 16, 2:04 PM PST
- Where
- San Diego County, 0.69 mi N of University Hgts
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 32.760, -117.130
Dept. of Highways reported mud/dirt/rock on road at I-805 n and I-8 near normal heights. 0.65 inches of rain has fallen in the past 6 hours.
Heavy Rain, San Bernardino
- When
- February 16, 2:47 PM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, 1.79 mi SE of Scotland
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 34.230, -117.480
Dept. of Highways reported large rocks in north bound lanes in 3 different spots, each a half mile apart on South Lytle Creek Rd. Area has received 2 inches of rain in the past 6 hours.
Flood, San Bernardino
- When
- February 16, 3:00 PM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, 1.79 mi SE of Keenbrook
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 34.250, -117.460
San Bernardino county department of public works reported Keenbrook Road was closed near its intersection with Cajon Blvd due to flooding from Cajon Wash. Stations in the vicinity recorded about 1.5-2 inches of rain in 6 hours.
Thunderstorm Wind, San Bernardino
- When
- February 18, 12:09 AM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, 2.39 mi ESE of Sugarloaf
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 34.240, -116.790
County fire reports tree fell and collapsed a roof in the Woodlands Neighborhood in Big Bear City. Wind estimates in the area near 50-55 mph.
Thunderstorm Wind, San Bernardino
- When
- February 18, 12:49 AM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, Blue Jay
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 34.250, -117.220
County Fire reports a tree went through a roof into a bedroom near the intersection of Grass Valley Rd and Club House Dr. Wind gusts estimated to be 40-50 mph.
Flash Flood, San Bernardino
- When
- February 18, 1:00 AM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, 1.79 mi SE of Keenbrook to 1.78 mi SE of Keenbrook
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 34.250, -117.460
San Bernardino county fire reports a driver tried to cross Keenbrooke Road, which had about 4 feet of fast moving water moving over it. The truck continued to slowly be taken over by flood waters with the driver on the roof. The driver fell in.
Thunderstorm Wind, Riverside
- When
- February 18, 1:30 AM PST
- Where
- Riverside County, 3.44 mi E of Weisel
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 33.820, -117.410
Public report of large palm tree snapped in half and a flag pole broke from its base with bolts snapped off.
Thunderstorm Wind, Orange
- When
- February 18, 2:00 AM PST
- Where
- Orange County, 2.29 mi E of Buena Park
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 33.880, -117.910
Viewers reported to fox 11 tree damage in Fullerton. Wind gusts in the vicinity at the time were as high as 57 mph at F0063.
Thunderstorm Wind, San Diego
- When
- February 18, 2:30 AM PST
- Where
- San Diego County, Rancho Santa Fe
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 33.020, -117.200
Member of the public reports medium-sized tree snapped in half and landed on their car. Picture provided via social media with wind estimates near 30-40 mph.
Thunderstorm Wind, San Bernardino
- When
- February 19, 12:43 AM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, 0.9 mi SW of Big Bear City
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 34.260, -116.860
County Fire reports a tree went through a roof on dawn drive. Estimated wind gusts in the area near 50-55 mph.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
- Heavy Rain
- Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Storm and Avalanche in Utah, February 16 to 19, 20262 deaths · 4 injured · $1.5 million · 21 events
- Flash Flooding and Winter Storm in California, February 16 to 19, 202670 kt wind · 63 events
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in Alaska, February 16 to 20, 202622 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in Nevada, February 16 to 18, 20262 injured · 60 kt wind · 6 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in Nevada, February 16 to 18, 202676 kt wind · 16 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, February 16 to 17, 202676 kt wind · 16 events
- Winter Storm and High Wind in Idaho, February 16 to 17, 202662 kt wind · 14 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Colorado, February 16 to 19, 202613 events
- High Wind in Montana, February 16 to 17, 202670 kt wind · 11 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, February 16 to 18, 2026$1,000 · 83 kt wind · 10 events
- High Wind in Colorado, February 16 to 17, 202676 kt wind · 9 events
- Avalanche and Heavy Snow in California, February 16 to 18, 202658 kt wind · 6 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1320710, 1320712, 1320713, 1320711, 1320715, 1320717, 1320709, 1320718, 1320720, 1320721, 1320723.